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ST. LOUIS - OCTOBER 03:  3: Steven Jackson #39 of the St. Louis Rams carries the ball in the second half against the Seattle Seahawks on October 3, 2010 at Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS - OCTOBER 03: 3: Steven Jackson #39 of the St. Louis Rams carries the ball in the second half against the Seattle Seahawks on October 3, 2010 at Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)Elsa/Getty Images

NFL Picks Week 17: Setting the Upset Odds for St. Louis-Seattle And Every Game

David DanielsDec 29, 2010

Will the New England Patriots rest Tom Brady?  Will the New York Jets rest Mark Sanchez?  Will the Philadelphia Eagles rest anyone?

Those are the questions that make Week 17 final scores so hard to predict.

On top of that, each game is a division rivalry which makes upsets even more difficult to predict.

Knowing that, here are the odds of an upset occurring for each match-up in Week 17:

Miami at New England

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MIAMI - OCTOBER 4: Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins runs with a catch against the New England Patriots at Sun Life Field on October 4, 2010 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
MIAMI - OCTOBER 4: Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins runs with a catch against the New England Patriots at Sun Life Field on October 4, 2010 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

Even with the Patriots dominance in this past decade, the Dolphins have often kept things very close, and even stole a few games. The Patriots have beaten teams by an average of 11.6 points this season.

Line: Patriots by 3

Upset Odds: 5:1

Buffalo at New York Jets

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - OCTOBER 03: Leodis McKelvin #28 of  the Buffalo Bills breaks up a pass intended for Braylon Edwards #17 of the New York Jets at Ralph Wilson Stadium on October 3, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. The Jets won 38-14. (Photo by Rick Stewar
ORCHARD PARK, NY - OCTOBER 03: Leodis McKelvin #28 of the Buffalo Bills breaks up a pass intended for Braylon Edwards #17 of the New York Jets at Ralph Wilson Stadium on October 3, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. The Jets won 38-14. (Photo by Rick Stewar

Quick Take:

Each of these teams are coming off devastating losses: the Bills, a 34-3 slaughter at the hands of the Patriots, and the Jets, a 38-34 heart breaker against the Bears.  This game could get dull quickly as Mark Sanchez's ability to play is up in the air and other Jets could follow him out of the game.

Line: Jets by 1

Upset Odds: 4:1

Cincinnati at Baltimore

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CINCINNATI - SEPTEMBER 19: Cedric Benson #32 of the Cincinnati Bengals carries the ball against Terrell Suggs #55 and Jameel McClain # 53 of the Baltimore Ravens at Paul Brown Stadium on September 19, 2010 in Cincinnati, Ohio.  The Bengals beat the Ravens
CINCINNATI - SEPTEMBER 19: Cedric Benson #32 of the Cincinnati Bengals carries the ball against Terrell Suggs #55 and Jameel McClain # 53 of the Baltimore Ravens at Paul Brown Stadium on September 19, 2010 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Bengals beat the Ravens

Quick Take:

The Ravens have been very consistent all season long, never losing to a team by more than one score, but some wins have also been by slim margins.  The Bengals are actually one of the few teams that have beaten the Ravens and are on a two game winning streak.

Line: Ravens by 10

Upset Odds: 4:1

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Tampa Bay at New Orleans

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TAMPA, FL - OCTOBER 17:  Defenders Malcolm Jenkins #27 and Jabari Greer #33 of the New Orleans Saints break up a pass intended for Mike Williams #19 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the game at Raymond James Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Tampa, Florida
TAMPA, FL - OCTOBER 17: Defenders Malcolm Jenkins #27 and Jabari Greer #33 of the New Orleans Saints break up a pass intended for Mike Williams #19 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the game at Raymond James Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Tampa, Florida

Quick Take:

The Buccaneers are going to play out of their mind to keep their playoff hopes alive.  The Saints have even less of a chance than the Buccaneers do for their playoff status to improve as they must rely on the Panthers to come away with a win, but Sean Payton has confirmed he won't rest his starters either way.

