Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

All of a sudden, the Atlanta Falcons (6-3) have the second-most wins in the NFC heading into a key road matchup on Sunday with the struggling Philadelphia Eagles (4-4). The Falcons have won two in a row, while the Eagles have lost two straight, although the latter has yet to lose in three previous games played at Lincoln Financial Field this year.

Point spread: The Eagles opened as one-point favorites; the total was 49.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 24.7-24.5, Falcons (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Falcons can cover the spread

Atlanta has already proven that 2015, when the team lost seven of eight following a 5-0 start, was a bit of a fluke. This season, the Falcons have rebounded from a two-game skid by winning consecutive matchups with the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and they will have had extra time to prepare for Philadelphia since playing last Thursday night.

In addition, they are 5-1 straight up and 6-0 against the spread in their last six games on the road.

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Philadelphia has leaned on its home field at key points this year, and this scenario is no different. After losing their last two games, the Eagles simply cannot afford to fall below the .500 mark if they want to hold onto any hopes of making the playoffs.

They are one of only two teams in the NFC without a home loss and one of four in the league overall, and all three wins there have been decided by double digits. Plus, Philly has found a way to bounce back from consecutive losses more often than not, going 7-2 SU and ATS the last nine times they have found themselves in this particular situation.

Smart pick

Despite all of the betting trends previously mentioned here, there are a couple more that strongly favor Atlanta. The Falcons are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against NFC East opponents, and the Eagles are 1-4 SU and ATS on the NFL lines in their past five against NFC foes.

The chemistry between Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan and wide receiver Julio Jones will ultimately prove to be too much for Philadelphia en route to the team's first home loss.

Betting trends

The total has gone under in eight of the Falcons' last 11 games against the Eagles.

The Eagles are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games after consecutive losses.

The Eagles are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games against the NFC.

All NFL betting lines and point-spread data courtesy of Bleacher Report's official odds partner Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds-tracker app.