Despite Carson Palmer Trade, Don't Bet on Oakland Raiders to Win a Playoff Game

Listening to sports talk radio in the Southern California market, it would seem as if the Oakland Raiders (4-2) are going to win Super Bowl XLVI on Feb. 5, 2012, inside Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

Acquiring Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer has the fanbase in a frenzy, but based on the current betting odds for the team's AFC West matchup in Week 7, expectations should be tempered.

At some of the sharpest books in town, Oakland has moved just a half-point higher, settling in as four-point home favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday.

In my eyes, Palmer is about a half-point improvement over the injured Jason Campbell at this stage of the game, as the former USC Trojans star hasn't seen any live action in quite some time.

One offshore sports book, BoDog, has already upped the ante in trying to cash in on the NFL's biggest story this week.

Oakland is a slight favorite (-125) to make the playoffs, but the more interesting proposition offering is if the franchise will win a playoff game.

Much has been made in the media about the Raiders giving up a 2012 first-round pick and a conditional second-rounder in 2013 in the deal.

The conditional pick could become another first-round selection if Oakland makes it to the AFC title game in either of the next two years.

Currently, the betting odds for the team to win a playoff game this year is plus-400—which means for every $100 wagered, the patron would walk away with $400.

On the flip side, bettors will need to fork over $600 to win $100 that the Silver and Black don't win a playoff game.

My perspective on the matter is simple.

Will the Oakland Raiders be in a position to win a playoff game?

Coming into this week with a 4-2 record and outscoring opponents by just 10 points combined on the season—I have my doubts.