
B/R MLB 500: Top 55 Relief Pitcher Rankings
After last visiting with the guys at the hot corner, the B/R MLB 500 now continues with a look at the guys coming in from the bullpen.
Relief pitchers will be scored like so: 25 points for Control, 30 points for Whiffability and 25 points for Hittability for a total of 80 points. Where most other players are scored out of 100, 80 points is as high as we want to go for players who generally only handle an inning at a time.
The Control category mainly concerns how good guys are at finding the strike zone and limiting walks. But it also considers command within the zone and if pitchers are good at toying with the zone.
The Whiffability category considers how good guys are at missing bats. The focus will be on what kind of stuff they're working with and how good they are at using it to get hitters to swing and miss.
The Hittability category is a little different. Missing bats is great, but pitchers can also help themselves by manipulating contact. Guys who can get ground balls are ideal, but we'll also be looking at proneness to home runs and line drives and for guys who just seem to have a knack for not getting hit hard.
One thing we're not doing this year is a reliability category, as talent and reliability are essentially one in the same. Nor is there a separate category for health this year. Any injury concerns we have will be applied to the category (or categories) that stand to be impacted.
Also note that a score in the middle (i.e. 15/30 or 12/25) denotesย average, notย failing.ย And while the discussion will be centered on 2014, we also have one eye on 2015.ย
Lastly, any ties will be resolved with the following question: "If we could pick only one, who would it be?"
When you're ready, you can read on.
A Note on Links and Sources
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Before we begin, there are some things you should know about the links that lie ahead.
First and foremost is thatย CLICKING ON THE LINKS ISย NOTย MANDATORY. The links are there in case you're curious where a given point (or points) is coming from.
They're not all from the same place. The links will take you toย Baseball-Reference.com,ย FanGraphs.com,ย BrooksBaseball.net,ย BaseballSavant.comย andย BaseballProspectus.com.ย All have different data to offer, the combination of which was the backbone for the researching of this project.ย
But don't worry. Just because this project was heavily informed by data doesn't mean that you're about to be hit over the head with a bunch of sabermetric jargon in this space. We'll keep things in plain English.
55. Josh Fields, Houston Astros
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Control
Fields didn't deserve last yearโs high walk rate, as he was actually quite good at finding the strike zone. Heโsย doing that even moreย this year, and, lo and behold, his walk rate has dropped. Not that heโs perfect, mind you. His style ofย pitching up in the zoneย with his heat leaves him prone to missing up. And while the idea is partially to set hitters up for low curveballs and changeups, heย hangs too many of them.
Whiffabilityย
Already pretty good at missing bats, Fields hasย gotten even better. It helps that heโsย added some velocityย to his fastball (or cutter, if you prefer), which now sits in the 94-95 mph range andย misses bats more regularly. This is good, because his curveball and changeup are poor whiff pitches relative to mostย secondariesย youโll see featured by relievers. Without his heater, Fields would be in trouble.
Hittability
Itโs no surprise to see a guy who pitches up in the zone as much as Fields does with aย super-high fly-ball rate. His fastball and changeup combine to help make up for that byย getting pop-ups, as he can get hitters to swing way under both. His fastball has gotten easier toย hit on a line, however, and the fly balls off him to the outfieldย havenโt all been shallow. He should probably have more homers on his record.
Overall
If you focus strictly on Fieldsโ 4.00-plus ERA, youโll see him as just another mediocre reliever. But he's pitched better than his ERA, tightening up his command and getting more swinging strikes. He hasnโt been great, but heโs been a lot better than he appears on the surface.
54. Junichi Tazawa, Boston Red Sox
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Control
Itโsย looking more and moreย like the great walk rateย Tazawaย posted in 2012 wonโt be happening again. Thatโs not overly surprising, as heย doesnโt rely on his fastballย as much as a lot of relievers and isย visiting the strike zoneย less often. But he at least has a hot spot on the outside cornerย against lefties, and he can locate around the outside corner pretty wellย against righties,ย too. Heโs losing it, but itโs not lost yet.
Whiffabilityย
Becauseย Tazawaย sitsย around 94ย with his fastball, he should still have the velocity to blow hitters away. But thatโs something his fastball has beenย doing less and lessย since 2012, which is not a small concern going forward. Itโs a good thing, then, that his splitter has proven to be up to the task of making sure heย keeps getting whiffs. At least he has that.
Hittability
Tazawaโsย splitter is good at missing bats, but it's just OK atย getting ground balls. That leaves him without a consistent option to go to for grounders, forcing him to make do as a guy who can limit hard contact in the air. Heโs unfortunately not getting better at that. Itโs getting easier for hitters toย square up his fastball and splitter, while pop-ups aren't frequent andย deep fly ballsย arenโt entirely uncommon.ย
Overall
Tazawaโsย barely hanging on as one of the top relievers in the league, as heโs only becoming more hittable and less effective at throwing strikes and missing bats. But as long as heโs at least better than most at doing the latter two, heโll have enough to get by.
53. Oliver Perez, Arizona Diamondbacks
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Control
Perez has lowered his walk rate, but not because heโs gotten better atย finding the zone. Heโs gotten worse, in part because heโs putย fewer fastballs in the zone. One issue he has is how often he misses wide with his hard stuffย against rightiesย when he's not going down the middle. Also,ย his slider isnโt meant to pick upย strikes in the zone. In so many words: it's still hard to classify him as a true strike-thrower.
Whiffabilityย
Though not as strong as he was in 2013, Perez is stillย getting swinging strikes. He owes that mainly to his slider, which is among theย best swing-and-miss slidersย thrown by lefty relievers. Where things get shaky is if his four-seamerย might soon have a tougher time missing batsย than it is, as his velocity is creeping down from theย 93-94 he averagedย in 2012. Now that heโs 33, that lost velocity likely isnโt coming back.
Hittability
As awesome as Perezโs slider is, one gripe is that hitters suddenly aren't having a hard timeย squaring it upย for line drives. Also, long fly balls haven't been totally infrequent. So itโs a good thing heโs benefited from increased use of his sinker, which has been aย strong ground-ballย pitch. This has allowed his four-seamerย to be in the business ofย getting pop-ups. Thatโs a working relationship that might be able to stick.
Overall
All complaints about Perezโs command, velocity and sliderย hittabilityย aside, heโs still what he was in 2013: something of an underrated reliever. His slider is a real weapon even despite its increasedย hittability, and his willingness to mix up his four-seamerย and sinker more has made him good for ground balls and pop-ups.
52. Trevor Rosenthal, St. Louis Cardinals
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Control
Want to see something scary? Look how much Rosenthalโs walk rate hasย gone uphill. He hasnโt been able toย command his fastballย like he didย in 2013, when he could hit the zoneย andย stay low in it. Itโs good that his curveball and changeup haveย found the zone more, but thatโs only so much of a victory. Somebody needs to give him directions to the drawing board.
Whiffabilityย
Rosenthal also isnโtย missing as many batsย as he did in 2013. Part of that is owed toย a velocity dropย thatย hasnโt helped his four-seamerย and has actuallyย hurt his changeup. Not that we should complain too much, though. A 96-97 mph fastball is still a good one, and both that pitch and Rosenthalโs changeupย are still quite good at getting whiffs even by reliever standards.ย
Hittability
Itโs typically not good when both of your primary pitches are gettingย worse at inducing groundersย and one of them is becoming much more ofย a line-drive magnet. Itโs a good thing, then, that he hasnโt lost his ability to get pop-ups. Heโs also reasonably good atย keeping fly balls catchable. Such is the benefit of vicious stuff and a good pitch mix: Youโre tough to hit even when youโre easy to hit.
Overall
Rosenthal has gone from being one of the most dominant relievers in the league to being significantly less dominant, mainly thanks to horrible command. But heโs not a fallen star just yet. That heโs managed to get enough whiffs and soft contact to rack up over 40 saves says it all about his stuff.
51. Brad Ziegler, Arizona Diamondbacks
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Control
Before his season ended early thanks to microfracture surgery on his left knee, Zieglerโs move to becomeย less fastball-heavyย was restricting his ability to find the zone.ย What allowed him to get by was how we was still very living around the bottom of the zoneย with all his pitchesย as well as ever. It works for getting low strikes and putting hitters on the defensive. In other words: His style still works.
Whiffabilityย
It's ordinarily not his style, but Ziegler got surprisingly decent atย getting swinging strikesย in 2014. He was notably using his slider more, and it was having anย easy time missing bats. Especially against right-handed batters. The whiffs should keep comingย if he keeps that up, and that might actually be possible. He can certainly locate his slider well enough, and itโs only gainingย more horizontal runย as time passes.
Hittability
Ziegler once again posted a ground-ball rateย over 60 percent, and it was once again thanks to hisย ultra-ground-ball sinker. His sinker is, however, slowly getting worse at inducing grounders. He's also not totally home run-proof anymore. That he had less velocity in 2014 didn't help. And with his 35th birthday coming soon in the wake of his knee surgery, a velocity rebound likely won't be happening.
Overall
Though Zieglerโs become more walk- and homer-prone, this season has hardly been a lost one for him. Heโs still among the best at keeping his pitches low and getting ground balls, and the way in which his slider has become a legit swing-and-miss pitch is a welcome sight.ย
50. Steve Cishek, Miami Marlins
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Control
Cishekย now goesย roughly 50-50ย between his hard stuff and his slider, but heโs hitting the zoneย at roughly his career rate. His command looks better under a microscope, as thatโs how youโll notice how he plays with the cornersย against leftiesย and righties. His slider isnโt strictly a whiff pitch either, as heโs perfectly capable ofย putting it at the knees. There arenโt many other relivers who can do that.
Whiffabilityย
Though hisย strikeout rate has spiked, missing bats still isnโt amongย Cishekโsย strengths. Heโsย no better at itย than heโs ever been, largely because his slider is mediocreย at missing batsย compared to most other relief sliders. Itโs also actually more hittableย with two strikesย than itย is otherwise. Factor in hard stuff that only sits inย the low 90s, andย Cishek's whiff potential is definitely restricted.
