Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistNovember 24, 2016

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson looks to pass during in the first half of an NFL football game against the Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2016, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
Stephen Brashear/Associated Press

After winning at Kansas City last week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are now 4-1 on the road this season. Unfortunately, they're also just 1-4 both straight up and against the spread within the supposedly friendly confines of Raymond James Stadium. The Bucs will have their hands full trying to turn that trend around when they host the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday afternoon.

    

Point spread: The Seahawks opened as six-point favorites; the total was 45 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 27.4-23.9 Buccaneers (NFL picks on every game).

    

Why the Seahawks can cover the spread

Seattle comes in riding a three-game winning streak with three straight covers,after beating the Philadelphia Eagles last week 26-15. The Seahawks trailed the Eagles 7-6 early in the second quarter and then scored the game's next 20 points to take control and hung on for the cash as seven-point favorites.

On the day, Seattle outgained Philly 439-308 and outrushed the Eagles 152-113. Quarterback Russell Wilson threw for 272 yards and one touchdown, and he caught a touchdown pass on a beautiful trick play from wide receiver Doug Baldwin in the third quarter, providing the crushing blow.

Two weeks ago, the Seahawks upset the New England Patriots in Foxborough 31-24, and just before that, they beat the Buffalo Bills 31-25. At 7-2-1, Seattle leads the NFC West by three games now over the second-place Arizona Cardinals.

    

Why the Buccaneers can cover the spread

Tampa owns a two-game winning streak with two straight covers after upsetting the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium last week 19-17. The Bucs trailed at the half 10-9 and then scored the first 10 points out of the locker room and held on from there for the outright victory as seven-point underdogs.

Tampa Bay outgained Kansas City 442-343, outrushed the Chiefs 116-82 and won time of possession by a 35-25 margin. Quarterback Jameis Winston, in throwing one touchdown pass and zero interceptions, now owns a 12-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio over the last six games.

Not surprisingly, the Buccaneers are 4-2 both SU and ATS over their last six contests. At 5-5 overall, Tampa Bay sits just a game back of division-leading Atlanta in the NFC South.

    

Smart pick

Seattle looks like it's rounding into shape for another playoff run now that Wilson is healthy again. Plus, the Seahawks are already 2-0 both SU and ATS on the East Coast this year. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is coming off a big victory on the road but could be ripe for a letdown as a young team. The smart money sides with Seattle.

    

Betting trends

The total has gone under in seven of the Seahawks' last nine games against the Buccaneers.

The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road against the Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after an ATS win.

    

All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.

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