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2011 Fantasy Projections No. 75: Will There Be Enough ABs for Michael Young?

Nick KappelMar 9, 2011

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

While the trade rumors have dissolved and Michael Young’s trade request has gone unfulfilled, there remains a lot of uncertainty in Texas this season.

After handing Adrian Beltre a fat contract and dealing for Mike Napoli this offseason, the Rangers created a logjam of five players (Mitch Moreland, Yorvit Torrealba, Young, Beltre and Napoli) competing for at-bats at four positions (catcher, first base, third base and designated hitter).

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Fortunately, Young’s versatility will allow him to spell Ian Kinsler, Elvis Andrus and Beltre if needed.

Otherwise, he’ll be the DH most days and should get plenty of at-bats, presumably batting second behind Andrus and in front of Josh Hamilton.

This should work in Young’s favor, as there’s nothing in his advanced stats to suggest a setback in 2011.

In fact, Young’s 2010 BABIP (.311) was 24 points below his career average, and his line-drive rate (18.5 percent) was under 22.0 for the first time since batted ball stats were first recorded in 2002.

His fly-ball rate (34.1 percent) was slightly elevated (by his standards), so it’s possible Young has adjusted his swing to hit for more power. Even so, nearly 20 HRs and a .280-.290 batting average with the run-scoring and run-producing totals that come with the No. 2 hole in that lineup are sure to make Michael Young worth a shot at a thin third base position.

Although it’s unlikely, there’s always the possibility of Young gaining second-base eligibility when Kinsler hits the DL at some point, making him even more valuable.

Draft him as the seventh third baseman, 75th overall.

 PARHRRBISBAVG
2010 stats7189921914.284
3-year average6739218807.295
2011 FBI Forecast6509518855.293

ORIGINAL ARTICLE: FANTASY BASEBALL INSIDERS

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