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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 25: Quarterback Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets looks to throw a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals at New Meadowlands Stadium on November 25, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 25: Quarterback Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets looks to throw a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals at New Meadowlands Stadium on November 25, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)Chris Trotman/Getty Images

NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread: New York Jets to Cover?

Stephen KasperDec 4, 2010

Last week's against the spread record: 3-4

Overall against the spread record: 56-37 (60%)

It seemed like last week there were so many games I missed.

Dallas, Jacksonville, Chicago. They all covered and did I pick them?

Nope!

I admit I have slipped the last couple of weeks, but I still only have two weeks were I had a losing record.

This week, I am excited about some great games and hopefully some spread upsets.

So let's take a look at which nine games I have picked this week from the following game lines.

Houston at Philadelphia: Philadelphia -8.5
Buffalo at Minnesota: Minnesota -5.5
Cleveland at Miami: Miami -4.5
Jacksonville at Tennessee: Tennessee -2
Denver at Kansas City: Kansas City -8.5
Washington at NY Giants: NY Giants -7
Chicago at Detroit: Chicago -4.5
San Francisco at Green Bay: Green Bay -9.5
New Orleans at Cincinnati: New Orleans -6.5
Atlanta at Tampa Bay: Atlanta -3
Oakland at San Diego: San Diego -13
Carolina at Seattle: Seattle -6
Dallas at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -5.5
St Louis at Arizona: St. Louis -3.5
Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Baltimore -3
NY Jets at New England: New England -3.5

Houston +8.5 at Philadelphia

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21:  Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans runs the ball against the New York Jets on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21: Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans runs the ball against the New York Jets on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

I know, I know.

This game has already happened and Houston didn't cover.

But I'll be honest and say I had this game picked against the spread.

Houston had the lead for a while and for most of the game they were able to keep it within the 8.5 point spread.

In the end, some costly mistakes cost the Texans and myself a loss this week.

Buffalo +5.5 at Minnesota

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 28:  Steve Johnson #13 of the Buffalo Bills runs after a catch against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Ralph Wilson Stadium  on November 28, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Pittsburgh won 19-16 in overtime.  (Photo by Rick Stewart/G
ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 28: Steve Johnson #13 of the Buffalo Bills runs after a catch against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 28, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Pittsburgh won 19-16 in overtime. (Photo by Rick Stewart/G

Buffalo has finally become predictable this season.

They will always lose, but they will always keep it close.

Somehow, the Bills find a way to lose even though they fight so hard the entire game.

Minnesota is all but impressive right now and if Buffalo can keep it close with teams like Pittsburgh and Baltimore, they can definitely keep this game within 5.5 to cover.

Take Buffalo against the spread, but I wouldn't go as far as saying they will win straight up.

Cleveland +4.5 at Miami

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NEW ORLEANS - OCTOBER 24:  Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns in action against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on October 24, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
NEW ORLEANS - OCTOBER 24: Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns in action against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on October 24, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

I have noticed a trend of the Cleveland Browns ending up in my articles every week.

Last week it was for Carolina to cover against the Browns, which they did.

Peyton Hillis and the Cleveland Browns are just a few tweaks away from being a winning team.

Considering six of their seven losses have been by one score or less, the Browns are even closer than the Bills from winning extremely close games.

Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins this game, but if nothing else, take them to cover the spread.

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Denver +8.5 at Kansas City

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LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 31:  Brandon Lloyd #84 of Denver Broncos makes a break for the end zone during the NFL International Series match between Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers at Wembley Stadium on October 31, 2010 in London, England. This is t
LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 31: Brandon Lloyd #84 of Denver Broncos makes a break for the end zone during the NFL International Series match between Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers at Wembley Stadium on October 31, 2010 in London, England. This is t

Kansas City is one of the biggest surprise teams in the entire NFL.

I still can't figure out how they are 7-4 and on top of the AFC West.

Either way, Kansas City is doing pretty good while Denver isn't.

But I can't help thinking Denver is still a good team with potential Pro Bowlers Kyle Orton and Brandon Lloyd.

Take Denver to keep it within the 8.5 to cover.

Washington +7 at NY Giants

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CHICAGO - OCTOBER 24: Santana Moss #89 of the Washington Redskins hauls in a touchdown pass against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on October 24, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois.  The Redskins defeated the Bears 17-14. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
CHICAGO - OCTOBER 24: Santana Moss #89 of the Washington Redskins hauls in a touchdown pass against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on October 24, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois. The Redskins defeated the Bears 17-14. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

The Giants are playing some pretty good football right now.

Along with the Chiefs, they are one of the upset teams of the season that has been able to do some damage.

On the flip side, you have the Redskins.

I admit, I thought Washington would do a lot better this season, but its mediocre 5-6 record speaks for itself.

Maybe it's just a hunch, but Washington could be a lot worse and New York could be a lot better.

On a nice day for a spread upset like Sunday, I'm taking Washington to cover.

Chicago -4.5 at Detroit

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14: Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions catches a touchdown pass in the last minute of the game against the Buffalo Bills  at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo won 14-12. (Photo by
ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 14: Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions catches a touchdown pass in the last minute of the game against the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 14, 2010 in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo won 14-12. (Photo by

It's so hard to stay away from teams like Detroit this season in the game line picks.

Detroit is able to put up points and even with Drew Stanton at quarterback, I'm going bold and saying Detroit can cover this game.

Chicago is 8-3 but I just can't take them seriously.

Detroit should have won in their first meeting and I expect Detroit will want payback.

I don't expect them to get it, but I expect them to cover.

San Francisco +9.5 at Green Bay

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OAKLAND, CA - AUGUST 28:  Alex Smith #11 of the San Francisco 49ers hands the ball off to Brian Westbrook #20 against the Oakland Raiders during an NFL preseason game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on August 28, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by
OAKLAND, CA - AUGUST 28: Alex Smith #11 of the San Francisco 49ers hands the ball off to Brian Westbrook #20 against the Oakland Raiders during an NFL preseason game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on August 28, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by

I think it's only a matter of time before Green Bay starts winning every week and wins the NFC North like they are supposed to.

Tainted with a ton of injuries, the Packers can and will still win this game.

However, Brian Westbrook looked pretty good last week and I think this game might be a little closer than you think.

Take the 49ers to cover to keep it within 9.5.

Oakland +13 at San Diego

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DENVER - OCTOBER 24:  Running back Darren McFadden #20 of the Oakland Raiders runs against the Denver Broncos at INVESCO Field at Mile High on October 24, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
DENVER - OCTOBER 24: Running back Darren McFadden #20 of the Oakland Raiders runs against the Denver Broncos at INVESCO Field at Mile High on October 24, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

Just a few weeks ago spectators considered the Oakland Raiders potential AFC West champions.

To all of those people, as long as San Diego still has Philip Rivers, they will be the division favorite.

San Diego should definitely win this game, but with a lot of injuries slowing the team down, Oakland has a chance to prove their first win against San Diego wasn't a fluke.

I doubt they do that, but I do think they will cover the spread.

NY Jets +3.5 at New England

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21:  LaDainian Tomlinson #21 of the New York Jets runs against the Houston Texans on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 21: LaDainian Tomlinson #21 of the New York Jets runs against the Houston Texans on November 21, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

I remember when these two teams met the first time. I took the Jets against the spread and if you remember correctly, the Jets actually upset the Patriots.

I expect them to upset again.

The Jets secondary is more than capable of keeping up with the Patriots receivers, especially without Randy Moss this time around.

New England may be able to find a way to win this game and avoid the division sweep, but it won't be easy.

Take the Jets to cover or if you're feelin' froggy, take them to win straight up.

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