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NFL Week 9 Picks: Odds Each Week 8 Loser Rebounds with a Win

Ryan PhillipsNov 3, 2011

Several solid teams ended up with surprising losses in Week 8, as the New Orleans Saints, San Diego Chargers and New England Patriots all suffered defeats against opponents they should have beaten.

Here's an analysis of the chances that those three squads and all the other teams who lost last week have of rebounding with a win in Week 9. 

Seattle Seahawks (2-5)

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The Seahawks continued to stumble in Week 8, suffering a 34-12 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. While they travel to face a 3-4 Cowboys team that has been schizophrenic so far this season, I don't expect Seattle to leave Dallas with a win. 

I give Pete Carroll's team a 20 percent chance at a win. 

Dallas Cowboys (3-4)

The Cowboys have alternated between looking impressive and horrendous so far this season.

After getting spanked by Philadelphia in Week 8, I expect them to put some things together at home and knock off the 2-5 Seahawks.

Dallas should take this one. I put their chances of winning at 80 percent.

Indianapolis Colts (0-8)

The Colts dropped a 27-10 decision to the Titans in Week 8 and have looked progressively worse as their winless season has marched along. I don't see the Colts turning things around and authoring any type of inspired performance on Sunday, especially against a 4-3 Atlanta Falcons team that seems to be figuring things out. 

I give the Colts a five percent chance of pulling this one out. 

New Orleans Saints (5-3)

How on earth did the Saints lose to the St. Louis Rams by a score of 31-21 in Week 8? It just doesn't make a lick of sense.

This weekend, New Orleans hosts the 4-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. While the Bucs knocked off New Orleans by a score of 26-20 in Week 6, I don't see a similar result on the horizon.

Drew Brees and his team will be salty after dropping a game to the hapless Rams. I expect them to roll and give them a 75 percent chance at a win. 

Miami Dolphins (0-7)

Once again, the Dolphins snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in Week 8, squandering a fourth-quarter lead and losing to the New York Giants by three points.

This weekend, the Dolphins travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on a Kansas City Chiefs squad that has rolled off four consecutive wins. It's going to be five and Miami will fall to 0-8.

The game will be closer than it should be, but I give the Dolphins a scant 12 percent chance of escaping with their first win of the season. 

Arizona Cardinals (1-6)

The Cardinals had the Baltimore Ravens on the ropes in Week 8, and were up 24-0 just before halftime.

The result? A 30-27 loss that proved Arizona really is a terrible team. Luckily for the Cardinals, they face a similarly bad St. Louis Rams team in Week 9 that also carries a 1-6 record. 

In what is likely to be the worst game of the weekend, I give Kevin Kolb and his Arizona team a 50 percent chance of scoring a home victory over the Rams. 

Washington Redskins (3-4)

The Redskins were embarrassed, 23-0, by the Buffalo Bills in Week 8.

I don't expect things to get any better this weekend when the 'Skins face a 6-1 San Francisco 49ers team that has proven itself to be among the best in all of football.

San Francisco's vicious defense will create all kinds of problems for Washington quarterback John Beck and will likely completely snuff out the Redskins running game.

Even though they are playing at home, I give the Redskins just a 15 percent chance of beating the 49ers. 

Denver Broncos (2-5)

Do I really need to rehash just how bad Tim Tebow looked during the Detroit Lions' 45-10 thrashing of the Broncos in Week 8? The kid looked as bad as I've ever seen an NFL quarterback look—and I've seen some horrible performances in my day.

This weekend, against the Oakland Raiders, I don't expect things to get any better for Tebow. 

Without solid quarterback play, the Broncos have no better than a 30 percent chance of beating the Raiders. 

New England Patriots (5-2)

The Patriots lost to a very good Pittsburgh Steelers team in Week 8, but host the 5-2 New York Giants on Sunday. That's a tough back-to-back. However, if anyone can handle that kind of schedule, it's Tom Brady and Bill Belichick

Belichick and Brady will not let the Patriots lose two in a row. Picking against those guys at home would be foolish. The Patriots have a 75 percent chance of winning this weekend. 

Cleveland Browns (3-4)

The Browns simply aren't as good as most people thought they would be this season.

Running back Peyton Hillis will not be 100 percent this weekend against the 5-3 Houston Texans and I have almost no confidence that Cleveland's defense can slow down Houston's Arian Foster. 

The Browns are a mess right now and the Texans are rolling. Cleveland's chances for a road victory rest at 18 percent. 

San Diego Chargers (4-3)

Philip Rivers and the Chargers stumble into Sunday's matchup with the undefeated Green Bay Packers after a horrid 23-20 loss to the Chiefs on Monday Night Football in Week 8.

Rivers has not been himself all season long and the Chargers have been awful at putting points on the board in the red zone. That's a recipe for disaster against a great team like Green Bay.

The Chargers will play up to their competition and the home crowd will give them a boost. However, they only have a 35 percent chance of knocking off Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.

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