Hittability
Cishekย is typically good for lots of ground balls, but not anymore. Hisย ground-ball rateย has fallen off by a lot, with both his sinker and sliderย struggling to get groundersย and instead being turned intoย line drives. Itโs a good thing, therefore, that hitting a fly ball off him isย hardly a guaranteeย of doing damage against him. Thatโs a benefit of his 50-50 fastball-slider mix and his good location.
Overall
The best thing youโre going to see when you watchย Cishekย is his command, be it with his sinker or slider. And when heโs on, his ability to locate and mix those pitches leads to soft contact. This said, heย hasnโt been as good at missing bats as his high strikeout rate suggests, and heโs not as hard to hit as he used to be.ย
49. Rafael Soriano, Washington Nationals
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Control
Soriano isnโt shying awayย from using his sliderย like he did in 2013. Despite that, heโs actually beenย finding the zoneย more often, and how he finds the zone is worthy of some appreciation. Againstย both leftiesย and righties, Soriano works up and away with his hard stuff. This affords him a fighting chance of staying away from the fat part of the bat, and it works well to set up hittersย for low sliders.
Whiffabilityย
The whiffsย have come backย after largely sitting out 2013, with both Sorianoโs four-seamerย and sliderย enjoying revivals. That heโs done thisย without adding velocityย is somewhat suspicious, but it makes sense that the increased presence of his slider would make his heat look faster than it really is. In other words: It might actually be sustainable even though Sorianoโs getting a little old for overpowering hitters.ย
Hittability
Sorianoย is once againย an extreme fly-ball pitcher. That makes sense in light of how much he pitches up in the zone, and part of what allows him to get away with it is his four-seamerย being aย pretty good pop-up pitch. Most of the fly balls heโs given up have found their way to the outfield, however, and a good amount have been deep. His second-half struggles with hard-hit balls were likely coming all along.
Overall
It should go without saying that Sorianoโs best days are behind him. He no longer has the stuff to blow away hitters, and his second-half hittability is more realistic than his first-half hittability. But heโs done himself a favor by mixing up his heat and slider more, and his ability to locate does him plenty of favors.
48. Jake Diekman, Philadelphia Phillies
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Control
As far as walk problems go,ย Diekmanโsย is somewhat unique. He can locate fine when heย faces lefties, spotting his fastball around the outside corner. Itโs when he faces rightiesโwhich he does often as a non-LOOGYโthat he gets in trouble. He often misfires his fastballย high and wide, keepingย his zone rateย subdued and allowing righties to drawย plenty of free passes. As suchโฆyeah, maybe he should be a LOOGY.
Whiffabilityย
When you have aย 97 mph sinkerย and a wipeout slider, however, good command is optional. Diekman's up there among theย top relievers in the leagueย at getting whiffs, with both his sinker and sliderย doing their partย to get him there. Especially his slider, which isย arguably the best sliderย thrown by any left-handed reliever in the game today. As long as he has that and his hard fastball, there will be whiffs.
Hittability
Diekmanย was aย solid ground-ballย pitcher in 2012 and 2013, as you would expect from a sinker-slider pitcher. But both pitches have lost their edgeย at getting grounders, with the trade-off being them becoming easier toย hit for line drives. Not surprisingly, this is mainly theย work of righty batters, who have also had a fairly easy time picking up extra-base hits against him. So once again, maybe he should be a LOOGY.
Overall
Issue can be taken withย Diekmanโsย control andย hittability, and rightfully so knowing that both have been weaknesses against right-handed batters. Outside of those weaknesses, however, lies one of the best fastball-slider combinations possessed by any reliever in the league. And most of the time, it works.
47. Kelvin Herrera, Kansas City Royals
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Control
By reliever standards, itโs a stretch to say walks are a problem for Herrera. But his ability to limit walks isย trending in that direction. Youโd think that wouldnโt be the case with his fastball percentageย climbing as high as it has, but that hasnโt made it any easier for him toย find the zone. Probably because heโs soย prone to wildnessย on his arm side. Right-handed hitters can consider that a warning. Theyโll be coming in hot.
Whiffabilityย
Though it doesnโt show up so much in his strikeout rate, Herrera is still better than most relievers atย getting swings and misses. Youโd certainly expect as much from a guy whoย averages 98ย with his fastballโoften touching triple digitsโand he has a pretty good changeup to boot. But while these pitches are still good at missing bats, theyโreย not as goodย as they were in 2013. Hitters are somewhat on to him.
Hittability
Herreraโs not too shabby as aย ground-ball pitcher, in part because he has a sinker he can go to when heย needs a ground ballย in a pinch. Pop-ups are also within reason for him, as areย catchable fly balls. But itโs not all good. Herreraโs been prone to line drives, in part because his changeup is getting to beย easier to hit on a lineย every year. Thatโs not really what youโre looking for in a change-of-pace pitch.
Overall
Herrera has had little trouble getting results, largely because his stuff is overpowering enough to make up for his shortcomings. Since heโs still only 24, that should continue to be the case for a while still. But make no mistake: Those shortcomings exist, and theyโre keeping him from being a truly excellent reliever.ย
46. Jean Machi, San Francisco Giants
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Control
Machiย has switched things up this season,ย pitching off his splitterย instead of off his fastball. Despite that, heโs actually gotten better atย finding the zone. This is reflective of how heโs not shy about putting hisย splitter in the zone, though the downside there is that he doesnโt worry so much about spotting it. He can struggle to do so with his fastball, too, oftentimes finding theย middle of the zone.ย
Whiffabilityย
Though he has solid velocity in theย 92-93 range,ย Machiโsย fastball isย pretty much uselessย at missing bats. His splitter is a lot better, and it's predictably responsible for theย bulk of his strikeouts. Thing is, though, his increased use of his splitter hasnโt actually made it tougher to hit, and itโs actuallyย not as goodย getting whiffs with two strikes. Hence why hisย overall whiff rate, while still solid, hasn't skyrocketed.
Hittability
More splitters may not be gettingย Machiย more whiffs, but theyโre certainly helping his ground-ball rate. He hasย a good one, in part because his splitter has gotten better at inducing groundersย than it was in 2013. As a bonus, itโs also become harder to hit his splitterย on a line. Itโs too bad the trade-off there is his fastball getting easier to square up, and itโs alsoย weak at getting pop-ups.
Overall
Youโre going to see an awful lot of splitters whenย Machiย is on the mound, and why not? Though heโs not quite elite at all three, he can use it to find the strike zone, miss bats and get ground balls. Thatโs a pretty good formula for a signature pitch, and it serves him well.
45. David Carpenter, Atlanta Braves
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Control
Carpenter was pretty good at throwing strikes in 2013. Now heโsย upped his fastball usageย slightly and become even better, to a point where heโs now among the elites atย attacking the zone. The catch is that his fastball command within the zone is hardly exemplary. He goesย down the middleย a lot, throwing more fastballs across the middle than all but aย couple of other pitchers.
Whiffabilityย
Carpenterโs solid strikeout rate has remained fairly consistent from 2013 to 2014, which makes sense knowing that his solidย swinging-strike rateย has barely budged. Lo and behold, theย whiffabilityย of hisย 95-96 fastballย and his sliderย haven barely budged. Thatโs par for the course for both pitches, and that sends a pretty clear message that his stuff is nasty enough, but notย tooย nasty.
Hittability
Youโd expect a true fastball-slider reliever like Carpenter to be easy to elevate, andย he is just that. The majority of his batted balls are line drives and fly balls, and it doesnโt look so good that he doesnโt mix in many pop-ups. His fastballย isnโt up to the taskย of getting those. And while heโs reasonably good atย keeping fly balls shallow, itโs still fair to say he flirts with danger.ย
Overall
Heโs not especially tough to square up, but that doesnโt necessarily make Carpenter a bad reliever. When his number is called, heโs going to come in and attack the strike zone and miss enough bats along the way to escape unscathed more often than not.ย ย
44. Santiago Casilla, San Francisco Giants
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Control
Casilla hasnโt been much for pounding the zone in recent seasons, and 2014 hasย been no different. He has a tendency to miss wide of the zone on his arm side with his hard stuff, leading to easy takes for lefties and reflex tests for righties. And even when he does go in the zone, hitting spots isnโt easy. As such, the reality that his walk rate has dipped again is deserving of some skepticism.
Whiffabilityย
Casilla is typically not great at getting whiffs, but heโs doing a decent job of it this year. That heโs gained some velocity has helped make his sinker tougher to hit. Heโs also using his curveball more, and itโs emerged as his best whiff pitch. Its up-and-down history as a whiff pitch makes that suspicious, but it looks like a preferable option to his slider either way. Its time as a whiff pitch seems to have passed.
Hittability
You can always count on Casilla to get ground balls, and heโs been getting even more of them than usual. His sinker and curveball have basically only been hit on the ground. As a bonus, Casillaโs been getting a ton of pop-ups and catchable fly balls. It seems like a tough act to repeat, but it's also the kind of act that his general wildness and mix of pitches makes possible.
Overall
Casilla has never pitched like a guy who actually deserves to have sub-3.00 ERAs in each of the last five seasons, as heโs wild and less than overpowering. His ability to get ground balls and generally induce soft contact, however, is no joke.
43. Jeremy Affeldt, San Francisco Giants
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Control
Affeldtโsย performance in the walk department isย likely too good to be true, especially knowing that heโs not exactlyย pounding the zone. What he does reasonably well, however, isย keep his pitches down. Also, one thing that allows him to be effective against righty batters is how well heย works on the outside edgeย with his heat. His is largely a danger-avoidance style of command, but he executes it well.
Whiffabilityย
Youโre not going to see many whiffs whenย Affeldtย is on the mound, as heย works largelyย off a sinker that runsย just 91-92 mphย andย isnโt especially goodย at missing bats. Heโs not totally without hope of getting a whiff when he needs one, though. He does have a curveball and a splitter, and both are pretty good at missing bats when he gets themย down below the zone.ย
Hittability
Whileย Affeldtย is nothing special at getting whiffs with his sinker, it induces groundersย nearly 70 percentย of the time itโs put in play. Thatโs whatโs drivingย Affeldtโsย huge ground-ball rateย this year, and both line drives and fly balls have been hard to come by on the side. Thereโs the suspicion that hisย ground-ball rate is a bitย tooย high in light of his track record, but heโs otherwise showing what he can do when heโs on.
