Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech Betting Odds & Picks: October 1st 2008

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Boise St -23.5 - Wednesday October 1st ‘08 8:00p
To start, there are way too many great Bronco trends on the blue turf to even think about going against Boise. There are also a bunch of bad trends on LaTech such as being 11-26-1 ATS since 2001 as an away dog. Both teams have only played three games so far this year with the Bulldogs upsetting Mississippi State in their home opener but then losing to a lethargic Kansas squad, 29-0. The LT passing attack in these two games was very poor, 26 of 74 for only 294 yards and is only completing 41%of their passes for the entire season.  LaTech beat SE Louisiana at home, 41,26, in their last game but were only ahead 28-23 at half and only outgained their Division-1AA opponent by 5 yards. Boise beat Bowling Green at home in their second game but went completely flat in the second half after getting a 20-0 first half lead. The Broncos beat Oregon on the road 9-20-08 as a 10.5 point underdog building a 37-13 lead. With the Oregon win, Boise now becomes the next “BCS buster” leader. This means BSU will try to run up the score to further impress the media. This is a must 30-point victory for Boise. Betting on WAC road dogs of 14 or more points is not a profitable spot in the past, 20-32 ATS the past five years. La Tech’s last two visits to potato-land have finished with identical 55-14 losses. Boise doesn’t seem to have the same capabilities on the ground this year as in the past. However, they don’t necessarily need to have a very good ground game against the Bulldogs who are next to last in pass defense in the NCAA giving up almost 350 yards per game. Boise gained confidence beating Oregon. Redshirt freshman QB Kellen Moore is ranked 7th in the nation in pass efficiency. Over the past ten years, a conference home favorite of 14 points or more who won their previous game straight-up as an away dog of more than 7 points is 15-4 ATS. Boise went lame in the Bowling Green game. However, that game was not played on a weekday in front of a national audience at night. This is Boise’s time Take the Broncos! - Courtesy of Jim Kruger