College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: December 1st 2008

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Arkansas State +3.5 (-110) - Monday December 1st ‘08 7:00p
Now, we normally favor Missouri Valley Conference teams in these early-season non-conference affairs, but the Indiana State Sycamore ate off to a disappointing 0-4 start, while the Arkansas State Indians are an impressive 4-1.

In fact, Arkansas State is a perfect 4-0 against the spread, as they covered the number in their lone straight up loss, a seven-point loss on the road at Mississippi in their season opener. Perhaps most impressively, the Indians are coming off of back-to-back straight up road upset wins at Ball State and Tennessee-Martin, running their road record to a respectable 2-1.

Conversely, two of the four Indiana State defeats have come right here in the supposed comforts of home. Moreover, it is not as if they are losing to national powerhouses here either, as their home losses have come vs. North Texas and Murray State.

We feel that this Arkansas State team is more athletic than either of the two clubs that have already beaten Indiana State so far, and that the Indians defensive pressure that has limited their opponents to 35.3 percent shooting from the floor will be too much for the Sycamores to handle.

Thus, Arkansas State is simply the better team at this time, and their defense is allowing nearly 20 points per game less (58.0) than the Indiana State defense has (77.0), making the Indians a very live road underdog here.

College Basketball Free Pick: Arkansas State +3.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits