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NFL Picks Week 5: 3 Five Star Plays You Can Bet the Farm on

Richard LangfordOct 3, 2011

Do you like money? Do you like easy money? If you have answered yes to one or both of these question then you have come to the right place. The following three games all offer betting lines that are ripe for the picking.

Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills

Play: Bills plus-3

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You can call this line "dream team hangover." Am I the only person that realizes that the Eagles are 1-3 and the Bills are 3-1? And the Bills are at home!

It's not like the Bills have beaten only weak teams and the Eagles have lost to the best. The Eagles defense is in shambles. They are 30th against the rush, in terms of yards allowed per game.

This bodes well for a Bills team that is fifth in the NFL in rushing yards gained per game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers

Play: Bucs plus-1.5

The 49ers are not as good as their 3-1 record would indicate. They only do one thing well, and that is stopping the run.

This is not going to be enough to beat a well-balanced Buccaneers team. The Bucs can beat you in many different ways.

The 49ers secondary will struggle to contain Josh Freeman and the Bucs passing offense.

More than anything though, is the fact that the 49ers' anemic offense will not be able to move the ball on the Buccaneers defense.

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans

Play: Over 49

This game is a matchup of two explosive offenses, and less than stellar defenses.

The Texans will likely be without stud WR Andre Johsnon, but that shouldn't matter against a Raiders secondary that is struggling to stop anyone. The Raiders are 22nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed, and that number would be worse if they weren't 29th in rushing yards allowed.

The Texans will have their choice between attacking this team on the ground or in the air.

Meanwhile, the Texans are also struggling to stop the run. They are 17th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed and this is despite the fact that their high-scoring offense often forces teams to take to the air to keep pace.

The Raiders lead the NFL in rushing.

This is going to be a high-scoring game and will easily surpass 49 total points.

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