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NFL Picks Week 11: Teams That Will Easily Cover the Spread

Tim KeeneyNov 17, 2011

Here's a look at three NFL teams that will cover the spread during Week 11 action. 

Denver Broncos (+7) vs. New York Jets

Love him or hate him, Tim Tebow is a winner. How many times have you heard that sentence? 

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Probably one (thousand) too many times. While I don't necessarily agree with that sentence, I do believe Tebow makes the Broncos play a style of football that keeps games close.

His inability to throw the ball means they have to run it 50 times a game, and they have become pretty good at that. 

Tebow is essentially a running back by himself, and then Willis McGahee or Lance Ball will also get a ton of work. The Jets have been more effective against the pass than the run this year, but that won't matter since Tebow will probably throw it about eight times.

I expect the Broncos to run the ball with ease tonight and keep the Jets off the field for a long time. While they may not come out with the win, the Broncos will certainly keep it close at home.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1) at Cleveland Browns

At minus-1, this is essentially a pick-em. And if I'm picking someone in this game, I'm staying far away from the Cleveland Browns, even if they are at home.

The Browns have no offensive game. With Peyton Hillis and Montario Hardesty out, they have turned to Chris Ogbonnaya at running back. And to put it kindly, he is not an NFL running back.

Colt McCoy has no deep threat, and this passing game has really struggled to move the ball. 

Of course, the Jaguars don't have much of an offensive game, either. Still though, I like Jacksonville's defense much more, and it should win the field-position battle.

I'm thinking something like 13-10. It won't be pretty, but the Jags should come out on top. 

Seattle Seahawks (+2) at St. Louis Rams

You may not have realized this, but the Seahawks defense is actually really good. 

They have shut down most running games, and even with a very young secondary, they have defended the pass decently. 

The Rams may have to turn to Sam Bradford more than they want to in this one, and as a result could be seriously disappointed.

On the other side of the ball, Marshawn Lynch has been playing out of his mind against two extremely good defenses the last two weeks.

Now he gets to go against a soft Rams running D. He should tear them up. 

I like the Seahawks to win this one on the road. 

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