NFL Picks Week 7: Denver Broncos and 3 Teams That Will Shock Favorites

There's no arguing with some of the spreads for Week 7. This even applies to the handful of spreads that suggest a given team stands no chance whatsoever of pulling out a W.

That's just how the cookie can crumble sometimes. However, I do think there are a couple of underdogs who have a chance to win outright this weekend.

In fact, there are three underdogs that I think will win outright. You can count on it.

Note: All spreads from Sportsbook.

Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1)

The Bears and Buccaneers are the two lucky teams that drew England duty this year, and they will face off at Wembley Stadium Sunday afternoon.

This matchup has all the makings of a game that is going to be hard to watch. The Bucs are better than the sum of their parts, but they can be unpredictable. The Bears, on the other hand, are a mediocre football team that doesn't stand a chance against the better teams in the league.

This game will likely feature a series of stalemates, plenty of which will result in punts. Occasionally, Matt Forte will do something awesome for the Bears, only to be outdone by Josh Freeman and his troupe of role-players.

In the end, I think Freeman and his troupe will end up doing just enough against a Bears defense that can be pretty dreadful.

Buccaneers 21, Bears 17

Denver Broncos (+1) at Miami Dolphins

After two weeks of rambling on about his upcoming start, we'll finally get to see Tim Tebow under center for the Broncos on Sunday against the Dolphins.

It's a good thing this game has the Tebow storyline going for it—otherwise, it would be the most inconsequential game on the Week 7 slate. As it is, I expect Tebow to have a pretty good game in his first start. The Dolphins are not a good defensive team, and their cause will not be helped by an offense that has a sorry lack of punch.

Only bet on the Dolphins if you have faith in Matt Moore.

In other words, don't bet on the Dolphins.

Broncos 27, Dolphins 17

Seattle Seahawks (+3) at Cleveland Browns

We're probably not going to know who the Seahawks' starting quarterback is until right before kickoff on Sunday, but there are still reasons to like them against the Browns.

Chief among these is the fact the Seahawks are a better defensive team than they get credit for. They play the run very well and can hold their own against the pass. It just so happens the Browns' rushing attack is on the fritz, and Colt McCoy has been only moderately successful despite a huge increase in throws.

Somehow, some way, the Seahawks will win this game.

Seahawks 24, Browns 17