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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Eric BowmanNov 11, 2011

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos in a very important AFC West matchup, as the Chiefs have a chance to win the division despite a poor start. 

The Broncos need this win to boost their confidence moving forward. Denver played better than anyone expected last week against the Oakland Raiders, but now the Broncos must prove it wasn't a fluke win. 

There is a lot of pressure on Tim Tebow to keep playing well, but the Chiefs will struggle to stop the Broncos' quarterback on the ground. 

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Neither team has been outstanding this year, but both have had their great moments this season, which is why this will be a good and close game. 

With that said, let's take a look at some specifics of this AFC West showdown. 

When: Sunday, Nov. 13 at 1:00 p.m. ET 

Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Watch: CBS

Spread

The Chiefs are favored at -3, which is a little low for me. While I do think this game will be close throughout, Kansas City will get the job done and pull away in the fourth quarter. 

Kansas City will bounce back after their rough loss last week and deliver a strong performance on Sunday. 

Over/Under 

The over/under is set at 41, and taking the over here is just too easy. Both teams have had their struggles this season, but offense will be on point this Sunday. I don't think it will be a high-scoring shootout, but both teams won't have any trouble scoring more than three touchdowns. 

Key Injuries 

For the Broncos, RB Willis McGahee (hand) and S Brian Dawkins (thigh) are both listed as probable. 

For the Chiefs, DB Javier Arenas (ankle) and LB Demorrio Williams (groin) are both listed as questionable, and S Jon McGraw (shoulder) is listed as probable. 

Fantasy Big Plays 

Tim Tebow is a definite start on Sunday, especially after his great performance from last week. Confidence is key in the NFL, and Tebow will be riding high into Kansas City ready to throw and run all over the Chiefs. 

The Bronco's quarterback has had some rough moments this year, but Tebow is a great fantasy player because he is such a strong threat on the ground, which results in solid fantasy numbers. I also really like Eric Decker on Sunday, who is Tebow's favorite target. 

For the Chiefs, Dwayne Bowe is a must-start, especially since the Broncos' defense is No. 23 in the NFL against the pass. Bowe is Matt Cassel's favorite target, and he will have plenty of balls thrown his way for another outstanding fantasy day. 

One of the players to sit in this game is Knowshon Moreno, who has been a huge fantasy bust this season. Jackie Battle should be on your bench as well because his numbers continue to decrease, and the Chiefs will focus more on the pass game than the run. 

Keys to Denver Win 

This game rests on the performance of Tim Tebow. If he falls flat on his face and fails to move the ball down the field, I honestly wouldn't be surprised if the Broncos pull him for Kyle Orton. 

Tebow has to be a force in the passing game as well as the run. He is the focal point of their offense and if he doesn't produce on Sunday, the Broncos don't stand a chance. 

Keys to Kansas City Win 

The Chiefs have to spread the ball around very well on Sunday afternoon to stay alive. The Broncos' defense isn't good at stopping the run or the pass, but the Chiefs haven't had much success on the ground all season. 

Matt Cassel can't make mental mistakes or the Broncos will definitely make him pay. The Chiefs' defense will have their hands full figuring out whether Tebow will run or pass, but the offense can take pressure off the defense with a strong start and a good lead. 

Prediction 

This will be a good game, as neither team is far greater than the other. The game will be close throughout, but in the end, the Chiefs will pull away as Tebow fails to lead the Broncos to a comeback victory.

Chiefs 30, Broncos 23 

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