Week 5 Key NFL Trends From NFLOne.com: Our Blog/Forum Is Live!

AT FIRST GLANCE…there are games that always look ‘Tasty’ ATS in many publications as a ‘Bullet’ trend only to ‘trap’ upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real ‘ADVANTAGE’ against the ‘Trend’.

The Director draws even greater clarity by identifying the Key Trends ATS as either ‘First Look’ or ‘King Trends’:

With AFC/NFC battles aplenty, historic trends are few and far between this week.  While it may have been easy to digest the Ravens 3-1 ATS, and now 4-1 advantage ATS versus the Pittsburgh Steelers, or that the Texans own the Jaguars, wait until I tell you that Rod Marinelli and the Detroit Lions are 3-1 ATS.  How about most recently 3-0 ATS versus the Chicago Bears.  Entering as Underdogs of nearly 6 points per game, the Lions are even more impressive in their ability to go 2-0 SU in 2007.

DON’T BELIEVE THE MEDIA HYPE

Now wait until I tell you that we need to revisit the Texans this week.  ‘That is right’.  The Texans  face off against the Indianapolis. As good as the Colts have been, this is a series has that given meaning to the words ‘home field advantage’; a series where the home team is 4-0 ATS over the last two years.  While the Colts have been able to defeat the Texans by as many as 21 points at Home, the Texans, dogged by as many as 9 points, have been able to put over 25 points per game versus the Colts at Home under Kubiak to post a 1-1 record SU versus Indianapolis.

So you ask about my article highlighting the Ravens as the #2 team ATS in 2008.  You ask whether they can shed their most recent 2-11 record ATS with 6 days or less rest, against the #1 team ATS in 2008, the Tennessee Titans?  Arriving off a SU loss to Pittsburgh, the Ravens are 2-0 ATS over the last three seasons versus Jeff Fisher. What is even more impressive is that the Ravens average over 25 points per game as they steal victories in the Titans’ backyard. 

FIRST LOOK

Under the smoke of Westbrook’s injury, the NFC East looks features another big matchup.  While one can be distracted by the Redskins’ MNF upset in 2007, the Eagles enter 3-1 ATS in their last four games with the Redskins.  Entering as 7 point Favorites in their last two Home games, the Eagles, who turned the series in their favor in 2006, look to keep their Home streak alive. With the margin of victory by at least 8 points in two of their three victories, the spread will mean little in this one.
ADVANTAGE EAGLES

KING TRENDS

With injuries weighing down the Pittsburgh Steelers, they must head to Jacksonville.  The Jacksonville Jaguars, 22-9 ATS at Home off a win against a division rival since 1992, will look to parlay the AFC South’s Advantage ATS as they head home to face off with the Steelers, who under Del Rio are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus the Steelers. While strange things happen on Sunday Night, the Jaguars only have outscored the Steelers by 7 points per game, but shut them out 9-0 in their last matchup here in 2006.
ADVANTAGE JAGUARS

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