Free MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: August 20th 2009

Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
Free MLB Pick: Over 10 Runs (August 20th 2009)
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The first two games of this series flew over the total while Wednesday resulted in a push and this is probably the best opportunity to see even more runs. We have seen an average of 12.3 rpg through the first three games and with the output of this series, the ‘Over’ is 10-5-1 in the last 16 meetings with those winners producing 13.7 rpg. Both teams have been hitting the ball very well of late as Minnesota is hitting .299 over its last 10 games while the Rangers are hitting .301 over that same span. Both bullpens have been fairly solid this season but both have been logging a lot of innings over their recent games so anything after the subpar starters could even cause more problems. For the Twins, no starter has gone past 5.1 innings over the last five games and for the Rangers, the bullpen has been called in prior to the end of the seventh inning in seven consecutive games. Minnesota sends Anthony Swarzak to the hill and he has had a rough season with a 5.87 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in his 11 starts. His numbers are actually better on the road but those are offset with his nighttime starts as he is 1-4 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in seven starts. He has a putrid 18.00 ERA and 3.25 WHIP over his last three outings. He will be opposed by Derek Holland who has been up and down this season and while that has been mostly up of late, he has struggled at home for the majority of the year. He has a 6.14 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in seven starts at Ranger Ballpark with only two of those starts being quality outings. His numbers at night rival those of Swarzak as he has a 5.35 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 11 starts under the lights. The ‘Over’ is 11-1-1 in the Twins last 13 road games and they are hitting a solid .291 against left-handed pitching over the last 11 games. 3* Over Minnesota Twins/Texas Rangers