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NFL SpreadSHREDDER, Week 7: Monday Night Cowboy, Take 71

Alfred KonuwaOct 23, 2010

[SpreadSHREDDER Week 6 Record: 1-2]

[Overall Record: 10-7-1]

Last week, a sure underdog cash was swept from under us as the New York Jets escaped with the cover in the final minutes of the fourth quarter for the second week in a row.

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Because of the Voodoo York Jets, we now find ourselves in "rebound" territory after going 1-2.  So without further ado, let's Dennis Rodman Carlos Boozer Dwight Howard this SpreadSHREDDER!

The Dallas Cowboys return home to play a hot New York Giants team that has been good, not great.  And by home, we mean under 'dem bright lights of Monday Night Football, not Texas Stadium.

The Cowboys are currently in the eye of a tri-annual storm, lead by their overbearing media market, as they have stumbled out of the gate like Barbaro (too soon?) to a 1-4 record.  The Giants are coming off a phony win against the Lions while the Cowboys' Tony Romo outperformed Brett Favre in the yards per attempt category in a losing effort (which qualifies as a phony loss, thus giving the Cowboys value). 

These Cowboys will also be revenge-minded as they will look to avenge two losses to the Giants from last season.

Expect a desperate, emotionally charged, reinvigorated Cowboys team to reduce costly turnovers and penalties in hopes of securing a much needed win on Monday Night, where they are 42-28 all time.  Dallas, 27-17.

The New England Patriots, and that 29th-ranked pass defense, must travel across two time zones, coming off of an emotional revenge win over the Ravens, to play the league leader in passing yards—Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers.

The 2-4 Chargers, who never seem to care about the first quarter of the NFL season, are now in that familiar must-win territory less than halfway into the season.  The Chargers are 2-0 ATS this year coming off of a loss with both wins coming at home.

Injuries, as any smart bettor knows, are overrated when it comes to the spread so don't be too concerned about the absence of the Chargers' leading receiver Malcolm Floyd.  Patrick Crayton should prove to be a more than serviceable replacement to Floyd in this game.  Besides, go ask former favorite Vincent Jackson what his absence has done to Phillip Rivers' production.

The Patriots should come out relatively flat against a desperate Chargers team at home as they run up the score on one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL in a must-win contest.  San Diego, 33-14.

As predicted here, the Cleveland Browns have been one of the most undervalued teams against the spread this season.  Boasting a top-five offensive line and a strong running game, the Browns are really one solid quarterback (like a Joe Flacco type) away from being a viable playoff team.

The Cleveland Browns realize they are a heavy underdog in this game, as well as the fact that they will be lead by a quarterback, Colt McCoy, making only his second NFL start.

The Browns are also aware of the Saints' potentially potent offense.  Expect Cleveland to use their running game to diffuse the Saints' offensive firepower, while keeping Drew Brees on the sidelines for extended periods of time.  Even if the Saints do gain a healthy amount of possessions, rookie running back Chris Ivory and an emerging running game for New Orleans could slow things down and keep the score relatively low.

Going into the season, the Saints were one of the most inflated teams based upon their high turnover change from 2008 to 2009.  Almost on cue, New Orleans has struggled with costly turnovers thus far, and aside from a blowout win over the equally overvalued Buccaneers, they have not looked like the Super Bowl team that benefited from Peyton's playoff failures last season.

Coming off of a big divisional win and returning home to play an out-of-conference opponent, expect the Saints, who are only a 6.5-point favorite in our lines, to struggle against a game Browns team.  Cleveland, 20-17.

Play Brett Favre Bingo this Sunday!  Because Sunday night, is Bingo Night!

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