Overall
Affeldtย doesnโt throw as hard or locate the zone as well as he did even as recently as a couple years ago, but heโs still an asset in relief. His ability to keep the ball low allows him to avoid disaster, and heโs the man to call on if a ground ball is needed in a pinch.
42. Danny Farquhar, Seattle Mariners
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Control
Farquhar has had an easier time avoiding walks in 2014, partially because heโs simply goneย in the strike zone more. Him puttingย more trust in his cutterย isnโt the worst idea. Heโs shown that he can backdoor it and put it at the kneesย against lefties, as well as work around the outside edgeย against righties. Farquharโs not the next Mariano Rivera, but thereโs some potential with him and his cutter.
Whiffabilityย
Farquhar missed bats very well in 2013, but his ability to do so has gottenย a bit more modestย in 2014. His velocityย hasnโt been the same, and thatย hasnโt helped. Itโs his curveball thatโs suffered the most, however, as itโs gone from missing bats on 60 percent of the swings taken at it to less than 40 percent. Itโs just another curveball now, rendering Farquhar a good, but not great whiff artist.
Hittability
Itโs not hard to get the ball in the air against Farquhar. Heย doesnโt have a go-to pitchย for getting ground balls, and itโs not the best look that heย hasnโt fooled anyoneย with his four-seamerย or changeup. The bright side is that his cutter and curveball havenโt gotten any easier to hit on a line. The way in which he mixes his pitches helps, too, as he gets his share of both pop-ups andย catchable fly balls.
Overall
The league has adjusted a bit to Farquhar after he blew hitters away in 2013โhis first full seasonโbut it still doesnโt totally have his number. His command is improving, he still has the stuff to miss bats, and his sheer variety of pitches doesnโt make it especially easy to hit him hard.
41. Drew Storen, Washington Nationals
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Control
Storenย isย barely relying on his fastballย for over 50 percent of his pitches, so it makes sense that he wouldnโt beย finding the zoneย at his usual rate. And when heโs not missing wide on his arm side with his hard stuff, heโs oftenย finding the middleย of the zone. Though the rate at which he finds the zone doesnโt exactly make him a bad command artist, itโs hard to get excited about how he operates.ย
Whiffabilityย
Storenโsย fastball velocity is in theย 93-94 rangeย and inching downward. Not so coincidentally, his four-seamer stillย isnโtย as tough to hitย as it once was. It's a good thing, then, that his increased use of his changeup means he now has two secondary pitches that are at least competent at missing bats. Those two pitches will help save hisย whiffabilityย from total ruin if another velocity loss happens in 2015.
Hittability
Relative to 2013, one thing weโre seeing more of fromย Storenย is ground balls. Thatโs a collaborative effort between his sinker, slider and changeup, whichย each induce groundersย about half the time theyโre put in play. That heโs also getting pop-ups and plenty ofย catchable fly ballsย is a bonus and speaks to how heโs having an easier time keeping hitters off-balance through mixing his pitches.ย
Overall
Storenโsย sub-2.00 ERA makes him look a lot more overpowering than he really is, as he doesnโt miss many bats and isnโt an especially good command artist either. But thereโs at least no denying that heโs a much-improved pitcher over the one we saw in 2013, if for no other reason than heโs simply learned how to pitch.ย
40. Fernando Rodney, Seattle Mariners
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Control
Rodneyโs command will never get back to its 2012 level of awesomeness, but he has been better this year. All heโs had to do isย throw more fastballs, allowing himself toย boost his zone rateย viaย more heat in the zone. But since he still tends toย misfire up and awayย on his arm side when he doesnโt finish his delivery, heโs still very much a candidate to go wild at any time.ย
Whiffabilityย
Rodneyโs doing fine at getting strikeouts, but his swinging-strike rate bears monitoring. Itโsย still slippingย from its 2012 peak, andย declining velocityย is partially to blame. He no longer sits 96-97 with his heat, and itโsย cost his heatย someย whiffability. The good news? His changeup is alive and well as a swing-and-miss pitch. As long as he has that, he has one of theย gameโs top weaponsย for missing bats.
Hittability
Rodneyโs not the ground-ball pitcher he was in 2012, but youโre not going to be aย badย ground-ball pitcher when your arsenal is all sinkers and changeups. So it is with Rodney, who can still get 'em. Furthermore, his ability to mix the two well helps him keep fly balls shallow. If thereโs something worth worrying about, however, itโs how both his sinker and changeup are getting easier toย hit for line drives.ย
Overall
Even without good command, Rodney still has the velocity and the sinker/changeup combination to overpower hitters. But with his velocity not what it once was and his stuff having a slightly harder time missing the sweet spots of bats, be warned that lesser dominance may be ahead.ย
39. Francisco Rodriguez, Milwaukee Brewers
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Control
K-Rod hasย never been this goodย at avoiding walks. Heโs notย going in the zoneย more than usual, but he does deserve some special attention for how well he pounds the edges. He can do itย against lefties, and he can do itย against righties. And while this is mostly for setting hitters up for slow stuff below the knees, heโsย never been betterย at putting his changeup and curveball right at the knees. In all, impressive stuff.
Whiffabilityย
Itโs been a long time since K-Rod threw in the mid-90s, and this year heโs only sitting atย about 90-91ย with his heat. But heโsย missing more batsย than he has in a few years anyway. He owes a lot of that to how heโs putย more trust in his changeupย and watched it continue toย come through with whiffs. Itโs one of theย best reliever changeupsย in the game. And oh by the way, his curveball is also pretty good.
Hittability
Hereโs where we can stop speaking so glowingly. The home run problem Rodriguez has developed in the last few years isnโt getting better. In fact, itโsย getting worse. Not so much because itโs especially easy to get the ball in the air against him, mind you. It has more to do with how itโs easy toย crush the ball in the airย against him. That line drives are also gettingย easier to come byย is the cherry on top.
Overall
Thereโs no looking past the home run problem K-Rod has developed. Itโs bad, and itโs showing no signs of getting less bad. But it shouldnโt overrule everything else heโs done this season, which has been largely good. Heโs worked the edges quite well and continued to use his changeup to beautiful effect.
38. Jeurys Familia, New York Mets
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Control
Though heย doesnโt shy awayย from using his fastball,ย Familiaย doesnโt have an easy timeย finding the zone. No wonder, as his fastball command often consists of himย misfiring below the zone. Not surprisingly, he doesn't have the easiest time living atย the bottom of the zoneย against leftiesย or righties. Until he gets things squared away, Iโd expect walks to continue to bug him.ย
Whiffabilityย
It doesnโt show in his strikeout rate, butย Familiaโsย pretty goodย at missing bats. You can do that when youย sit 96-97, and both his four-seamerย and his sinker are capableย of getting whiffs. Not nearly as capable as his slider, however, which has taken up a status as one of theย more unhittable slidersย thrown by relievers. With that and his heat, the strikeouts to match his whiffs should come eventually.
Hittability
Familiaโsย sinker is his favorite of his two fastballs, and itโs plenty capable of keeping the ballย on the groundย and upping hisย overall ground-ball rate. That his slider is also a good ground-ball pitch makes things even better, and itโs not a shock thatย Familiaโsย avoided home runs knowing that fly balls off himย tend to be catchable. That gives him several avenues to make sure contact off him is quiet.
Overall
You can look at howย Familiaย has struggled to rack up strikeouts and limit walks and conclude heโs just another reliever. But heโs more overpowering than his strikeout rate suggests, and his ability to get ground balls and limit hard contact makes him a tough guy to face.ย ย
37. Casey Fien, Minnesota Twins
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Control
Fastballs and cutters account forย more than 90 percentย ofย Fienโsย pitches. So yup, there he is with one of theย lowest walk ratesย andย one of theย highest zone ratesย among relievers. His command is at its best when heโs throwing his cutter in particular. Heโs an expert atย back-dooring lefties, and he doesnโt stray far from the outside cornerย against righties. So yeah, heโs one of the relief corpsโ better command artists.
Whiffabilityย
Thatย Fienย has added aย considerable amount of velocityย to both his fastball and cutterย should, in theory, make him tougher to hit. But heโs actually beenย easier to hitย than he was in 2013, with both his four-seamerย and his cutter losing much ofย their former whiffability. This is one of the costs ofย Fienโsย assault on the zone, asย whiffs outside the zoneย havenโt been nearly as common as they wereย in 2013.
Hittability
Itโs not just whiffsย Fienย has a hard time finding. Ground balls are tough for him, too. He makes his living as anย extreme fly-ball pitcherย who finds ways to avoid home runs. Not an easy task, but he helps himself by inducingย plenty of pop-upsย with his fastball/cutter combination. With the amount ofย deep fly ballsย heโs given up, though, there probably should be more home runs to his name.
Overall
Fienโsย about as tough to notice this year as he was in 2013, if not more so due to the difficulties heโs had getting strikeouts. But his excellent command gives him a good margin for error, and he can still be counted on to at least get some swinging strikes while mixing in pop-ups. Basically, heโs better than he looks.
36. Kevin Jepsen, Los Angeles Angels
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Control
Becauseย Jepsenย didnโt always find the zone with aย fastball-heavy approachย in 2013, you wouldnโt think that a less fastball-heavy approach would help. But it actually has, as he is indeedย hitting the zone more. Well done there, but he still needs some command within the zone. He can stay on the outside edge reasonably wellย against lefties, but too often he goes right down the middleย against righties.ย
Whiffabilityย
Hereโs the real benefit ofย Jepsenโsย new approach. More changeups and curveballs has meant more of two pitches thatย are quite goodย at getting swings-and-misses. Not surprisingly, hisย 95-96 mph fastballย has also gotten harder to hit, leavingย Jepsenย with his bestย overall swinging-strike rateย since 2009. Heโs still less than elite at missing bats, but he can now vouch that a lot of good can come from mixing your pitches.
