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Buying or Selling Every NFL Team's Playoff Odds Entering Week 3
Now that every NFL team has played multiple games this season, we've seen considerable movement in terms of playoff odds at DraftKings.
On the brink of Week 3, we're combing through those odds and recommending buys and sells for those looking to capitalize on hype/momentum (or lack thereof).
Keep in mind that a buy doesn't always mean we think the team will make the playoffs, just as a sell doesn't mean the opposite. We're considering value here as well.
AFC East
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Buffalo Bills: -10000
Buying: The perennial contender already has a two-game lead on both the Dolphins and Jets, and Buffalo is heavily favored Thursday against Miami. It would take a disastrous injury situation to cost them a playoff spot now, but there's obviously almost no value with those odds.
Miami Dolphins: +800
Selling: The expanded playoff field can tempt bettors with odds like these and the talent on the Miami roster, but you have to consider just how awful the Dolphins have looked. They're also looking 0-3 in the eye with a trip to Orchard Park this week.
New England Patriots: +130
Selling: You need to give me better odds than that considering how much this roster is still working through as part of a rebuild. They laid an egg in their home opener and have almost no shot in the division, while the AFC North and West are much more likely to produce wild-card teams.
New York Jets: +800
Selling: They're 0-2 with 64 points allowed and they've yet to leave East Rutherford. Even with these juicy odds, you're likely throwing your money away on this gamble.
AFC North
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Baltimore Ravens: -1400
Buying: This is tied to Baltimore's tough division. The offense is absolutely rolling already, so -1400 is actually pretty decent considering how inevitable this feels. It might be worth a few bucks to make a few more.
Cincinnati Bengals: +160
Buying: I would have wanted this number to swell a little more than it did after Joe Burrow's injury, but it still represents a solid opportunity with a team that should still be in the wild-card mix. Jake Browning kept the Bengals in games when he subbed for Burrow in 2023, and it's still possible Burrow returns for the final few games of the season.
Cleveland Browns: +1800
Selling: They're 0-2 with the Packers, Vikings, Lions and Steelers over the course of the next four weeks. This isn't even a thought.
Pittsburgh Steelers: +135
Buying: I gotta say, considering the Burrow situation as well as the fact the AFC West could cannibalize each other, it's surprising the Steelers are still getting plus odds on this. There's a decent chance they're in first place with a 3-1 record entering their Week 5 bye.
AFC South
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Houston Texans: +145
Buying: Plus odds are nice here too. The Texans are flawed, but they were right there with the Rams and Buccaneers. I still trust them a little more than the Colts or Jaguars, and the Titans aren't a realistic factor.
Indianapolis Colts: +150
Selling: Not with tons of confidence, though. I just need a lot more than +150 to back Daniel Jones and a Colts team that sort of just held serve with a 2-0 start at home.
Jacksonville Jaguars: +125
Buying: As with Houston, I wouldn't put the farm on this. But considering the competition within the division and the potential for a sneaky wild-card entry, it's a slightly better bet than the opposite with plus odds. The Jags certainly have the talent.
Tennessee Titans: +800
Selling: Even in a somewhat soft division, it's going to be a long year for Cam Ward and this reloading team. These odds aren't tempting enough.
AFC West
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Denver Broncos: -140
Selling: That loss to the Colts hurt, especially considering they have the Chargers and Eagles on the road in the next three weeks. I like this team but fear they may dig too large a hole in the first half of the year, and -140 is far from tempting under those circumstances.
Kansas City Chiefs: -165
Selling: The Chiefs aren't a great team these days, and that one-score luck is no longer on their side in an increasingly challenging division. Don't be fooled. This is an 0-2 team that has the Ravens and Lions in the next month. I'm not laying minus odds on them.
Las Vegas Raiders: +300
Selling: Did you see Geno Smith on Monday night? Dude ain't leading the Raiders near the playoffs in this division. A brutal November/December schedule will finish this team for 2025, which is why I'd be tempted to go -400 for them to miss.
Los Angeles Chargers: -500
Selling: The Bolts have all of the ingredients in place following a strong 2-0 start, but -500 is wild considering the competition in this division and this team's horrendous historical injury luck. Would anyone really be shocked if they were to lose their next two home games against Denver and Washington?
NFC East
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Dallas Cowboys: +270
Buying: Philadelphia and Washington look quite fallible right now, the North could do some cannibalizing, the South is bad and the West is nowhere near as good as its 7-1 combined record. Don't be surprised if the offensively talented Cowboys are in the wild-card mix, at the very least.
New York Giants: +1500
Selling: They're 0-2 and the next six weeks are hell outside of a trip to New Orleans. Even +1500 isn't enough for me to throw away cash on this.
Philadelphia Eagles: -550
Buying: This is a team that has won 18 of its last 19 games. A wild-card spot is the floor, and I'd be willing to risk a little for a small reward at -550.
Washington Commanders: -125
Selling: They weren't overly competitive in Green Bay and now their franchise quarterback is hurt. Don't be shocked if Dallas pushes them within this division.
NFC North
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Chicago Bears: +650
Selling: That big plus is definitely tantalizing considering sluggish starts from Detroit and Minnesota, but the Bears look like a huge work in progress and I expect them to stumble a bit more while putting this together. That might be too much to overcome in the North.
Detroit Lions: -150
Buying: Too much talent there, even if the Packers pose a massive threat within the division. The Vikings and Bears don't look menacing, and -150 is jarringly low considering this was a 15-2 team in 2024 that is coming off a 31-point victory over the Bears.
Green Bay Packers: -800
Selling: They're likely playoff-bound, but the hype has killed any value associated with betting on it. Too much risk within that division, and with a sometimes inconsistent and fragile Jordan Love.
Minnesota Vikings: +200
Selling: I don't hate getting a nice plus for a team that won 14 games in 2024, but the quarterback position is a problem within a brutal division. The schedule coming out of their Week 6 bye is also a nightmare.
NFC South
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Atlanta Falcons: +115
Selling: Really, I'd sit on the sideline entirely here. We don't have enough of a read on these Falcons, and the Bucs still look like the team to beat in a division that is likely to send only one team to the postseason. This is a toss-up. I'd need a bigger plus to wager on the Falcons right now.
Carolina Panthers: +950
Selling: This may be the worst team in football, so anything short of quadruple-digit odds isn't enough. This is only below that threshold because the division is so soft.
New Orleans Saints: +1800
Selling: Or maybe this is the worst team in football? They've hung around, though, and these odds are more tempting than Carolina's. I'm still selling because they're about to drop to 0-4 on a road trip to Seattle and Buffalo.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -500
Selling: Can't do it. Make that four sells in the South, because Atlanta simply poses too large of a threat to the so-so Bucs for me to back them at -500 in what is likely to be a one-playoff-team division.
NFC West
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Arizona Cardinals: -110
Buying: I'd prefer something more juicy than this, but I believe the Cards have more talent right now than anyone in this division and their trajectory is promising.
Los Angeles Rams: -230
Selling: This is way too high considering the holes on the roster for a team that travels to Philadelphia and Baltimore in the next few weeks. This division will be competitive, and it might send just one team to the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers: -320
Selling: Injuries are again destroying their season and the books are asking you to go in at -320? That's absurd. I love the 49ers at +250 to miss the playoffs again, even with a real weak schedule.
Seattle Seahawks: +180
Buying: I wouldn't get carried away, but this is a strong defensive team that has offensive talent as well and has decent plus odds in a winnable division. It's worth a low-risk shot.
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