Matt Foust MLB Picks: Royals vs. Twins on September 28th

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins u9.0 (-120)
Sun Sep 28 ‘08 2:10p

Today the Minnesota Twins will attempt to secure the AL Central crown against a surging Royals squad. Kansas City would normally send Zach Greinke to the hill today but they have shut him down, and instead will give the ball to Brandon Duckworth. The Twins will be counting on Scott Baker to seal the deal for them. We are going to go with the under 9 in this critical contest.

Brandon Duckworth has only pitched in six games this year as a result of injury. He came off the DL in August and the Royals tossed him into the starting rotation. While he is not a household name, he is a serviceable pitcher. In his six starts he has averaged about 5.5 innings per game and given up three earned runs per contest. The average score of the Royals’ opposition in his six starts was 3.83. I think he will keep KC in this game with a quality effort today.

Scott Baker is arguably the Twins best pitcher and he is having an outstanding season. Baker possesses a 3.94 ERA, 10-4 record, and a 1.20 WHIP. He will no doubt feel the big game pressure in today’s situation and I think he will come through with a great performance. Why? In his last 10 starts at home Baker has given up an average of just two earned runs per game and in his eight career starts versus Kansas City, the Royals have averaged just 2.63 runs per game. The under is 6-1-1 in those eight starts.

Free MLB Pick: Take Under 9 (-120)

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