Hittability
With more slow stuff leaving his right hand, itโs no surprise to seeย Jepsenย getting back to being aย solid ground-ball pitcher. And that mostly has indeed come from his changeup and curveball, which are both goodย at getting ground balls. The one worry is that his four-seamerย is actually pretty poor atย getting pop-ups, soย Jepsenย might be more homer-prone than he looks.ย
Overall
Jepsenย always threw hard enough to be a shutdown reliever. Whatโs finally made him one this year, however, is him ceasing to put so much trust on his heat and more trust in not one, but two different slow offerings. The results have been quite good.
35. Dominic Leone, Seattle Mariners
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Control
With a few moving parts in his delivery, it makes sense to see Leone working with a modest walk rate. Heโs actually not all that bad atย hitting the zone, but his fastball command is prone toย arm- and glove-side wildnessย and is inconsistent within the zone. That makes it tough for him to set hitters up to chase outside the zone. So if he wants more strikes, heโll have to get better the old-fashioned way.
Whiffabilityย
None of the above is meant to imply that Leone doesnโt have good stuff, mind you. He throws a fastball thatย sits 94-95, also mixing in a cutter and a slider. The sliderโs the best of the three atย getting swinging strikes, but he wouldnโt have a solidย overall swinging-strike rateย if his fastball and cutter werenโt also solid at missing bats. Thatโs three good pitches to go with a deceptive delivery. That tends to be a good mix.
Hittability
Because everything Leone throwsย gets ground balls, he boasts aย strong ground-ball rate. Itโs also noticeable that he gets pop-ups more than he gives up home runs, which isย mainly a giftย of hitters reaching for and barely getting his slider. The big test going forward will be if his four-seamerย can keep getting ground balls better than most four-seamers, but thus far he looks like a hard guy to square up.
Overall
Thereโs no shortage of talented arms in the Mariners bullpen, and along has come Leone to show that he fits pretty well with them. His command needs work, but his mix of nasty stuff makes him a tough guy to hit and a tough guy to square up.ย
34. Ken Giles, Philadelphia Phillies
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Control
Giles has a walk rate that doesnโt reflect the command issues he had in the minors, but heโs not past said issues just yet. He doesnโt have theย highest zone rate, and not just because heย relies so heavilyย on his slider. Heโs prone to arm-side wildness, especiallyย with lefties at the dish. And when he does go in the zone, he goesย down the middleย a bit too much. Consider him more of a thrower than a pitcher for now.
Whiffabilityย
This is more like it. Giles has hadย no problems missing batsย since his arrival in the big leagues. And itโs no surprise. He has a fastball thatย sits 97-98ย and a killer slider to go with it. Both have beenย tough pitches to hit, but his slider in particular has a chance to be something truly special. Itโs already up thereย among the big boys, and Freddie Freeman is one of many who will vouch that itย passes the eye test.
Hittability
Itโs a little soon to tell what Gilesโ contact M.O. is going to be, but heโs been decent atย getting ground balls. That this is thanks almost as much to his four-seamerย as his slider is a bit suspicious, however, and itโs also not a good sign that his four-seamerย doesnโt get many pop-ups. Thatโs reflective of how it may be fast, but it actuallyย doesnโt have much rise. Moreover, itย hasnโt been impossibleย to take him for a ride.
Overall
Giles has a classic mix of a hard fastball and a nasty slider that so many strikeout relievers before him have possessed, and it looks like heโs going to have little trouble following in their footsteps. Whatโs more up in the air going forward is how good his command can be and how heโs going to limit good contact.ย
33. Luke Gregerson, Oakland A's
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Control
Gregersonโsย walk rate isย trending down, and his trick to keeping that trend going this year isย more fastballsย and, naturally,ย more fastballs in the zone. He really gets to show off his fastball commandย against lefties, who see nothing but low-and-away heat against him. Heโs more all over the placeย against righties, however, and too many sliders have found theย middle of the zone. Heโs good, but not perfect.ย
Whiffabilityย
Thereโs a downward trend going on here, too, asย Gregersonโsย swinging-strike rate is decliningย from its 2012 peak. This can be chalked up to his decreased slider usage. Since itโs easily hisย best swing-and-miss offering, throwing fewer of them means fewer whiffs, period. If heโs doing that to preserve his arm for his 30s, it may not be much longer before his ability to miss bats simply becomes ordinary.
Hittability
The bonus ofย Gregersonโsย decreased slider usage is that itโsย meant more sinkers. Those have helped himย up his ground-ball rate. Heโll need to keep those coming, asย his sliderโs line-drive rate isย slowly trending upwardย as it continues to get slower and slower. And with that being the case, it's also hard to imagine it remaining a solid pop-up pitch for much longer.
Overall
Gregerson hasย just kept on being one of the steadiest setup men in the business in 2014, using strong command and a more hard-heavy approach to give hitters a different look. The question going forward will be if the cracks that are already there will spread, and how much.
32. Brett Cecil, Toronto Blue Jays
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Control
Cecil has cut down on his walks inย the second half, which was bound to happen knowing that he hasnโt beenย tooย bad atย finding the zoneย in 2014. But heโs also been worse at that than he was in 2013. Anย elevated percentage of curveballsย hasnโt helped, as those specialize inย missing the zoneย instead of hitting it. And while heโs better with his hard stuff, heโs still inconsistent againstย both leftiesย and righties.
Whiffabilityย
Cecil was already good at missing bats. Now heโsย downright stupendousย at it. His velocity isย trending upward, and so is hisย four-seamerโs whiffability. Better yet, thereโs now a strong case to be made for his hook asย the best curveballย thrown by any reliever. He can be a dangerous pitcher with that pitch alone, but donโt rule out the 28-year-old adding even more velocity next season and becoming even more dangerous.
Hittability
Another upside of Cecilโs increased reliance on his curveball is itโsย helped him getย a career-bestย amount of ground balls. But though his four-seamerย is also good at getting grounders, itโs sadly no longerย good for pop-ups. Also, increasing velocity is coinciding with aย rising line-drive rate. Unless Cecil abandons that pitch completelyโwhich is unlikelyโheโll have to deal with some well-hit balls.
Overall
Cecil doesnโt always know where the ball is going when he takes the mound, and his outings can be adventurous as a result. So itโs a good thing he at least has his stuff figured out. Between his increasingly hard fastball and nasty curveball, he doesn't have much trouble overwhelming hitters.
31. Jenrry Mejia, New York Mets
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Control
Mejia hasย relied on his cutterย for about half his pitches ever since he moved into the Metsโ bullpen, and thus far he's shown a solid ability to locate it. He likes to use it to toy with the outside edgeย against lefties, and he can play with both edgesย against righties. He is prone to misfiring low with it, however, and overall he finds theย middle of the zoneย with it a bitย tooย often. Heโs been good, but he still needs some fine-tuning.ย
Whiffabilityย
Predictably, Mejia is operating with more velocity as a reliever than he wasย as a starter. In light of that, youโll be surprised to hear that his cutter really hasnโt gottenย any harder to hit. His slider and curveball are different stories, asย roughly 50 percentย of the swings atย bothย pitches have hit nothing. Thatโs a pretty good way to make up for a primary hard pitch that batters have little trouble hitting.ย
Hittability
It may not be very good at missing bats, but Mejiaโs cutter has continued getting ground balls since he moved to the pen. Itโs been good for groundersย on about halfย the balls it puts in play, allowing him to persist as aย solid ground-ball artist. Heโs still hit or miss when it comes to balls in the air, however. His cutter can be hit on a line, andย deep fly ballsย have been as common as shallow fly balls.
Overall
It looks like Mejia has found a home as a closer. Though his command still needs work and batted balls can be adventurous, heโs not exactly weak in either of those areas. And between his cutter, his curveball and his slider, he definitely has the stuff for the job.ย
30. Yusmeiro Petit, San Francisco Giants
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Control
Petit isnโt one toย throw many fastballsย orย live in the strike zone, but he avoids walks by playing with the edges. He spots his hard stuff awayย from leftiesย and righties. Heโs also very good at using his cutter like a sliderโindeed, some would call it a sliderโagainst the latter,ย consistently spotting itย off the edge on his glove side. His style puts hitters on edge, hence why he so frequently gets them to chase.
Whiffabilityย
Overpowering velocity is yet another thing Petitย does not possess, and it shows in how neither his cutter nor his four-seamerย is good forย missing many bats. Thatโs the job of his curveball, which is fortunately quite good at it. Though not quite near the top, his curve is one of theย more whiffable curvesย thrown by relievers. Itโs especially lethal against right-handed batters, who hit airย half the timeย they swing at it.
Hittability
For a guy who lives on the edges, itโs somewhat surprising to see Petit operating asย a fly-ball pitcher. And though he can get pop-ups, that itโs more hisย changeup and curveball doing almost all the workย is somewhat suspicious. Especially knowing how likely the latter is to be hit on a line, and in general long fly ballsย arenโt uncommon. Knowing all this, Petit has probably gone at leastย a littleย lucky in 2014.
Overall
For the record, yes, thereโs a strong case for Petit to be in the starting pitcher rankings instead of the relief pitcher rankings. But heโs spent the bulk of his time as a reliever in 2014, and itโs really where heโs done his best work. If he ends up in the pen again in 2015, the Giants can expect to keep getting his special blend of good command and surprisingly good whiffability.
29. Cody Allen, Cleveland Indians
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Control
Allenโs gone with a lessย fastball-heavy approachย in 2014, and so many extraย curveballs outside the zoneย have made it tough for him toย find the zoneย more consistently. And while heโs not bad at getting his heat in the zone, it oftentimes involves him having to goย right down the middleย with it.ย Especiallyย against righty batters, who haveย made him pay for it. So yup, thereโs some work that needs to be done.
Whiffabilityย
With hisย 95-96 mph fastballย and his hammer curveball, Allen was a tough guy to hit to begin with. But the extra curveball usage this year has bought himย even more swinging strikes. Beyond his curveball beingย one of the bestย among relievers, using it more has helped make his fastballย better at missing bats. Itโs a mix thatโs made Allen one of theย best swing-and-miss relieversย out there.
