Week 6 Key NFL Trends From NFLOne.com: Our Blog/Forum Is Live!
AT FIRST GLANCE…there are games that always look ‘Tasty’ ATS in many publications as a ‘Bullet’ trend only to ‘trap’ upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real ‘ADVANTAGE’ against the ‘Trend’.
The Director draws even greater clarity by identifying the Key Trends ATS as either ‘First Look’ or ‘King Trends’:
All we need to do is look at the Dow to see how different things are from 2006. The NFL flashes back to 2006 this week. A year where the Washington Redskins lost SU, ATS to the St. Louis Rams, 0-4 ats in 2008 and are 3-11 ATS versus the NFC East, and the HOUSTON TEXANS started a 2-0 winning streak SU, 1-1 ATS versus the Miami Dolphins; the margin of victory by an average of 2.5 points per game. Two series at a crossroads of 1-1 ATS over the last three years. The Redskins entering 4-1 ATS in 2008.
DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE
With a big loss in Washington, the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES, who are weathering with Westbrook's lastet injury, welcome the sight of the San Francisco 49ers, who in getting outlasted by the Patriots find themselves at Home versus an Eagles team that last faced off with Nolan in 2006; Nolan 0-2 ATS versus Philadelphia in allowing the Eagles a whopping 40 points per game.
ADVANTAGE EAGLES
Both arriving off of big victories, the Baltimore Ravens, who are allowing 14 points per game in 2008 and seem to be favoring the trends in 2008, head back on the Road to face another nemesis in the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS, who, including the 2006 playoffs, are 4-0 ATS in their last four matchups with the Ravens. Averaging only 11 points per game of offense, the Ravens D has had even more trouble stopping Manning, who powered 44 points at Home last year.
ADVANTAGE COLTS
FIRST LOOK
With the world consumed by Iraq in 2006, it was Parcells' Cowboys, #2 in offense with 30.2 points per game, that held a strangle hold on the ARIZONA CARDINALS, who in shocking Joe Public with a Martz style offensive assault last week, welcome the Boys into their home after the Cowboys struggled with both the Redskins and Bengals. Allowing the Cardinals only 11.5 points per game, the Cowboys have gone 2-0 ATS. Even more impressive has been the Cowboys offense that has run up an average of 31 points in outscoring the birds by an average of 18 points per game. Wade Phillips will look to continue his 1-0 run ATS versus the AFC West against Zona, who is pumping out 29.4 points per game.
ADVANTAGE COWBOYS
KING TRENDS
With Tampa Bay's bouncing this year over historic trends, the BUCCANEERS home field advantage regular plays in their favor except versus the week's opponent, the Carolina Panthers, tied for #3 in defense in allowing only 14 points per game. In one of the long running coaching rivalries, John Fox has taken 4 of 5 ATS from Gruden in Tampa Bay. Even more noteworthy is that the Panthers are 5-0 SU on the run. Outside of the hard fought 2006 battle, the Panthers have won by at least 7 points per game.
ADVANTAGE PANTHERS
If Joe Public is looking to try out yet another 'sure thing', it is here in Minnesota this week where the MINNESOTA VIKINGS return Home triumphant off Monday Night Football to face off one of the league's worst teams in 2008 in the Detroit Lions, who allow 36.7 points per game while managing only 16.7. The Vikings entering 5-0-1 ATS over the last three years in the series, including a 3-0 record ATS at Home; having defeated the Lions by 32 points last year, the closest margin of victory has been 9 points. Shut out last week, the Lions are averaging only 13 points of offense versus the Vikings over the last three seasons.
ADVANTAGE VIKINGS
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