
NFL Playoff Picture 2020: Wild-Card Standings and Week 11 Super Bowl Odds
The New England Patriots' Sunday night win over the Baltimore Ravens added another twist to the AFC playoff picture.
The Patriots moved to within two games of a playoff spot, but the real news was that the victory created a five-way tie at 6-3 for the wild-card positions.
The Indianapolis Colts are the safest 6-3 team in the AFC since they beat the Tennessee Titans on Thursday night to take a slight edge in the AFC South race.
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Going into Week 11, the Las Vegas Raiders, Miami Dolphins and Ravens sit in the three wild-card positions, with the Cleveland Browns and Titans on the outside looking in.
The NFC is far less crowded because of the NFC East not producing any wild-card contenders. Monday night's NFC North battle between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings could determine whether either team is good enough to chase down the three teams in wild-card positions.
Super Bowl Odds
Kansas City: +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Pittsburgh: +550
New Orleans: +650
Green Bay: +900
Tampa Bay: +900
Baltimore: +1000
Seattle: +1600
Los Angeles Rams: +1800
Full list of odds can be found on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Playoff Picture
AFC
Division Leaders
1. Pittsburgh (9-0)
2. Kansas City (8-1)
3. Buffalo (7-3)
4. Indianapolis (6-3)
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs appear to be the only two teams with a shot to land the first-round bye.
The teams gained ground among the division leaders Sunday, as the Buffalo Bills lost on Kyler Murray's Hail Mary touchdown pass to DeAndre Hopkins. Pittsburgh should remain undefeated after Week 11 since it visits the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kansas City has a much tougher task on the road at Las Vegas.
Buffalo can't lose much ground on its bye, and the AFC South race may not experience movement since the Colts host the Green Bay Packers and the Titans visit the Ravens in a crucial clash in the wild-card race.
Wild-Card Race
5. Las Vegas (6-3)
6. Miami (6-3)
7. Baltimore (6-3)
8. Cleveland (6-3)
9. Tennessee (6-3)
10. New England (4-5)
New England needs a lot of help to just contend for a wild-card position. The Patriots are two games back of the five-way tie and need the teams in front of them to start losing now.
Bill Belichick's team should move back to .500 in Week 11 against the struggling Houston Texans. A win would allow it to gain ground on at least one of the 6-3 teams since Baltimore and Tennessee are set to meet.
The Cleveland Browns may have the easiest Week 11 matchup of the 6-3 teams since they play host to the Philadelphia Eagles, who lost on the road to the New York Giants on Sunday.
Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins have to visit the Denver Broncos, while the Raiders will try to hold on to their wild-card advantage by beating the Chiefs for the second time this season.
Las Vegas owns the best AFC record of the wild-card contenders, which is why it sits in the No. 5 seed. Baltimore, meanwhile, holds the last playoff spot through its head-to-head win over Cleveland and a better win percentage in common games than Tennessee.
If two or more of the 6-3 teams lose in Week 11, New England could make a serious push for the No. 7 seed. If the Patriots get on a winning streak, their December 20 game against Miami may determine the final playoff spot. New England won the first meeting in Week 1.
NFC
Division Leaders
1. Green Bay (7-2)
2. New Orleans (7-2)
3. Arizona (6-3)
4. Philadelphia (3-5-1)
Green Bay's Week 3 win over New Orleans should come in handy down the stretch.
The Packers and Saints are the only NFC teams at 7-2 after the Seattle Seahawks failed to win against the Los Angeles Rams. If the two NFC powerhouses remain on the same records going into the postseason, the Packers would earn the No. 1 seed through the head-to-head tiebreaker.
New Orleans may have an opportunity to gain ground in Week 11 since it hosts the Atlanta Falcons, while Green Bay visits Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Arizona Cardinals surged into the No. 3 seed by way of their superior record compared to the NFC West rival Rams and Seahawks. The perfect divisional mark will be put on the line Thursday night in Seattle.
Philadelphia is still somehow ahead of the New York Giants in the NFC East, and if the two teams finish with the same amount of wins, the Eagles' Week 3 tie could benefit them—as it is right now.
Wild-Card Race
5. Tampa Bay (7-3)
6. Los Angeles Rams (6-3)
7. Seattle (6-3)
8. Chicago (5-4)
9. Detroit (4-5)
10. San Francisco (4-6)
11. Minnesota (3-5)
There will be plenty of Vikings fans across the NFC on Monday night.
If Minnesota leaves Soldier Field with a victory, it would open up a gap between the Rams, Seahawks and Bears in the fight for the final two playoff positions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers do not need to root for Minnesota, but it would not hurt for them to have a cushion between themselves and the other contenders. The Bucs are locked into the No. 5 seed after their awful loss to the Saints in Week 10 shut them out of first place in the NFC South for the time being.
Tom Brady and Co. face an interesting test at Raymond James Stadium in Week 11, as the Rams come to town for Monday Night Football.
By then, L.A. will have had four days to process the result of the Seahawks-Cardinals game and what that means to their pursuit of the NFC West crown and a wild-card position. Since the NFC West race is so close, the leader and two wild-card holders could flip on a weekly basis.
If Chicago wins Monday, it could sit back and enjoy the two vital Week 11 clashes in the NFC playoff hunt.
A win puts the Bears at 6-4 and guarantees team of being tied with at least one NFC West team entering Week 12.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.
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