Hittability
Yet another benefit of Allenโs increased curveball usage is anย uptick in ground balls, a welcome sight after he struggled to get the ball on the ground in 2013. Heโs still primarily a fly-ball pitcher, however. And while his fastball is good atย getting pop-ups, itโs not good enough to completely save himย from deep fly ballsย and home runs. Heโs tougher to hit, but he hasnโt quite become hard to hit yet.
Overall
His command is lacking and itโs not overly difficult to hit him, but Allenโs a pretty good example of how relievers can make up for their shortcomings if one of their strengths is missing bats. And as long as he has his hard fastball and outstanding curveball, continuing to do that shouldnโt be a problem.
28. David Robertson, New York Yankees
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Control
Knowing that he hasnโt beenย pounding the zoneย at his normal rate, the walk issues Robertson has hadย in the second halfย were coming all along. That heโs gone withย less of a fastball-heavy approachย hasnโt made things easier. It would be a stretch to call him out of whack, though. Robertson still sitsย away from leftiesย well, and he can front-door and hit the outside corner with his cutterย against righties.ย
Whiffabilityย
Robertson hasnโt been as prolific missing bats as his strikeout rate suggests, but he is working on aย career-high swinging-strike rateย all the same. With his cutter only solid atย getting swings and misses, the real star of the show is still his curveball. Itโs arguably one of theย 10 best curveballsย among relievers, and the reality that heโs onlyย trusting it more and moreย bodes well for his future as a whiff artist.
Hittability
Robertson is aย ground-ball pitcherย for the most part, a product of both his cutter and curveball beingย up to the taskย of getting them. However, his cutter has gotten easier toย hit on a line. And with his pop-up rate having finally declined below 10 percent, that heโs had some trouble with homers isnโt the biggest surprise. He may be getting better at missing bats, but heโs not getting better at inducing soft contact.
Overall
The best thing Robertson has done this season is increase his trust in his curveball, allowing him to pick up more swinging strikes and strikeouts. Outside of that, though, heโs actually taken some steps back with his command and hittability. Itโs a good thing even a lesser version of Robertson is still a darn good pitcher.
27. Hector Rondon, Chicago Cubs
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Control
Itโs not by accident thatย Rondonย has been keeping walks at bayย in the second half. Heโs aย fastball-heavy pitcherย who was pretty good at finding the zone to begin with, and heโs only gotten better. He now checks in among theย best in the leagueย at finding the zone. Now he just needs to learn to avoid theย down-and-in lefty wheelhouseย and stop goingย down the middleย to hitters on both sides.
Whiffabilityย
Rondonย has improved in this department, too. His fastball hasย gained some velocityย and is now sitting in the 95-96 range, and itโs beenย slightly better at missing batsย as a result. His slider, meanwhile, is still going strong as a whiff pitch, even if โstrongโ here doesnโt quite mean elite.ย Rondonโsย whiff habitย in general, for that matter, isnโt elite yet. But if his velocity keeps going upโฆmaybe.
Hittability
Rondonย occasionally mixes in a sinker with his four-seamer, and itโs whatโsย mainly responsibleย for theย solid ground-ball rateย heโs working with this year. Thatโs all well and dandy, but less awesome is how his three primary pitches have all gotten easier toย hit on a line. And though heโs been good at avoiding home runs, he has beenย taken for a few ridesย to center field. Hisย hittabilityย remains a work in progress.
Overall
Rondonโsย not really as good as heโs looked since the All-Star break, but the Cubs definitely do have something in him. Any guy who can pound the zone with a good fastball-slider combination is going to succeed in a relief role more often than not, and he fits the bill very well.
26. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs
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Control
Itโs a good look on Strop that he canย increase his slider usageย from where it was in 2012 and 2013 and actually manage toย hit the zoneย more. But walks are still a part of life with Strop. He still hasnโt mastered the art of finding the zone consistentlyย with his hard stuff, and he canโt pound the outside corner with his sinkerย against rightiesย like he doesย against lefties.ย
Whiffabilityย
Strop isnโt averaging 97 mph with his hard stuff like he was in 2012. Heโs now onlyย sitting around 95ย and certainly could go lower knowing that he turns 30 next season. Not worth worrying about, however, is Stropโs slider. Itโs been harder to hit thanย any other reliever sliderย in the league, and itโsย theย reason why heโs among the leagueโsย most whiffable relievers. As long as he has that, the whiffs shall come.
Hittability
One reason Strop struggled through 2013 was because his sinker wasnโt getting ground balls at its normal rate. Fortunately for him, itโs gone back to normal,ย getting groundersย over 60 percent of the time itโs in play and boosting hisย ground-ball rateย back to a solid level. The catch is that his sinker hasnโt stopped beingย prone to line drives, keeping Strop from completely breaking free of last yearโs struggles.
Overall
The downsides of Strop involve living with occasional walks and hard-hit balls, as well as velocity thatโs declining from its peak. But it also means living with arguably the most unhittable slider thrown by any reliever and a sinker that can get ground balls. Thatโs a fair trade.
25. Glen Perkins, Minnesota Twins
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Control
Perkins is once againย one of the best relieversย at hitting the zone. And while it can be granted that itโs easy to find the zone when you throwย over 70 percent fastballs, Perkins doesnโt just throw them up there. He sticks to the same areaย against leftiesย and righties, pounding the former away and the latter in around the fists. The only thing that doesnโt look good is how often he strays over the middle.
Whiffabilityย
This is where things get a little dicey. Perkins does have a strongย swinging-strike rate, but itโs down from where he was in 2012 and 2013. Itโs hard not to notice that his four-seamerย has beenย easier to hit, and that heโs throwing said four-seamerย much slower. Thatโs not a good sign for a pitcher whoโs approaching 32, so itโs a good thing he at least still has a slider thatโs going strong.ย
Hittability
Hitters havenโt had a hard timeย getting the ball in the airย against Perkins. Once again, his four-seamerย takes the stage as a concern. Itโs only getting easier for hitters toย square it up for line drives, and itโsย not getting pop-upsย at the rate it didย in 2013. The high pop-up rate he does have is his other pitches breaking character, and hisย fly-ball mapย isnโt overly encouraging. In all, it doesnโt look good.
Overall
If for no other reasons than he still assaults the strike zone with a good slider in his back pocket, Perkins is still an outstanding reliever. But with his fastball having already lost velocity and become more hittable as a result, heโs not without red flags moving forward.
24. Darren O'Day, Baltimore Orioles
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Control
OโDayย has cut downย on his sliders, but that hasnโt allowed him toย hit the zoneย more. Fortunately, heโs still great at setting hitters up. Heย entices leftiesย by living on the outer edge with his heat.ย Against righties, he changes eye levels by pounding them up and in and down and away, the latter so he can set them up toย swing at sliders. The big picture may not look especially pretty, butย OโDayย knows what heโs doing.
Whiffabilityย
Already on the rise,ย OโDayโsย swinging-strike rate has hitย yet another peakย in 2014. That heโsย gained some velocityย has helped his sinkerย miss more bats. Even better is how featuring his slider less has seemingly made it more of a surprise pitch, as itโs also missing bats more. Keeping that up will be paramount going forward, as itโs probably unlikely thatย OโDayย will maintain his velocity spike into his age-32 season.
Hittability
It still plays second fiddle to his four-seamer, butย OโDayโsย willingness toย trust his sinkerย more has paid off. Since his sinker hasย steadily been becomingย an elite ground-ball pitch, mixing it in more has helped him achieve aย respectable ground-ball rate. Mixing his pitches more has also helped him get his share ofย weak fly balls. That leaves just one worry: theย rising line-drive ratesย of his four-seamerย and slider.ย
Overall
OโDayโsย quietly been one of the better relievers around for a while now, but weโve witnessed him at his best yet this season. Beyond maintaining his good command, mixing up his pitches a little better has allowed him to become a reliever who can miss bats and get ground balls.
23. Zach Duke, Milwaukee Brewers
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Control
Dukeโs had his issues with walksย in the second half, which was bound to happen knowing that he's notย especially great atย pounding the zoneย in the first place. But his command looks better if you focus on how heย keeps everything low, and heโsย effective against rightiesย in part because he features his hard stuffย around the outside corner. His style requires swings to keep the walks at bay, but it works.
Whiffabilityย
Dukeโsย hugely elevated strikeout rateย isnโt a total fluke. Heโs better than heโs ever been atย getting swinging strikes, largely because heโsย put more trustย in hisย curveball and slider. Thatโs especially true of his curve, which isย one of the bestย there is. And with his trust in it increasing every year, it should help keep the whiffs coming.ย
Hittability
Duke is primarily a sinker-curveball pitcher who keeps the ball low, so itโs only natural that heโs aย very good ground-ball pitcher. And both primary pitches do the job well, getting groundersย over 60 percentย of the time theyโre in play. But while this is quite good, less impressive is how Dukeโs breaking stuff isnโt immune to beingย hit on a line. Also, balls in the air off him can be scary.
Overall
Itโs easy to look at a guy like Duke and conclude that heโs just another LOOGY. But heโs more than that. There arenโt many relievers who keep the ball low like he does, and any reliever who can get whiffs and ground balls like he can is going to be effective no matter whoโs standing in the box.
22. Jordan Walden, Atlanta Braves
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Control
Waldenโs fastball usage isย ticking down, so itโs good that heโs found the zoneย with more fastballsย in 2014 than he did in 2013. Itโs also to his credit that he can work away fromย both leftiesย and rightiesย reaqsonably well. This is still Jordan Walden weโre talking about, though. His hop-skip-and-a-jump delivery creates an arm slot as hard as any to repeat. Because of that, walks and grooved pitches are going to happen.
Whiffabilityย
Waldenโs general wildness has yet to bar him from getting whiffs, and heโs doing soย better than everย this year. Heโs stillย throwing his fastballย around 96 mph, and it does a decent jobย of missing bats. His slider and changeup do a heck of a lot better than decent, as both are getting whiffs on close to 60 percent of the swings taken at them. To have two pitches that can do that is unfair.
Hittability
If youโre looking for the reason Waldenโs ground-ball rateย has skyrocketed, look no further than his slider. Itโs operating very much like a sinker, getting ground ballsย over 70 percent of the timeย itโs put in play. On top of that, fly balls off him generallyย havenโt gone very far. All around, thatโs a lot of soft contact, which is exactly the kind of contact he should be getting with his stuff.
