NFL Week 13 Picks: Final Overview of Consensus Picks

Following the three NFC clashes on Thanksgiving Day, we're left with a 13-game slate for the remainder of Week 13. Due to some seemingly favorable game lines, bettors who found some early success have a great chance to get a little richer, and those who fell into the red will have plenty of opportunities to climb back out of the hole.

Doing your due diligence on a potential game to bet is certainly recommended, and factoring in the public consensus picks is an integral part of that research. After all, seeing an unexpectedly high, or low, percentage leaning one way or the other could lead you to be a little more thorough with your analysis and delve a little deeper into the matchup.

So, what is the public saying about Week 13? Here's a look at the consensus picks for the full slate of games, followed by some in-depth analysis for the three most lopsided percentages.

Matchup	Spread	Consensus Pick
Cleveland at Buffalo	BUF -3	Bills, 55%
New Orleans at Pittsburgh	PIT -4.5	Steelers, 55%
San Diego at Baltimore	BAL -6	Ravens, 57%
Carolina at Minnesota	MIN -2.5	Vikings, 57%
NY Giants at Jacksonville	NYG -3	Giants, 70%
Washington at Indianapolis	IND -9.5	Colts, 59%
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay	CIN -3	Bengals, 65%
Tennessee at Houston	HOU -7	Texans, 53%
Oakland at St. Louis	STL -6	Rams, 57%
Arizona at Atlanta	Even	Cardinals, 68%
New England at Green Bay	GB -3	Patriots, 65%
Denver at Kansas City	Even	Broncos, 60%
Miami at NY Jets	MIA -7	Dolphins, 70%

All game odds and consensus percentages courtesy of Odds Shark and current as of November 29.

Public Consensus Analysis

New York Giants (70 percent) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3)

It's not difficult to see why the public likes the Giants over the lowly Jaguars. Throughout the season, Jacksonville hasn't stopped anyone, ranking 27th against the pass and 28th against the run. Making matters worse, the offense is completely sputtering of late.

Rookie quarterback Blake Bortles has posted passer ratings of 58.6 or lower in four of the last seven contests. Over that span, he's thrown five touchdown passes against 11 interceptions and hasn't scored in the last two weeks. He may not even be a threat against the Giants' 24th-ranked pass defense.

On the flip side, New York's passing attack has taken flight since the coming-out party of rookie wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. The LSU product is coming off a monster performance against the Dallas Cowboys, racking up 146 yards and two touchdowns on 10 receptions. He should have a field day against a porous Jaguars secondary.

It really comes down to this: Jacksonville may not have the tools to put up any kind of significant points right now, while the Giants have some talented playmakers who can take advantage of a bad defense. That's more than enough of a reason to think New York will cover a three-point spread.

Prediction: Giants 30, Jaguars 17

Miami Dolphins (70 percent) at New York Jets (+7)

The consensus is really riding the Dolphins' hot streak here, and rightfully so. Despite accumulating a 5-3 record over its last eight games, Miami has been one of the league's most consistent teams, defeating lesser opponents handily and keeping up with good teams. The Dolphins lost to the Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos by no more than four points.

It's a bit of a different story for the enigmatic Jets. They surprisingly defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 10; however, they were stifled by the Buffalo Bills coming off a bye, managing just 11 first downs, 218 total yards of offense and three points.

Quarterback Michael Vick was injured in that game, and according to Sports Illustrated, the team will be going with the embattled Geno Smith for the rest of the season:

Smith was benched earlier in the season due to some rather terrible play, and he'll find himself back in action against a red-hot Ryan Tannehill. It's very difficult to see the Jets keeping pace with the Dolphins through a full 60 minutes.

Prediction: Dolphins 27, Jets 16

Arizona Cardinals (68 percent) at Atlanta Falcons (even)

With Drew Stanton at the helm for Arizona, it's a little difficult to be overly confident in the Cardinals offense. He continues to struggle with accuracy issues and has thrown two touchdowns against three interceptions in his last two starts. Andre Ellington isn't helping matters out of the backfield, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry on the season.

Luckily, that's all likely to change in Week 13 against a terrible Falcons defense.

Atlanta's porous defense is ranked 32nd against the pass and 24th against the run, and opposing teams have been taken advantage. In fact, the Falcons have given up 24 or more points in seven of their 11 contests this season. If Arizona's offense is ever going to have room to maneuver, this would be the week.

Atlanta has some playmakers on the offensive side of the ball, but due to injuries along the offensive line, quarterback Matt Ryan hasn't been able to capitalize. He's been under pressure all year and has been sacked 23 times. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have accumulated 25 sacks of their own this season.

This tweet from Darren Urban of AZCardinals.com doesn't bode well for the quarterback either:

Arizona is only allowing an average of 17.7 points per game, good enough for a tie for second in the NFL. Atlanta's offense has been struggling, scoring 21 points or fewer in five of its last seven contests. The score may remain close in this one, but the Falcons' inability to get points on the board bodes well for a Cardinals victory.

Prediction: Cardinals 23, Falcons 20