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EPIC NFL Thanksgiving Slate 🙌

NFL Picks Week 17: Misplaced Over/Unders Primed to Be Exploited

Richard LangfordDec 31, 2011

Three games this week provide us with easy money on the over/under line. So, if you are looking to replenish your bank account from the holidays, look no further. An answer has arrived. You can place money on these next three bets with confidence. 

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams

Line: 35.5

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Play: Under

These two last met in Week 13. The 49ers won that game 26-0. There is nothing here to suggest the score will be higher this time around. 

The 49ers have only scored more than 26 points three times all season. And two of those times came before the schedule reached Week 7. 

Meanwhile, the Rams offense is just as terrible as it was when these two first met. They have scored a combined 26 points in their last three games, and they were shutout last week against Pittsburgh

St. Louis is dealing with serious QB injury problems.

This likely leaves the QB duties up to Kellen Clemens, and he was just 9/24 for 91 yards last week. That means if the Rams are going to move the ball they will have to do so on the ground against the league's top ranked rushing defense. That's not going to happen.

Line: 41

Play: Under

No Jay Cutler, Matt Forte or Adrian Peterson means no scoring for this game. 

Josh McCown took over the Bears' QB duties last week, and he led them to 21 points, which is the most they've scored since Cutler went down with his season ending injury.

McCown was 19/28 with 242 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. That was a decent stat line, but it was helped by the fact that the Bears ran for 199 yards at 4.7 yards per carry. And rush defense is the one thing that the Vikings do well. 

Minnesota is seventh in the NFL allowing just 3.9 yards per carry. This is going to cripple the Bears' offense. 

Meanwhile, the Vikings have done a decent job of putting up points. In their last four games they have averaged 26.5 points per game. 

However, they will struggle against a solid Bears' defense. However, Minnesota has done this largely with their running game. They have gained more yards on the ground than in the air in their last three games. The Bears are sixth in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game. 

This is going to be an ugly low scoring game. 

Line: 54.5

Play: Over

This is two high powered offenses playing on the fast Superdome turf. 

The first time these two met they combined for 57 points on the real grass in Carolina. This combined score will be even higher.

The Saints have scored at least 42 points in their last two games, and in three of their last five. 

Meanwhile, the Panthers scored 48 their last time out, and are averaging 33.2 points per game over their last six. 

This game is going to top the 60-point mark. 

Over/unders via Bovada

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