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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 15: Which Prince Fielder Will We Get This Season?

Nick Kappel
Jan 23, 2011

Ourย 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5ร—5 H2H settings.

Prince Fielder is like a box of chocolates, you never know what youโ€™re going to get.

Since 2006, his first full season in the majors, Fielder has produced HR totals of 28, 50, 34, 46 and 32. Heโ€™s also posted RBI totals ranging from 81 (2006)ย to 141 (2009), while batting as low as .261 (2010) and as high as .299 (2009).ย Notwithstanding, heโ€™sย never missed more than five games in any of his first five seasons.

Despite these varying totals, Fielder has posted incredibly consistent peripherals in recent seasons:

Strikeoutย Rate

  • 2008: 22.8%
  • 2009: 23.4%
  • 2010: 23.9%
  • Career: 22.8%

Contact Rate

  • 2008: 75.7%
  • 2009: 76.9%
  • 2010: 76.4%
  • Career: 76.2%

Further, Fielder has increased his walk rates progressively over the last three seasons:

In preparation for last seasonโ€™s big board, we uncovered some interestingย data at Hit Tracker Onlineย that suggested a regression in Fielderโ€™s home run total from 2009 to 2010. We included that data in Fielderโ€™s 2010 projection, which we know now to have been an accurate prediction.

This year, the data suggests a bounce-back season as Fielder enters his age 27 season. Heโ€™s the sixth-best first baseman, worthy of being drafted No. 15 overall.

ย PARHRRBISBAVG
2010 stats7149432831.261
3-year average70994371092.279
2011 FBI Forecast715105391201.279

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