Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds & Picks: October 16th 2008

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox u9.0 (-120) - Thursday October 16th ‘08 8:05p

The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox have now gone Over in three straight games, but the only Under in this series came in Game 1 with Daisuke Matsuzaka on the mound for Boston, and we look for Dice-K to continue that dominance here, keying the Under.

Matsuzaka was brilliant in the series opener, tossing seven scoreless innings while allowing just four hits with nine strikeouts. He has now allowed three runs or less in all four of his starts vs. Tampa Bay this season, allowing a total of only 17 hits in 22 innings with an impressive 26 strikeouts.

Do not forget that Dice-K is now 19-3 in the playoffs and regular season combined with a fantastic 2.86 ERA, and he has now allowed three earned runs or less in eight consecutive starts. We look for him to come up big as the Red Sox try to fight off elimination here.

Now Scott Kazmir has been very inconsistent for the Rays over the last month, but we actually look for the good Kazmir to show up tonight. After all, the Rays are doing everything well right now, so why should tonight be any different?

Besides, the troubles that Kazmir has had vs. the Red Sox have oddly all come at home, as he has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last four starts at Fenway Park. Throw in the fine Tampa Bay bullpen and look for a safe Under in Game 5.

MLB Free Picks: Rays, Red Sox Under 9 (-120) - Courtesy of LT Profits

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