NFL Picks Week 4: Predicting Home Teams That Will Fall Flat

Donald Wood@@Donald_WoodFeatured ColumnistSeptember 28, 2013

DETROIT, MI - AUGUST 30:  Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions celebrates a first quarter touchdown with   Matthew Stafford #9 while playing the Buffalo Bills during a pre season game at Ford Field on August 30, 2012 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Week 4 of the 2013 NFL season is already upon us, and several marquee teams playing at home have been picked to lose.

All of the following teams will fall flat on their own turf in Week 4.

Stats via ESPN.

Full Week 4 NFL Predictions
DateMatchupPredicted WinnerTime (ET)TV
Sunday, Sept. 29Baltimore at BuffaloBaltimore Ravens1 p.m.CBS
Sunday, Sept. 29Cincinnati at ClevelandCincinnati Bengals1 p.m.CBS
Sunday, Sept. 29Chicago at DetroitChicago Bears1 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29NY Giants at Kansas CityKansas City Chiefs1 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29Arizona at Tampa BayArizona Cardinals1 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29Indianapolis at JacksonvilleIndianapolis Colts1 p.m.CBS
Sunday, Sept. 29Seattle at HoustonSeattle Seahawks1 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29Pittsburgh at MinnesotaPittsburgh Steelers1 p.m.CBS
Sunday, Sept. 29NY Jets at TennesseeNew York Jets4:05 p.m.CBS
Sunday, Sept. 29Washington at OaklandWashington Redskins4:25 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29Philadelphia at DenverDenver Broncos4:25 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29Dallas at San DiegoSan Diego Chargers4:25 p.m.FOX
Sunday, Sept. 29New England at AtlantaAtlanta Falcons8:30 p.m.NBC
Monday, Sept. 30Miami at New OrleansNew Orleans Saints8:30 p.m.ESPN

ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 02:  Gosder Cherilus #77 of the Detroit Lions (back), Dominic Raiola #51 of the Detroit Lions (2nd L) and Matthew Stafford #9 of the Detroit Lions (R) assist Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions to the bench after scoring the ga
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Detroit Lions

In one of the most exciting matchups of Week 4, the Chicago Bears travel to Detroit to square off with the rival Lions in a bitter NCF North battle that will see the home team fail to make a statement to the rest of the league.

Detroit is coming off a big win over the Washington Redskins, but the Bears were undefeated against the Lions in 2012 and have started this season with three hard-fought victories.

With cornerback Charles Tillman likely to play through an injury and defensive end Julius Peppers looking to bring pressure against the division rival, Chicago's defense will force Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford to make mistakes.

If Tillman is healthy enough to give Calvin Johnson a hard time Sunday, the Bears will pull out the victory and send Detroit fans home disappointed.

Predicted Final Score: Chicago 24, Detroit 21

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HOUSTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 15:  Matt Schaub #8 of the Houston Texans drops back to pass in the second half against the Tennessee Titans  at Reliant Stadium on September 15, 2013 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
Scott Halleran/Getty Images

Houston Texans

As if the situation couldn’t get worse for a Houston Texans team that lost to the Baltimore Ravens 30-9 in Week 3, the franchise will host the undefeated Seattle Seahawks in a potential blowout.

Houston’s confidence has to be shaken after almost losing to the San Diego Chargers and Tennessee Titans and getting destroyed last week by the Ravens.

On the other hand, the Seahawks are playing great right now and should have no problem shutting down the Texans offense with their top-ranked pass defense and 12th-ranked run defense.

There are plenty of talented players like quarterback Matt Schaub, running back Arian Foster and wide receiver Andre Johnson (likely to play Sunday) that can step up, but Seattle’s defensive unit is just too good.

Expect Marshawn Lynch and the Seahawks' running game to control the clock and lead the team to the win on the road.

Predicted Final Score: Seattle 31, Houston 24

NASHVILLE, TN - SEPTEMBER 22:  Running back Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans rushes against the San Diego Chargers at LP Field on September 22, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)
Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

Tennessee Titans

The Tennessee Titans could be one of the most shocking 2-1 teams in the NFL, but Week 4’s matchup against the New York Jets will lead to a stunning home loss that derails much of the momentum created through the first three weeks.

The hands-down most surprising team of the year thus far, though, is the Jets. With a defensive unit ranked in the top 10 against the run and the pass (sixth and seventh respectively), Tennessee and its 30th ranked pass offense (176 yards per game) will be in serious trouble.

Add in the fact that New York is building confidence in second-round pick and starting quarterback Geno Smith as the talented player acclimates to the league. That's bad news for the Titans Sunday.

As long as the Jets stop Chris Johnson and Tennessee's rushing attack Sunday (seventh in the league with 133.7 yards per game), the Titans will face a bitter defeat on their own field.

Predicted Final Score: New York 21, Tennessee 20