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College Football Power Rankings Week Nine
Jake WestrichOct 21, 2008
CFB Power Rankings
10/20/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 20th, 2008
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible FBS matchup one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000-plus games to evaluate every team.
All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| 1. | Texas Longhorns | 0 | 98.3% | 56.8 | 9.2 |
| 2. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +2 | 96.9% | 49.4 | 15.4 |
| 3. | Oklahoma Sooners | 0 | 95.1% | 45.3 | 15.0 |
| 4. | USC Trojans | +3 | 95.0% | 44.6 | 10.0 |
| 5. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -3 | 94.8% | 45.0 | 10.9 |
| 6. | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0 | 90.1% | 38.0 | 10.1 |
| 7. | Missouri Tigers | -2 | 89.9% | 42.8 | 20.6 |
| 8. | GA Tech Yellow Jackets | +2 | 89.2% | 33.2 | 11.8 |
| 9. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +5 | 88.8% | 49.6 | 23.1 |
| 10. | Georgia Bulldogs | +1 | 88.6% | 39.1 | 14.5 |
| 11. | Boise State Broncos | +2 | 88.5% | 39.1 | 12.2 |
| 12. | Florida Gators | 0 | 86.8% | 37.7 | 14.3 |
| 13. | Ball State Cardinals | -4 | 86.0% | 40.9 | 19.0 |
| 14. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -6 | 84.7% | 40.7 | 17.9 |
| 15. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +7 | 83.6% | 30.3 | 11.9 |
| 16. | Florida State Seminoles | +2 | 82.7% | 30.6 | 15.2 |
| 17. | Utah Utes | -1 | 82.3% | 36.2 | 15.1 |
| 18. | TCU Horned Frogs | +1 | 80.2% | 29.5 | 11.0 |
| 19. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +17 | 77.2% | 28.3 | 17.0 |
| 20. | Boston College Eagles | +7 | 76.5% | 26.9 | 15.8 |
| 21. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +20 | 76.2% | 33.0 | 22.0 |
| 22. | South Florida Bulls | +3 | 75.9% | 33.5 | 16.4 |
| 23. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -6 | 75.3% | 29.3 | 20.3 |
| 24. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +4 | 75.2% | 29.5 | 18.1 |
| 25. | Kansas Jayhawks | -5 | 73.9% | 29.3 | 20.4 |
| 26. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +5 | 72.8% | 31.6 | 23.2 |
| 27. | Air Force Falcons | +12 | 71.2% | 32.3 | 19.9 |
| 28. | LSU Tigers | +4 | 70.4% | 29.6 | 18.2 |
| 29. | California Golden Bears | -14 | 69.2% | 28.6 | 18.6 |
| 30. | Oregon Ducks | +3 | 69.2% | 29.8 | 19.3 |
| 31. | Arizona Wildcats | +12 | 69.1% | 27.3 | 18.3 |
| 32. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +2 | 67.2% | 30.5 | 19.5 |
| 33. | Brigham Young Cougars | -10 | 67.0% | 29.4 | 19.2 |
| 34. | Minn. Golden Gophers | -4 | 65.7% | 27.8 | 22.0 |
| 35. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +7 | 65.5% | 30.6 | 24.5 |
| 36. | Maryland Terrapins | +1 | 65.2% | 26.0 | 22.0 |
| 37. | Oregon State Beavers | -11 | 65.0% | 27.7 | 20.8 |
| 38. | Northwestern Wildcats | -3 | 64.5% | 24.2 | 18.5 |
| 39. | Michigan State Spartans | -18 | 64.1% | 24.8 | 20.6 |
| 40. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +19 | 62.3% | 25.3 | 20.5 |
| 41. | Arkansas St. Indians | +8 | 60.6% | 26.9 | 23.5 |
| 42. | W. Virginia Mountaineers | +9 | 60.0% | 22.0 | 20.4 |
| 43. | Clemson Tigers | +2 | 58.7% | 21.9 | 22.6 |
| 44. | W. Michigan Broncos | -4 | 58.7% | 25.6 | 22.2 |
| 45. | WF Demon Deacons | -16 | 57.6% | 19.3 | 20.0 |
| 46. | Troy Trojans | +14 | 57.3% | 26.9 | 20.3 |
| 47. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -23 | 56.0% | 20.7 | 21.8 |
| 48. | Mississippi Rebels | 0 | 55.5% | 25.5 | 22.4 |
| 49. | Houston Cougars | +4 | 54.9% | 28.2 | 24.3 |
| 50. | Kansas State Wildcats | -3 | 54.8% | 25.0 | 26.4 |
| 51. | Wisconsin Badgers | -1 | 54.2% | 22.4 | 22.5 |
| 52. | S. Carolina Gamecocks | -8 | 54.1% | 20.7 | 19.4 |
| 53. | Kentucky Wildcats | +13 | 52.3% | 18.6 | 18.2 |
| 54. | Connecticut Huskies | -2 | 51.6% | 25.0 | 21.3 |
| 55. | C. Michigan Chippewas | +15 | 51.3% | 23.6 | 24.1 |
| 56. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +19 | 51.0% | 18.2 | 22.2 |
