2011 Fantasy Projections No 16: Why Matt Holliday Is Better Than Kemp, Hamilton
Ourย 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5ร5 H2H settings.
Someย fantasy baseball sites have Matt Holliday ranked behind fellow outfielders such as Matt Kemp, Josh Hamiltonย and Justin Upton. Weโre not one of those sites, however, as we believe Hollidayย will beย the fourth best outfielder in 2011, and hereโs why:
Consistency and durability are very important with your first few picks, and Holliday fits the mold while the others donโt. In fact, despite playing the last two seasons in Oakland and St. Louis (not Colorado), Holliday boasts the mostย impressiveย three-year averages of the group:
- Holliday: 99 runs, 26 HRs, 100 RBI, 17 steals, .315 batting average
- Kemp: 91 runs, 24 HRs, 89 RBI, 29 steals, .279 batting average
- Hamilton: 79 runs, 25 HRs, 95 RBI, 8 steals, .315 batting average
- Upton: 70 runs, 19 HRs, 66 RBI, 12 steals, .277 batting average
Holliday has even managed to cut down on his strikeout rateย since his departure from Coors Field in 2008:
Holliday hasย also increased his fly ball rates in each of the last three seasons while sustaining consistent HR totals (24, 25, 28) and .310-plus batting averages.
Given his position in the Cardinals lineup behind Albert Pujols and in front of the newly acquired Lance Berkman, Holliday is poised for another great season. The 31-year-old isnโt generally referred to as a five-category contributor, but thatโs exactly what he is. Draft him with confidence.
| ย | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2010 stats | 675 | 95 | 28 | 103 | 9 | .312 |
| 3-year average | 656 | 99 | 26 | 100 | 17 | .315 |
| 2011 FBI Forecast | 675 | 100 | 29 | 110 | 10 | .316 |
ORIGINAL ARTICLE: FANTASY BASEBALL INSIDERS
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