Line: Saints by 7.5

Upset Odds: 3:1

Carolina at Atlanta

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CHARLOTTE, NC - DECEMBER 12:  Jonathan Stewart #28 of the Carolina Panthers runs with the ball against the Atlanta Falcons during their game at Bank of America Stadium on December 12, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Imag
CHARLOTTE, NC - DECEMBER 12: Jonathan Stewart #28 of the Carolina Panthers runs with the ball against the Atlanta Falcons during their game at Bank of America Stadium on December 12, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Imag

Quick Take:

Carolina's offense is the worst in the NFL by far, but their running game has perked up a bit lately with Jonathan Stewart.  That may not make much of a difference against a Falcons defense that seemingly shut down an explosive Saints offense on Monday night.

Line: Falcons by 14.5

Upset Odds: 10:1

Minnesota at Detroit

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MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 26:  Adrian Peterson #28 of the Minnesota Vikings plays against the Detroit Lions during the game at Mall of America Field on September 26, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 26: Adrian Peterson #28 of the Minnesota Vikings plays against the Detroit Lions during the game at Mall of America Field on September 26, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

The Favre-less Vikings should be ignited with energy after rookie super freak Joe Webb led the team to an upset victory over the Eagles which shocked the nation.  The Lions are hot and on a three-game winning streak, a streak that has to be one of their longest in a while.

Line: Lions by 3

Upset Odds: 2:1

Oakland at Kansas City

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OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 07:  Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs against Tyvon Branch #33 and Ricky Brown #57 of the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on November 7, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by
OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 07: Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs against Tyvon Branch #33 and Ricky Brown #57 of the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on November 7, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by

Quick Take:

Yet another storied rivalry with take place on Sunday afternoon as the overachieving Chiefs will battle the renewed Raiders.  Something has to give as the Raiders are undefeated within the division while the Chiefs are undefeated at home.

Line: Chiefs by 3.5

Upset Odds: 3:1

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

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PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 17:  Hines Ward #86 of the Pittsburgh Steelers scores a third quarter touchdown between Abram Elam #26 and Sheldon Brown #24 of the Cleveland Browns on October 17, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Pittsburgh won the ga
PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 17: Hines Ward #86 of the Pittsburgh Steelers scores a third quarter touchdown between Abram Elam #26 and Sheldon Brown #24 of the Cleveland Browns on October 17, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Pittsburgh won the ga

Quick Take:

It's impressive how this rivalry has kept it's intensity through years and years of the Steelers dominating the Browns.  Cleveland has found a new hope though in the quarterback dubbed the savior of the franchise in Colt McCoy.

Line: Steelers by 6

Upset Odds: 4:1 

Jacksonville at Houston

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 14:  The Jacksonville Jaguars line up during a game against the Houston Texans at EverBank Field on November 14, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 14: The Jacksonville Jaguars line up during a game against the Houston Texans at EverBank Field on November 14, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

The Jaguars must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and the fact that they rarely are in this position will serve as extra motivation.  The Texans probably won't care too much as this isn't a huge rivalry, they have nothing to play for, and their season ended with a major disappointment.

Line: Jaguars by 2.5

Upset Odds: 3:1

Arizona at San Francisco

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GLENDALE, AZ - NOVEMBER 29:  Quarterback Troy Smith #1 of the San Francisco 49ers is sacked during the NFL game against the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium on November 29, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The 49ers defeated the Cardinals
GLENDALE, AZ - NOVEMBER 29: Quarterback Troy Smith #1 of the San Francisco 49ers is sacked during the NFL game against the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium on November 29, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The 49ers defeated the Cardinals

Quick Take:

The 49ers are probably going to be dazed and confused about the direction of the team after Mike Singletary was fired right after their last loss.  With no Frank Gore on top of that, look for the Cardinals to see an opportunity to close with two straight wins and take it.