| 57. | Navy Midshipmen | -19 | 51.0% | 28.5 | 25.5 |
| 58. | Louisville Cardinals | -2 | 51.0% | 25.5 | 22.7 |
| 59. | San Jose State Spartans | +2 | 50.8% | 17.5 | 19.4 |
| 60. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +7 | 50.7% | 28.9 | 26.9 |
| 61. | Baylor Bears | -15 | 48.4% | 23.6 | 23.6 |
| 62. | Tennessee Volunteers | +17 | 48.2% | 20.3 | 21.3 |
| 63. | Arizona St. Sun Devils | -5 | 47.6% | 22.0 | 24.1 |
| 64. | East Carolina Pirates | +18 | 47.6% | 22.9 | 22.3 |
| 65. | Virginia Cavaliers | -11 | 46.6% | 16.5 | 22.7 |
| 66. | Purdue Boilermakers | +5 | 46.2% | 19.6 | 24.7 |
| 67. | Stanford Cardinal | -5 | 44.8% | 21.5 | 24.7 |
| 68. | New Mexico State Aggies | -13 | 44.7% | 21.1 | 26.3 |
| 69. | Duke Blue Devils | -6 | 44.4% | 17.4 | 25.0 |
| 70. | LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns | +4 | 44.0% | 25.6 | 30.0 |
| 71. | Akron Zips | +5 | 42.7% | 21.4 | 26.8 |
| 72. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -4 | 42.0% | 22.0 | 25.6 |
| 73. | Rice Owls | +8 | 41.5% | 24.6 | 27.7 |
| 74. | Indiana Hoosiers | -17 | 40.9% | 20.5 | 28.0 |
| 75. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -11 | 39.8% | 16.6 | 22.3 |
| 76. | UNLV Rebels | -4 | 39.0% | 22.8 | 30.8 |
| 77. | Hawaii Warriors | -4 | 38.9% | 20.8 | 25.2 |
| 78. | Colorado Buffaloes | 0 | 38.5% | 14.9 | 24.2 |
| 79. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -10 | 37.7% | 19.5 | 22.8 |
| 80. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +10 | 37.0% | 17.7 | 26.1 |
| 81. | Bowling Green Falcons | -16 | 35.6% | 16.1 | 25.0 |
| 82. | NC St. Wolfpack | +9 | 35.0% | 15.6 | 27.2 |
| 83. | Auburn Tigers | -3 | 33.8% | 13.2 | 20.6 |
| 84. | New Mexico Lobos | +16 | 33.7% | 16.8 | 24.4 |
| 85. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +16 | 33.7% | 16.9 | 28.9 |
| 86. | Buffalo Bulls | -3 | 33.1% | 19.4 | 25.0 |
| 87. | Colorado St. Rams | -10 | 31.9% | 18.5 | 26.5 |
| 88. | Ohio Bobcats | -4 | 31.1% | 17.8 | 27.7 |
| 89. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +20 | 30.6% | 20.3 | 26.6 |
| 90. | Mid Tenn Blue Raiders | -2 | 29.1% | 17.0 | 24.7 |
| 91. | Temple Owls | -2 | 28.8% | 12.6 | 26.5 |
| 92. | UTEP Miners | -7 | 28.4% | 21.0 | 30.2 |
| 93. | Fla. Int. Golden Panthers | +3 | 28.3% | 17.2 | 24.3 |
| 94. | Tulane Green Wave | +1 | 28.1% | 19.5 | 28.8 |
| 95. | UCLA Bruins | +11 | 27.4% | 14.2 | 26.8 |
| 96. | Memphis Tigers | -3 | 27.2% | 20.1 | 30.2 |
| 97. | Michigan Wolverines | -3 | 26.5% | 12.6 | 27.4 |
| 98. | S. Miss Golden Eagles | -11 | 25.6% | 18.9 | 29.3 |
| 99. | Texas A&M Aggies | -7 | 25.6% | 19.0 | 30.5 |
| 100. | Iowa State Cyclones | -14 | 25.5% | 14.9 | 30.7 |
| 101. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -2 | 24.9% | 17.4 | 27.6 |
| 102. | Toledo Rockets | -5 | 24.5% | 14.7 | 28.9 |
| 103. | Kent St. Golden Flashes | +4 | 21.1% | 15.2 | 32.6 |
| 104. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +10 | 21.1% | 12.0 | 28.5 |
| 105. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -7 | 20.9% | 11.1 | 26.5 |
| 106. | E. Michigan Eagles | -3 | 19.9% | 16.8 | 35.6 |
| 107. | Wyoming Cowboys | -2 | 19.2% | 12.4 | 28.0 |
| 108. | Utah State Aggies | -6 | 18.9% | 12.4 | 31.6 |
| 109. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 18.8% | 13.7 | 29.3 |
| 110. | Syracuse Orange | -6 | 18.5% | 12.8 | 34.2 |
| 111. | UAB Blazers | +5 | 18.1% | 18.4 | 33.1 |
| 112. | SMU Mustangs | 0 | 17.0% | 16.6 | 34.0 |
| 113. | UCF Knights | 0 | 13.9% | 10.1 | 26.5 |
| 114. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -6 | 13.5% | 12.8 | 29.6 |
| 115. | Washington Huskies | 0 | 10.9% | 12.9 | 37.0 |
| 116. | San Diego State Aztecs | -5 | 10.3% | 11.2 | 33.7 |
| 117. | LA-Monroe Warhawks | +2 | 7.8% | 14.9 | 40.7 |
| 118. | North Texas Mean Green | -1 | 3.4% | 9.5 | 41.2 |
| 119. | Washington St. Cougars | -1 | 3.1% | 8.8 | 44.7 |
| 120. | Idaho Vandals | 0 | 3.0% | 9.0 | 43.5 |
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