Overall
The bigโand to this point, unaddressedโquestion with Walden is how much heโs going to stay healthy. Heโs been to the DL in each of the last three years and had injury issues as a minor leaguer, too. But he is effective when he is healthy. Look past the control issues, and you see a guy with nasty stuff that specializes in missing bats and jamming hitters.
21. Joakim Soria, Detroit Tigers
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Control
After struggling with his command in his return from Tommy John surgery in 2013, Soria has come outย attacking the zoneย in 2014. Heโs showed off especially fine command of his heatย against lefties, easily sitting on and around the outside corner. But heโs been less fineย against righties, often straying into the middle of the zone. So no, not quite perfect.
Whiffabilityย
Soriaโs command has gone back to normal, but he hasnโt quite been able to recapture theย whiffabilityย he had in his days with the Royals. He hasn't been greatย at missing bats, which happens when youย lean heavilyย on a 90-ish fastball thatย canโt miss batsย like it used to. And though his slider has been a terrific swing-and-miss pitch, he still doesnโt seem to be in much of a hurry to use it more.
Hittability
Though Soriaโsย not a very good ground-ball pitcher, his high pop-up rate is really his best excuse for going with a four-pitch mix instead of something simpler. That three of his pitchesย have good pop-up ratesย speaks to how well he mixes things up. Whatโs less awesome is how his fastball isย only getting easier to square up, and that likely wonโt stop knowing that Soria is past 30 and leaking velocity.
Overall
Soriaโs 2014 season hit something of a wall as soon as he arrived in Detroit, but it should still be considered a successful return to form anyway. Heโs shown that he can still put the ball where he wants to, and heโs done a fine job of making up for lesserย whiffabilityย by keeping hitters off-balance.ย
20. Andrew Miller, Baltimore Orioles
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Control
Why the heck isnโt Miller walking anybody? Part of it is owed to a slightly moreย fastball-heavy approach, but the bigger part is that heโs simplyย hitting the zoneย with his hard stuff more often. That's especially soย on the first pitch, which might as well count double. Donโt get too excited, though. Againstย neither leftiesย nor rightiesย does he have a clear pattern for where heโs aiming. Heโs just getting it in the zone.ย
Whiffabilityย
With swing-and-miss stuff like his, itโs not a shock to see Miller checking in amongย the whiffiest relievers in the league. Most notably, the extra strikes heโs getting with his heat are making his sliderย more of a threat. In fact, it currently ranks among theย most dominant reliever slidersย in the league. That will be a tough act to repeat if the strikes go away, but itโs certainly not a matter of his sliderโs nastiness.
Hittability
Millerโs slider is a dual-threat pitch. When itโs not getting whiffs, itโsย getting ground ballsย at an impressive rate. His four-seamerย is also pretty good at that. While thatโs usually fluky, itโs actually normal for him. What that four-seamerย does less effectively isย get pop-ups, and itโs worth noting that its line-drive rate isย on the rise a little bit. Heโs a tough guy to hit now, but maybe not for much longer.
Overall
Miller was quietly having a good year in 2013 before his season came to an early end, so his success this season isnโt coming out of nowhere, especially knowing how much his fastball command has improved. And though there are some red flags with that command and hisย hittability, heโll be fine as long as he at least holds on to his slider.
19. Joe Smith, Los Angeles Angels
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Control
With that funky sidearm delivery, Smith missingย wide of the zoneย on his arm side is going to happen. However, heโs having a better yearย finding the zoneย and deserves credit for how he keeps his sinker (which he uses a lot)ย down low. To boot, itโs uncanny how good he is at keeping his sliderย at knee level. Weโve seen versions of Smith with iffy command, but this yearโs edition isnโt one of them.ย
Whiffabilityย
Smith can get strikeouts, but theyโre certainly more the product of his command. He getsย a lot of looking strikeouts, with the prettiest being on backdoor sliders. Heโs not actually effective at missing bats, though, once again posting a well below par (for a reliever)ย swinging-strike rate. This has a lot to do with how his sliderย just isnโt overpoweringย compared to most reliever sliders.
Hittability
A sinker-heavy pitcher who lives at the bottom of the zone? Thatโs the recipe for an elite ground-ball pitcher, and Smith doesnโt disappoint. Heโsย one of the bestย there is in relief, and itโs been almost impossible to square up either his sinker or sliderย for line drives. Also, fly balls off him have tended to be of the catchable variety. Really the only thing he doesn't do well is induce pop-ups.
Overall
Itโs easy to lose sight of Smith amid all the relievers with high velocity and swing-and-miss stuff. But heโs been aย capableย one for several years now, and heโs at his very best when his command involves him pounding theย zone and never leaving pitches up. Thatโs the guy heโs been in 2014.
18. Jonathan Papelbon, Philadelphia Phillies
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Control
Papelbonย hasย never thrown fewer fastballs, but that hasnโt stopped him from limiting walks orย finding the zoneย even better than in 2013. The trick has been him putting moreย sliders and splitters in the zone, and more at theย bottom of the zone,ย too. That mixes well with his style ofย pitching up in the zoneย with his heat. So though heโs more smoke and mirrors than ever, heโs got the goods to make it work.
Whiffabilityย
Suddenly,ย Papelbonย is good atย getting whiffs again. Thatโs thanks largely to how his four-seamerย hasย gained some whiffabilityย even despiteย now sittingย at only around 91 mph. Spotting hisย secondariesย in the zone has helped. Hitters can no longer sit on fastballs, so he can nowย blow them awayย up high again. Add in a slider thatโs still effective, andย Papelbonโsย whiffabilityย doesnโt look so concerning anymore.
Hittability
Papelbonย can stillย go to his splitterย when he needs a ground ball, but he hasnโt stopped being aย fly-ball pitcher. That heโs back to getting pop-upsโwith a little helpย from his sliderโis making it work, and heโs also been inducing quite a fewย catchable fly balls. That he hasnโt had any trouble with home runs is still suspicious, but this is yet another area where we see his style of pitching working wonders.
Overall
You can count me among those who hadย Papelbonย pegged as finished while he was mediocre-ingย his way through 2013, but heโs a different pitcher now. To wit, heโsย moreย of a pitcher, effectively mixing and locating his offerings to revive some of his oldย whiffabilityย andย hittability. Hats off.
17. Huston Street, Los Angeles Angels
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Control
Street has mastered the art of limiting walksย without living in the strike zone. In his case, what it takes to do that is a whole lot of flirtation with the zone. He uses his fastball to play with the outside edgesย against leftiesย and righties, and almost every secondary pitch he throws toys with theย bottom of the zoneย in some way. Itโs zone avoidance, but itโs zone avoidance done right.
Whiffabilityย
Streetโs not especially strong at getting strikeouts or swings-and-misses, but heโs at least been better at getting both than he was in 2013. Theย revival of his sliderย as a swing-and-miss pitch has played a big part, picking up more whiffs and theย bulk of his strikeouts. And since this revival actually beganย midway through 2013, itโs easy enough to believe itโs for real.
Hittability
With his mix of stuff and location, Street should be a good ground-ball pitcher. But heโs stillย mainly a fly-ball pitcher, and one who doesnโt specialize in pop-ups. Thatโs at times made him homer-prone in the past, but not so much this year. Heโs mixing his pitches and avoiding mistakes well enough toย keep fly balls shallow. Itโll be a tough act to repeat, but heโs provided a reminder that itโs one he can manage.
Overall
Street is having yet another season in which heโs not as overpowering as his ERA suggests, as his game depends largely on locating and disrupting timing more than anything else. But you have to give the guy credit. When heโs on, heโs on. And heโs been on all year.
16. Brad Boxberger, Tampa Bay Rays
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Control
Only the Rays could take a walk-prone reliever like Boxberger and turn him into a command specialist. And his improvement is no joke, as heโs nowย living in the zoneย and clearlyย not overthrowing fastballsย likeย he used to. He also lives on the outside edge pretty wellย against lefties. The next step will be doing thatย against righties, as heโs maybe too eager to challenge with his current approach.ย
Whiffabilityย
Boxberger was already good at getting swinging strikes. Now heโsย excellent at it, asย adding some velocityย to his cutting four-seamerย has made it anย extremelyย hard pitch to hit. In fact, the only guy who has a fastball withย similar whiffabilityย isย Aroldisย Chapman. Yeah,ย thatย Aroldisย Chapman. Maybe thatโs too good to be true, but it definitely looks like the Rays have worked their magic. Again.
Hittability
While itโs not even worth mentioning as a swing-and-miss offering, Boxbergerโs changeup is basically a sinker. It gets himย plenty of ground balls. His fastball, on the other hand, is veryย easy to get in the air. Itย gets its share of pop-upsย in doing so, giving him two pitches that can manage the best of both worlds, but it can also beย taken for a ride. Hitting him is tough, but hitting him well is less than impossible.ย
Overall
Talk about your all-time out-of-nowhere stories. In Boxberger, the Rays have taken a guy with modest stuff and command issues and turned him into a pitcher with unhittable stuff and good command. Thatโs just them doing what they do best.
15. Pat Neshek, St. Louis Cardinals
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Control
Neshekย was a good strike-thrower before, but now heโs something aย lot better than good. All he had to do was cut down on hisย extreme slider usageย in favor of more sinkers, which has allowed him toย join the elitesย at pounding the strike zone. And while it doesnโt look great that he goes down the middle so muchย against righties, it definitely works toย set them up for sliders.ย
Whiffabilityย
Youโd expect the decreased slider usage to hurtย Neshekโsย ability to miss bats, but heโsย actually gotten better. If anything, not showing his slider as much has made itย harder to hit. The catch, however, is thatย a lotย ofย Neshekโsย increasedย whiffabilityย is owed to his sinker. Even though it has gained some velocity intoย the 90-91 range, itโs still hard to trust knowing that itโs likely unfamiliarity doing the deed.
Hittability
A huge increase in sinkers is typically an order for a huge increase in ground balls. Not so withย Neshek, who is still anย extreme fly-ball pitcher. Helping him get away with that is theย insane number of pop-upsย andย shallow fly ballsย his changeup and slider are getting, a testament to how he mixes them in and locates them when he does. Itโll be a tough performance to repeat, but itโs still worthy of props.
