2011 NBA Draft Lottery: Rating the Chances for Each Team To Select Kemba Walker

Kemba Walker certainly had a season to remember at Uconn last season.

While averaging 23.4 PPG and 5.2 RPG, Walker led his squad to the 2011 NCAA Tournament title and was named the NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player.  He was also given the Bob Cousy Award for the nation's top point guard and was named a first team All-American.

The consensus No. 2 or No. 3 guard in this year's draft, Walker is known for being a good shooter, clutch down the stretch and a good team leader.  That being said, he is also known for being erratic at times and taking bad shots.  

Whatever his weakness, Kemba Walker will be a great pick up for a team given this year's crop of talent.  His knowledge of the game and clutch shooting will make him a valuable asset that many teams won't pass on.  

Here are each team's chances that they will select Kemba Walker.      

1. Cleveland Cavaliers

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Cleveland has the almighty first pick in the 2011 NBA draft and in all likelihood will select one of two players, Kyrie Irving or Derrick Williams.   They will most likely select Irving to be their PG of the future, especially with a good veteran to learn after in Baron Davis. 

Could Cleveland shock the world and go with the stud PG out of Uconn?  Sure.  Is it going to happen?  No.

Probability: three percent

2. Minnesota Timberwolves

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MINNEAPOLIS, MN - APRIL 1: Luke Ridnour #13 of the Minnesota Timberwolves drives to the basket against the Miami Heat during the first half of a basketball game at Target Center on April 1, 2011 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Heat defeated the Timberwolves 11

With the Timberwolves, the growing consensus is that they are going to take the other player that Cleveland does not select in Irving or Williams.

Cleveland will likely elect to draft their PG of the future in Irving, which means that Minnesota will take the promising forward out of Arizona in Derrick Williams.  He will make a great pairing with Kevin Love and give them two great options down-low. 

Probability: five percent

3. Utah Jazz

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CHICAGO, IL - MARCH 12: Devin Harris #5 of the Utah Jazz drives against Derrick Rose #1 of the Chicago Bulls at the United Center on March 12, 2011 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bulls defeated the Jazz 118-100. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and ag

There is a very good chance that the Utah Jazz could take a chance and make Kemba Walker their PG of the future after Devin Harris gets old or is shipped out. 

The Jazz could also elect to go with Brandon Knight since he is three inches taller and considered a more secure PG for the future. 

Probability: 25 percent

4. Clevaland Cavaliers

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MIAMI, FL - JANUARY 31: Ramon Sessions #3 of the Cleveland Cavaliers looks on dejected during a game against the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena on January 31, 2011 in Miami, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by d

Cleveland will likely select Kyrie Irving with the first overall selection so they will have no need for Walker at this pick. 

If, by chance, they select Williams and Utah selects Knight instead, Cleveland would be very likely to pick Walker with this selection.  That being said, they will likely select the PG out of Duke. 

Probability: nine percent

5. Toronto Raptors

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There is a good likelihood that if Kemba Walker falls into their lap, the Toronto Raptors will take him with the fifth overall selection. 

He would give them their PG of the future and put fans in the seats up at the Air Canada Centre.  There is a high chance that the Raptors will take (if available) Walker at this pick.  

Probability: 25 percent

6. Washington Wizards

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WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 14: John Wall #2 of the Washington Wizards dribbles against the Oklahoma City Thunder during the second half at the Verizon Center on March 14, 2011 in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by do

The Wizards already have their PG of the future in John Wall.  Kemba Walker is too talented to be a backup and selecting him would be a slap in the face to Wall. 

Unless the sky comes crashing down, Washington will not select Kemba Walker.

Probability: one percent

7. Sacramento Kings

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There is a high likelihood that, if available, the Sacramento Kings will select Kemba Walker as their PG of the future.

With all due respect to Beno Udrih, Walker would make for a much better backcourt when combined with Tyreke Evans.  That duo, combined with Cousins and Casspi, would make for a great future for the Kings and likely go a long way in helping taxpayers find a way to fund a new arena for Sacramento. 

Probability: 25 percent

8. Detroit Pistons

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AUBURN HILLS, MI - MARCH 23: Richard Hamilton #32 of the Detroit Pistons celebrates a three-point basket with teammate Rodney Stuckey #3 while playing the Miami Heat at The Palace of Auburn Hills on March 23, 2011 in Auburn Hills, Michigan. Miami won the

In all likelihood, Walker will have been selected by this point in the draft. 

If for some reason he is still on the board, the Detroit Pistons will think about drafting him but will most likely draft a big man to go along with Greg Monroe.  This will give them a HUGE frontcourt. 

Probability: one percent

9. Charlotte Bobcats

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If Walker is still on the board at this point, the Charlotte Bobcats will snatch him up immediately.  He will put people in the seats and give the Bobcats SOMETHING to work around.  

Probability: five percent

10. Milwaukee Bucks

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While the Bucks have their PG of the future in Brandon Jennings, they will select Walker simply because he is the best player available.

Probability: one percent

Teams 11-14

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NEW YORK - JUNE 24: NBA Commisioner David Stern speaks at the NBA Draft at Madison Square Garden on June 24, 2010 in New York, New York. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)

A number of teams in the top 10 of this year's draft need point guards, and there are a limited number of "top quality" point guards available.  Kemba Walker is considered by many the second-most talented guard in this year's draft behind Irving. 

Given these facts, it is almost unanimous that he will not fall out of the top 10. 

Probability for Golden State, Phoenix, and Houston: zero percent

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