Fantasy Football Week 11: Should You Start Tim Tebow Tonight?
Tim Tebow completed two passes last week. I know he won the game but that is just crazy. His own coach admits that he couldn’t run a traditional NFL scheme but for now, the read-option is working. The Broncos take on the Jets tonight and fantasy owners need to decide if he should be in their lineups.
Tebow has averaged an abysmal 121 passing yards in five games. Despite only completing 47 passes (9.4 per game), he has seven touchdown passes (1.4 per game). One of every 6.7 completions has gone for a score.
He’s run in two TDs this year. Typically a rushing TD accounts for 1.5 passing touchdowns. He’s also averaging 63.2 rushing yards per game. Typically rushing yards are worth twice as much as passing yards. If you transform his rushing numbers into passing numbers and add them to his overall stats, he is in essence averaging 247.4 passing yards and 2.0 TD passes per game.
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The question is whether or not he can run on the Jets.
The Jets have allowed 1,044 rushing yards this year but they haven’t faced a QB with the running ability of Tebow. Romo is mobile but he’s a pass-first guy. They faced Brady twice, Joe Flacco and Philip Rivers. They aren’t exactly going to take off and run. Jason Campbell and Ryan Fitzpatrick can move around in the pocket, but they aren’t utilizing designed quarterback run plays.
The Jets have been in the top 10 in run defense the previous three seasons. This year, however, they rank 15th at 116.0 ypg. Although they haven’t allowed a quarterback to run for a touchdown, they have
surrendered nine rushing scores. They allowed 11, 11 and 10 for the past three entire seasons.
Darrelle Revis is a shutdown corner but when a team attempts eight passes (in a win), there isn’t much to shut down.
The Jets also have time working against them. They played in the Sunday Night game against the Patriots. NFL teams take things one game at a time, and with a matchup against their biggest rival last week, there is zero chance they let Tebow even sneak into their head a little.
There isn’t a ton of film on the Broncos using the option offense and time is limited anyway. Plus, this is an offense that will continue to evolve.
I don’t think this is an ideal situation to use Tebow, but if this is a week that you’re playing without Big Ben, Drew Brees or Matt Schaub (obviously more than just this week), Tebow is a risk/reward option. You likely could do worse.
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