NFL Picks Week 5: 2 Favorites Sure to Cover the Spread
Wagering on the National Football League can be just as volatile as the stock market these days, as the public becomes disenfranchised with teams very quickly.
Favorites are currently 29-32-3 ATS on the season, which includes a 10-12-2 record when laying points on the road.
Let's take a look at two teams that are expected to win in the betting odds, but will also have you cashing at the sports book on Sunday.
Minnesota Vikings
1 of 2Minnesota Vikings quarterback Donovan McNabb gets one more chance to turn the season around before the franchise has no choice but to start first-round draft pick Christian Ponder.
He should gain confidence in looking at last year's box score, as recently retired Brett Favre was able to throw for 446 yards in last year's 27-24 overtime win as seven-point favorites.
The Vikings actually held a 28-13 advantage in first downs in that contest while also out-gaining the Cardinals by a astronomical 282 yards.
Professional bettors are quickly recognizing the NFL as a passing league, but it's still important to note that the home team in this matchup has won the ground battle each week.
Minnesota still possesses one of the best rush defenses in the league, ranking fifth in the league in allowing just 76.2 yards a game, which will be a key in facing Arizona's Beanie Wells.
Arizona has lost both of its road games in straight-up fashion this year, falling 22-21 in Washington Redskins before being handed a 13-10 defeat against the Seattle Seahawks.
The Cardinals actually haven't won away from the desert since a 17-13 win in last year's season opener as three-point road favorites.
Looks like the oddsmaker is aiming to trap the public into betting the underdog. You know, the team that has actually won a game this season.
I'm not falling into it.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles
2 of 2The Philadelphia Eagles bandwagon is missing a few people since the offseason, and that's why bettors should find them very appealing this week.
Quarterback Michael Vick has voiced his displeasure about the team's 1-3 start, but bettors will find that he has very similar numbers to the opposing team's signal caller.
He has thrown for 1,021 yards and six touchdowns with three interceptions while also missing some time due to injury.
Buffalo's Ryan Fitzpatrick comes into Week 5 of the season with 1,040 passing yards and nine touchdowns with three interceptions.
The Eagles have played some pretty physical football teams in the opening four weeks, but the Bills don't fall into this category.
It's also time for Philadelphia's secondary to start living up to its preseason hype and quiet the critics.
Professional bettors are always looking for value, and the Eagles would be laying a touchdown-or-more if current records were reversed.
From a statistical point of view, the favorite in this contest has also outgained all four of its opponents this year.
Buffalo may be 2-0 at home this season, but don't forget that both games were in come-from-behind fashion by deficits of 18 or more points.
The Bills picked up a 34-31 win over the Patriots as seven-point home underdogs in Week 3, but the franchise still enters this tilt with a less-than-desirable 3-10-1 ATS mark in that situation.
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)
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