Overall
Itโs hard to ignore the โtoo good to be trueโ vibe emanating fromย Neshekโsย huge season, but itโs not like heโs been extraordinarily lucky. At the least, heโs combined an extreme strike-throwing ability with an enhanced capacity to generate soft contact, both of which can be chalked up to a shift in his pitch selection.
14. Tyler Clippard, Washington Nationals
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Control
Clippardโsย no worse than the average reliever at issuing walks, in part because heโs no worse than the average reliever atย hitting the zone. But his preference for pitching up in the strike zone with his fastball does make himย prone to miss high. Since heโs about using that approach to set up changeupsย below the kneesย rather than at the knees, walks are going to happen.ย
Whiffabilityย
This much hasnโt changed:ย Clippardย is quietly still one of the bestย swing-and-miss relieversย in the National League. His fastball isย harder to hitย than youโd expect aย 92-ish fastballย to be, and thatโs a function of both itsย impressive rising actionย and how he stays high with it. His changeup is his real money pitch, though, and itโs at a point now where itโsย one of the bestย thrown by any reliever anywhere.
Hittability
Typically the definition of an extreme fly-ball pitcher,ย Clippardโsย enjoyed someย extra ground ballsย this year. Those are mainlyย from his changeup, which has also joined his fastball in becoming a pop-up pitch. Heโs nowย among the elitesย at getting those. How sustainable this is makes for a good question, though.ย Clippardโsย getting results, but it would be a stretch to say heโs doing things heโs never done before.
Overall
Rafael Soriano is the guy who gets the attention, butย Clippardย is Washingtonโs best reliever. His fastball-up, changeup-down style can lead to some inconsistency, but it makes him hard to hit and just as hard to square up.
13. Koji Uehara, Boston Red Sox
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Control
Ueharaโs fastball command looks superb when you separateย leftiesย andย righties. Do that, and youโll get a sense of how consistent he is at living on the outside edge. In doing so, he gets both called strikes and does a nice job of forcing hitters to expand the zone. However, itโs fair to say his command peaked last year when he had aย 50.5 zone rateย and walked justย two of the last 148 battersย (!) he faced.ย
Whiffabilityย
Uehara hasnโt stoppedย getting swinging strikesย at the same rate heโs been getting them ever since 2012, and you can currently find him near the tippy-top ofย the reliever leaderboard. However, this is due to his four-seamerย getting harder to hitย rather than his marvelous splitter. With his four-seamerย havingย dropped in velocity, the sustainability of that is very much worth questioning.
Hittability
You might have noticed that this part of Uehara's game has been a problem lately, and there are good reasons for that. Beyond hisย line-drive ratesย on all of his pitches being up, his extreme fly-ball style is proving to be a lot moreย inviting of home runsย than it was in 2013. And if itโs this bad now with lesser velocity, you certainly fear it getting worse moving forward.
Overall
Between his excellent command and his ability to miss bats, Uehara still has the same tools for the job that allowed him to put together one of the most dominant runs of relief pitching in history last year. His stuff hasnโt been quite the same, however. Thatโs made him easier to hit, which doesn't bode especially well for the future.
12. Mark Melancon, Pittsburgh Pirates
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Control
Melanconย hasnโt been as strong limiting walks as he was in 2013, in part because he hasnโt beenย finding the zoneย as often. His command is still sharp, however, particularly with his cutter. Heโs consistent running it in on the kneesย of leftiesย and around the outside cornerย against righties. Heโs also thrownย more curves in the zone, getting strikes and giving hitters something else to think about. ย
Whiffabilityย
Melanconย still doesnโt strike batters out at an impressive rate, but heโsย actually gotten betterย at getting them to whiff. His cutter and curve haveย missed bats more frequently, with the latter now rankingย among the top curveballsย thrown by relievers. With both pitches boasting killer movement and his velocity onย both staying steady, thereโs no reason this canโt continue.
Hittability
Melanconย is once again operating with a ground-ball rateย over 50 percent, with his cutter and his curveball bothย doing their part. But putting more curves in the zone has actually hurt its ground-ball tendency. Also, the majority of his fly balls have gone to the outfield, with a few of themย being well-hitย to boot. Heโs still tough to face, but not as tough as he was last year.
Overall
Melanconย hasnโt been as dominant across the board as he was in 2013, when it was basically impossible to do damage against him. But he still locates his bread-and-butter cutter well, and he can still avoid and manipulate contact better than the average reliever.
11. Jake McGee, Tampa Bay Rays
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Control
No relieverย throws more fastballsย than McGee, and that does make it easier for him toย find the zone. Not that his fastball command is especially precise, mind you. Heโs more likely to miss the cornerย against leftiesย than he is to hit it, and pitching to both sidesย against rightiesย leads to some wildness. Heโs darn good, but itโs somewhat disappointing that such a fastball-heavy pitcher isnโt more precise.
Whiffabilityย
Despite his strong strikeout rate, McGee is somewhat less than elite atย getting swinging strikes. Such is life when hitters know to look fastball on every pitch. This said, we do have to give his heater its proper credit. In addition to itsย 96-97 velocity, McGeeโs heater has someย serious rise on itย that helps it miss bats. ย And that, for the record, is something itโsย never been betterย at doing.
Hittability
As you would expect from a guy who throws so many rising fastballs, McGee is primarily aย fly-ball pitcher. That usually comes with the home run warning, but itโs not a fluke that McGee has been able to avoid such trouble. That his four-seamerย has both a strong ground-ball rate and pop-up rateย speaks to how good he is at jamming hitters. Theย general shallownessย of his fly balls is another testament.
Overall
FanGraphs WARย makes an argument for McGee as arguably the best reliever in baseball this year. Thatโs overstating things a bit, but heโs at leastย one ofย the elite relievers in baseball. All he does is throw fastballs, but the quality of the pitch itself and his command of it are too much for opposing hitters.ย
10. Tony Watson, Pittsburgh Pirates
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Control
Watson is once again working on a low walk rate without reallyย living in the zone, but that doesnโt mean heโs getting lucky. He has a plan that includes poundingย both leftiesย and rightiesย inside and around the fists, setting lefties upย for sliders awayย and rightiesย for changeups away. Constantly playing with the edges of the zone allows him to put hitters on edge and pick up strikes through swings.ย
Whiffabilityย
Heโs not enjoying a whole lot of them, but Watson is gettingย more swinging strikesย than he did in 2012 or 2013. That heโsย gained velocityย and is now throwing 94-95 is a factor, but it also helps that heโsย revived his four-seamerย to give him two solidย swing-and-miss fastballsย to go along with his slider and changeup. But despite being a lefty with four weapons, itโs oddย how mediocre he isย at putting away fellow lefties.ย
Hittability
Beyond being solid whiff pitches, Watsonโs sinker and four-seamerย have a good working relationship when it comes to inducing soft contact. His sinkerย gets the ground balls, and his four-seamerย gets the pop-ups. Aย drool-worthy combinationย indeed. The one catch is that he has aย notable platoon split. Heโs hardly out of his depth against right-handed batters, but they can square him up pretty well.ย
Overall
A close look does the job of revealing that Watson has his imperfections, but it also makes it easier to appreciate how he goes about his business. Each pitch he throws has a specific purpose, and he uses them to execute similar plans against lefties and righties very effectively.
9. Zach Britton, Baltimore Orioles
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Control
Britton has all but forsaken his slider and put all his faith in his trusty sinker. Heโs now throwing it over 90 percent of the time, and heโs quite outstanding about keeping it down against righty batters. Heโs somewhat less precise against lefty hitters, however. And though definitely strong, his sub-50 zone percentageย doesnโt stack up against other fastball-heavy elites like Sean Doolittle and Kenley Jansen.
Whiffabilityย
Brittonโs strikeout rate fails to impress, as it indeed looks like the strikeout rate of aย sinkerballer. But heโs actually not badย at missing bats, and thatโs reflective of how nasty his sinker is. Heย sits at 95ย with it, and he misses bats with it better thanย any other relieverย with any other sinker. So though there is the suspicion that he needs somethingย off-speed, Brittonโs sinkerย isย capable of getting whiffs on its own.
Hittability
Since Britton is throwing so many nasty sinkers, youโd expect a high ground-ball rate. But the word โhighโ barely works to describeย his ground-ball rate. It's more likeย โastronomical.โ Itโs by far the best rateย among relievers, anyway. But while this is very, very good, Britton does have one vice: Heโs still not entirely dinger-proof.
Overall
The only good thing Britton had going for him as a starter was his sinker. Moving into a full-time relief role has allowed him to maximize that strength, giving the Orioles a closer who can both overpower hitters and get tons of ground balls. Sounds a lot like a former closer of theirs, doesn't it?
8. Joaquin Benoit, San Diego Padres
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Control
Benoit is only throwing his fastballย half the time,ย andย his zone rateย is hardly a sight for sore eyes. How he manages a low walk rate despite these things relates to how well he executes his style. Heโs extremely consistent atย locating his fastball up in the zone, and itโs mostly so he can set hitters up forย changeups at the knees. Itโs not a style that results inย many looking strikes, but it works.ย
Whiffabilityย
Suddenly, Benoit is one of the bestย swing-and-miss merchantsย out there. That heโsย gained some velocityย has helped, but it has more to do with how the National League has beenย completely stymiedย by his slider and changeup (or splitter, if you prefer). Now, all of thisย hasnโt drastically increasedย his strikeout capacity. And the sustainability of it is a little hard to believe. But it is happening, and it is impressive.
Hittability
Benoit hasnโt been able to repeat last yearโsย respectable ground-ball rate. In fact, itโs mainly due to how easy it is to elevateย both his slider and changeupย that heโs now anย extreme fly-ball pitcher. And without a super-high pop-up rate, most of the fly balls he gives up are going to the outfield. So yeah, itโs a good thing heโs at least capable ofย keeping them shallow.