Line: 49ers by 6

Upset Odds: 2:1

Chicago at Green Bay

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CHICAGO - SEPTEMBER 27:  Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers drops back to pass against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on September 27, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears won 20-17.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO - SEPTEMBER 27: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers drops back to pass against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on September 27, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears won 20-17. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

This line baffles me because this is one of the most heated rivalries in the NFL; the Bears aren't going to coast against the Packers.  The Packers may be hyped after their thrashing of the Giants, but the Bears have won seven of their last eight games.

Line: Packers by 10

Upset Odds: 2:1

Tennessee at Indianapolis

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NASHVILLE, TN - DECEMBER 09:  Reggie Wayne #87 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a pass while defended by Cortland Finnegan #31  of the Tennessee Titans during the NFL game at LP Field on December 9, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Get
NASHVILLE, TN - DECEMBER 09: Reggie Wayne #87 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a pass while defended by Cortland Finnegan #31 of the Tennessee Titans during the NFL game at LP Field on December 9, 2010 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Get

Quick Take:

The Titans are to the Colts what the Dolphins are to the Patriots: they almost always keep it close, or steal a victory despite being underdogs.  The reason: these teams that are playing know each other so well.

Line: Colts by 10

Upset Odds: 5:1

San Diego at Denver

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SAN DIEGO - NOVEMBER 22:  Mike Tolbert #35 of the San Diego Chargers in action against Denver Broncos at Qualcomm Stadium on November 22, 2010 in San Diego, California.  (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO - NOVEMBER 22: Mike Tolbert #35 of the San Diego Chargers in action against Denver Broncos at Qualcomm Stadium on November 22, 2010 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

Each of these teams are out of the playoffs and have nothing but pride to play for.  Team morales though have to be in opposite directions as the Chargers must be crushed after last weeks playoff eliminating loss to the Bengals, but the Broncos on the other hand are ecstatic about Tim Tebow's play.

Line: Chargers by 3.5

Upset Odds: 2:1

Dallas at Philadelphia

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ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 12:  Quarterback Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs for a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on December 12, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 12: Quarterback Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs for a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on December 12, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

After Tuesday's loss to the Vikings, the Eagles can't afford to coast as a loss would mean they played 11 bad quarters of football in their last three games (the one good quarter would be in the fourth quarter against the Giants).  The Cowboys' morale can't be chipper after a loss to the lowly Cardinals in Week 16.

Projected Line (No line yet): Eagles by 3

Upset Odds: 4:1

New York Giants at Washington

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 05:  Derek Hagan #85 of the New York Giants eludes a tackle from Phillip Buchanon #31 of the Washington Redskins on December 5, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 05: Derek Hagan #85 of the New York Giants eludes a tackle from Phillip Buchanon #31 of the Washington Redskins on December 5, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty

Quick Take:

The Giants are going to play on fire this week as they must win to get in to the playoffs.  With all the negative media in the whole Donovan McNabb-benching controversy, the Redskins have to be distracted, not to mention that vacation in their near future.

Line: Giants by 4

Upset Odds: 7:1

St. Louis at Seattle

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ST. LOUIS - OCTOBER 3: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams scrambles against the Seattle Seahawks at the Edward Jones Dome on October 3, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The Rams beat the Seahawks 20-3.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS - OCTOBER 3: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams scrambles against the Seattle Seahawks at the Edward Jones Dome on October 3, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri. The Rams beat the Seahawks 20-3. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

Quick Take:

The NFC West division title game: the 7-8 Rams vs. the 6-9 Seahawks.  Ignore the pathetic circumstances and this is the game of the week featuring two of the most overachieving, young football teams in the league.

Line: Rams by 3

Upset Odds: 2:1

David Daniels is an NFL Featured Columnist and Writing Intern at Bleacher Report and a Syndicated Writer. Follow him at One Yard Short.com or on Twitter.

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