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NFL Week 9 Picks: 3 Teams Sure to Give Vegas Second Thoughts

John RozumNov 3, 2011

When the weekly NFL line is released, it's never going to be perfect. And much like the NFL draft, giving each game a spread to even up the odds is an inexact science.

That said, here are three teams where the game's spread will get you thinking otherwise.

Click the link for the full view of the Week 9 NFL line.

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Cincinnati Bengals (Underdog) at Tennessee Titans (Favorite) -3

Not sure why the Bengals are the underdog. Tennessee may be 4-3 and coming off a win at home, but it was against the Colts.

Cincinnati has just won two straight games on the road over Jacksonville (something Tennessee couldn't do) and Seattle (never easy in the Great Northwest). Now add in Cincy's top-10 defense against the Titans' No. 32-ranked rushing offense and the odds should be in the Bengals' favor.

However, since that is not the case, it makes taking the Bengals in this one that much easier.

Take Cincinnati and the points.

Buffalo Bills (Favorite) vs New York Jets (Underdog) -1.5

Somehow Buffalo is only a 1.5-point favorite despite having beaten New England and Oakland at home, whereas the Jets just beat an unimpressive 4-3 Chargers team at home.

Buffalo has an offense that works in multiple ways, is efficient in multiple ways and can put up points with anyone in the league. New York, however, has a good pass defense but only by default, as its rush defense is very weak. Hence, no one bothers to throw against it as it's much easier to run.

And with the Bills' diversity, the Jets won't be able to slow them down. Now, it's not like Buffalo's defense has been overly impressive, but neither has New York's offense. At least Buffalo is able to force turnovers, which will cause problems for Mark Sanchez.

Take the Bills against the spread.

Atlanta Falcons (Favorite) at Indianapolis Colts (Underdog) -7

This game has the feel of a trap for Atlanta since Indy has given great effort each week in addition to playing much better at home.

Atlanta, however, has begun to play much better on the road and is coming off two straight wins and a bye week, so the odds are in its favor. The question is why it's only by one TD. The Colts have injury issues, lack talent on both sides and the offense ranks No. 27 and No. 22 in passing and rushing.

Luckily for the Falcons, their pass defense has been gradually improving, and even though Indy has some solid receiving targets, it doesn't do them any good when Curtis Painter is under center, which is unfortunate as he's the Colts' best option right now.

Not only does Atlanta win, but it wins by more than one TD.

Take the Falcons against the spread.

Be sure to check out John on Bleacher Report. 

You can follow him on Twitter @ Sportswriter27.

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