Overall
Benoit had an excellent season that went under the radar in 2013, and heโs doing it all over again in 2014. Heโs still executing his style of pitching to perfection. And though somewhat suspect, itโs hard to ignore how much better heโs gotten at missing bats.
7. Greg Holland, Kansas City Royals
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Control
Itโs an odd delivery Holland has, and heโs no better than the average reliever atย living in the zoneย with it. But heโs also not really worse than average either, and he doesnโt quite go to the mound just looking to throw his heat down the middle. Heโs halfway decent at hitting the outside cornerย against lefties, and heโs consistent atย pounding rightiesย up in the zone. When youย throw 96ย withย some rise, you can do that.ย
Whiffabilityย
Holland was one of the best swing-and-miss relievers in MLB in 2013, but hitters have simplyย been more preparedย for his fastball this year. Heโs stillย strong at missing bats, however, and thatโs very much a gift of his heavenly (also unhittable) slider. As long as he has that, he can continue to be a terror for opposing hitters.
Hittability
One thing Hollandย isย doing better in 2014 isย getting ground balls. His four-seamer has been doing theย job against lefties, which is a trick we saw him pullย back in 2012. Meanwhile, against righties, itโs his sliderย getting ground balls. You can factor in how guysย arenโt hitting his fastballย as squarely and how itโs also back toย getting pop-ups, and what you get is a reliever whoโs actually become harder to hit.
Overall
That Holland hasnโt been missing bats with his fastballs as well as he did in 2013 is a bummer, as itโs made him a lesser strikeout pitcher. Heโs still a really good one, though, and him being as effective at doing everything else has allowed him to keep his place as one of baseballโs nastiest relievers.ย
6. Aroldis Chapman, Cincinnati Reds
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Control
Going for more of aย slider-heavy approachย in 2014 hasnโt helped Chapmanย find the strike zoneย more often, and walks are continuing to happen as a result. We can also fairly say that he works too much in theย middle of the zoneย with his heat, and that his new slider-heavy approachย hasnโt been hanger-free. I wouldnโt call his command โbadโ by reliever standards, but it isn't great.ย
Whiffabilityย
You know what the deal is. Chapmanโs average fastball velocityย has never been better, sitting at over 100 mph for the first time in his career. Said fastball is theย hardest to hit among relievers, and increased slider usage hasnโt done much to damage itsย own considerable whiffability. Good command or not, youโre going to lead relievers inย swinging-strike rateย andย strikeout rateย when you have stuff like this.ย
Hittability
As if Chapman needed to be more unfair, heโs now also aย solid ground-ball pitcher. Thatโs the work of his slider, which hitters can onlyย hit on the groundย when they do make contact with it. And when you cross his low fly-ball rate with his decent pop-up rate, you realize how few fly balls are making it to the outfield. The catch? Thatโs how his four-seamer's line-drive rate hasn't fully recovered from last year's spike.
Overall
Chapmanโs not a perfect reliever. His modest (and at the same time, honestly a little generous) score for his command and control drives that point home. But hey, when you have a 100 mph fastball and a lethal slider to go with it, you donโt need to be perfect.ย ย
5. Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta Braves
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Control
Kimbrelโsย walk rate is trendingย in the wrong direction. Thatโs not surprising, as he doesnโt always finish his delivery and can fire fastballsย wide and highย as a result. But his control isnโt as bad as his walk rate makes it look. Hisย zone rate has actually improvedย from where it was in 2013, and one should appreciate how he consistentlyย challenges righty hittersย at the top and bottom of the zone.
Whiffabilityย
Kimbrelย hasnโt returned to his 2012 excellence, but he isย doing better at missing batsย than he was in 2013. Thatโs thanks to how his four-seamerโwhich still sits at 97โhasย experienced a comebackย and how his curveball is stillย one of the nastiestย youโll find among relievers. Though heโs a short way away from theย top of the leaderboard, heโs still one of the best swing-and-miss relievers in the business.ย
Hittability
Kimbrelย was at his most unhittable last yearย when he was mixingย a high ground-ball rate and a career-best pop-up rate. Though still strong, both things have come down in 2014. His curveball still isnโt theย ground-ball magnetย it was in 2012. Also, hitters are having an easier timeย squaring up his fastballย as the years go on. Heโs still hard to hit, granted, but it is getting easier.
Overall
As far as pure stuff goes,ย Kimbrelย is good enough to rival any other reliever. And thanks to his stuff, heโs still very much one of the elite relievers in the game. But due to his sometimes iffy command and his increasingย hittability, whether heโs stillย theย elite reliever in the game is debatable.
4. Kenley Jansen, Los Angeles Dodgers
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Control
Jansenโs hard stuff (mainly his cutter) accounts for overย 90 percent of his pitches, so he naturally doesnโt stopย assaulting the zone. And though heย doesnโt avoid the middleย entirely with his cutter, heโs consistent working awayย from leftiesย and on the edgesย against righties. And if you take awayย some questionable calls, heโd have even fewer walks. His only fault, really, is that heโs not Sean Doolittle.ย
Whiffabilityย
Not that Jansen needed another way to get strikes, but this year heโs gettingย more swinging strikes. Heโs up thereย among the elitesย in swinging strikes, in fact, which isnโt that surprising knowing that his cutter was already aย dangerous swing-and-miss pitchย and it nowย has more velocity. His cutter is now basically capable of defying physics, which actuallyย might not be an exaggeration.
Hittability
Though Jansenโs cutter is tough to make contact with, itโs not hard to square it up when contact is made. Heโs still combining a relativelyย high fly-ball rateย with a non-elite pop-up rate, making extra-base hits a constant threat. Then you can factor in how his cutter is only getting easier toย hit for line drives. So despite everything else trending upward, Jansenโsย hittabilityย seems headed in the other direction.ย
Overall
Hard-hit balls notwithstanding, Jansen is still a superb reliever. His extremely hard-heavy style makes it easy for him to live in the strike zone, and his cutter is now arguably the single most dominant pitch in baseball. He has Mariano Rivera-like stuff.ย
3. Dellin Betances, New York Yankees
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Control
Youโd expect a guy who throws his fastball and curveballย about equallyย to struggle throwing strikes. Butย Betancesย is actually better than most atย hitting the zone, and heโs solid at living on the edges with his heatย against leftiesย and rightiesย and atย keeping his hook low. For a guy known for his wildness in his prospect days,ย Betancesโ command has been a pleasant surprise.
Whiffabilityย
Though heย sits at 96-97ย with it,ย Betancesโ fastball is actually nothing specialย at missing bats, hence why you wonโt find him near the top of theย swinging-strike-rate leaderboard. He does, however, haveย one of the whiffiest curveballsย in the league, and itโs remarkable that heโsย actuallyย gainedย velocityย as the year has gone along despite his heavy workload. Thereโs room for optimism going forward.
Hittability
In addition to control and swing-and-miss stuff,ย Betancesย also has an underrated ability toย get ground balls. His curveball has doneย the heavy lifting, but his four-seamerย has also been none too shabby at getting grounders. That same four-seamerย is also goodย for getting pop-ups, and in general fly balls to the outfield off him haveย tended to stay shallow. In all: Guyโs tough to hit.
Overall
Betancesย isnโt the best reliever in the game at any one thing. But heโs among the best at finding the zone, missing bats and limiting hard contact, making him a complete package coming out of the bullpen. Thereโs a very strong case to be made for him as the best reliever in baseball right now.
2. Wade Davis, Kansas City Royals
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Control
Davis didnโt assault the zone when he was in Tampa Bayโs pen in 2012. Thatโsย changed this year. Going with aย fastball- and cutter-heavy attackย has helped, but he also does himself the courtesy of living away fromย both leftiesย and righties. Also impressive isย how rarely he misfiresย with his cutter against righties, using it like a slider. So despite his less-than-awesome walk rate, Davis definitely knows what heโs doing.
Whiffabilityย
Davis hasย gained even more velocityย in his 2014 trip to the pen than he did in 2012, and itโs definitely helped. Among his fellow relievers, he has both one of theย whiffiest four-seamersย andย theย whiffiest cutter. Though itโs short of elite, itโs no wonder heโs working on theย best swinging-strike rateย of his career.
Hittability
When youย get to Septemberย having allowed just two extra-base hits all season, youโre doing something right. Itโs been a collaborative affair between his four-seamerย and cutter. The formerย specializes in pop-ups, and the latterย specializes in ground balls. And though he hasnโt been immune to fly balls, long onesย have been infrequent. Through it all, no reliever has been tougher to hit than Davis.
Overall
Itโs pretty clear the best place for Davis is in the bullpen. He throws harder, locates better and generally bamboozles hitters like itโs nobodyโs business. That's especially true in 2014, throughout which heโs put together pretty much a perfect symphony of domination starting on Day 1.
1. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A's
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Control
Whenย close to 90 percentย of your pitches are fastballs, you better throw strikes. And Doolittle does that. Heโs theย best strike-throwerย in any bullpen, and itโs no trick. The only reliever whoย lives in the zoneย as much as him is Kenley Jansen. And though heโs not really a master at living on the edges, he rarely strays from hisย game planย toย pitch up in the zone. Take note, kids: This is how to be a fastball pitcher.
Whiffabilityย
Thereโs some distance between him and the top, but Doolittleโs one of the best relievers in the leagueย at missing bats. Mixing in his slider more has helped give him anย extra whiff pitch, and it also seems to have made his four-seamerย more effective. Not that it wasnโt a nasty enough pitch to begin with, of course. Beyondย 94-95 velocity, Doolittleโs fastball is one of theย best rising heatersย youโre going to find.ย
Hittability
As youโd expect from a guy who throws so many rising four-seamersย up in the strike zone, Doolittle is anย extreme fly-ball pitcher. And though he works with aย high pop-up rate, it looks less effective when you realize how many more fly balls are going to the outfield. As such, home runs and extra-base hits are a constant threat. Itโs a good thing, then, that the majority ofย balls off himย donโt travel too far.
Overall
Doolittle has gone from being underrated in 2013 to easily one of the best relief pitchers in the league in 2014. That he does it mostly with stupendous control makes him something of a rarity among his peers, but donโt overlook how effective he is at missing bats and getting soft contact with his fastball-only approach.





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