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SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24:  Quarterback Tom Brady #12 of the New England prepares to enter the game against the San Diego Chargers during their NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24: Quarterback Tom Brady #12 of the New England prepares to enter the game against the San Diego Chargers during their NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)Donald Miralle/Getty Images

Fantasy Football NFL Week 9 Sit 'em, Start 'em: Tom Brady Tips Plus More Advice

Erik FrenzNov 5, 2010

NFL Week 9 predictions and picks have been the hot topic this week, and with fans getting ready to set their line-ups headed into this week's action, many are looking for all the helpful fantasy football advice they can get.

That's where I come in.

I'll give you some of my sit 'em and start 'em tips to help you win your fantasy match-up this week.

There's a lot to go over, so let's get right to it.

Michael Turner: Start 'em

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ATLANTA - OCTOBER 24:  Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons rushes away from Morgan Trent #25 of the Cincinnati Bengals at Georgia Dome on October 24, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - OCTOBER 24: Michael Turner #33 of the Atlanta Falcons rushes away from Morgan Trent #25 of the Cincinnati Bengals at Georgia Dome on October 24, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

The match-up between the Falcons and Buccaneers will decide who has sole control over the no. 1 spot in the NFC South. With that, Michael Turner's performance could decide who wins the game. And things don't look so good for the Bucs.

With Tampa Bay's pass defense being its biggest strength, look for the Falcons to lull them to sleep with the run. The Bucs give up a whopping 149.4 yards per game to opposing running backs, and Michael Turner is averaging 83.9 yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry.

Fantasy owners have been waiting for a breakout game from Turner, and this looks like the week.

Prediction: 140 yards, 2 touchdowns

Matt Schaub: Sit 'em

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INDIANAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 01:  Matt Schaub #8 of Houston Texans prepares for the game during warm-ups before the NFL game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 1, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS - NOVEMBER 01: Matt Schaub #8 of Houston Texans prepares for the game during warm-ups before the NFL game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 1, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Matt Schaub has been held under 201 yards in four of this year's seven contests. Things don't look much brighter for him in Week Nine, with a big match-up against the San Diego Chargers, who have only let one quarterback exceed 220 yards this season.

Even with weapons across the board, Matt Schaub will have a hard time finding rhythm against the no. 2 sacking defense in the league, which only gives up an average of 176.9 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.

Prediction: 170 yards, touchdown, interception

Tom Brady: Start 'em

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SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24:  Quarterback Tom Brady #12 of the New England scrambles with the ball against pressure from the pass rush of Antwan Barnes #98 of the San Diego Chargers during their NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, Ca
SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24: Quarterback Tom Brady #12 of the New England scrambles with the ball against pressure from the pass rush of Antwan Barnes #98 of the San Diego Chargers during their NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, Ca

He's had some tough outings against the Chargers and Vikings talented defenses, but playing against the lowly Browns defense should spell a big day for Brady. Sure, the Browns were able to slow down the speedy Saints offense, but they have been abused on the ground and through the air all season.

The Browns currently rank 26th against the pass and have allowed 13 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks. Although BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead are both having productive seasons, this game could be won on the arm of Brady.

If Brady's going to have another All Pro type of game this season, this will be it.

Prediction: 250 yards, two touchdowns, interception

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Mike Williams: Sit 'em

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SEATTLE - OCTOBER 24:  Wide receiver Mike Williams #17 of the Seattle Seahawks is tackled by Kerry Rhodes #25 of the Arizona Cardinals at Qwest Field on October 24, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
SEATTLE - OCTOBER 24: Wide receiver Mike Williams #17 of the Seattle Seahawks is tackled by Kerry Rhodes #25 of the Arizona Cardinals at Qwest Field on October 24, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

Williams faces a difficult Giants defense this week that ranks second in the league against the pass. They give up most of their yards to no. 1 wide-outs, but that's not a basket I would be putting all of my chips into.

After two solid performances against the Bears and the Cardinals in which he combined for 21 receptions for 220 yards and a touchdown, he put up just one catch for 27 yards in a blowout loss to the Raiders. Of course, lining up across from someone not named Nnamdi Asomugha could be seen as a bright thing, but then there's that whole issue of those guys Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora, and Jason Pierre-Paul flying at the quarterback.

Prediction: four receptions, 47 yards

Calvin Johnson: Start 'em

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DETROIT - OCTOBER 31: Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions scores a second quarter touchdown as DeAngelo Hall #23 and Lorenzo Alexander #97 of the Washington Redskins attempt tp make the stop at Ford Field on October 31, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. (Pho
DETROIT - OCTOBER 31: Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions scores a second quarter touchdown as DeAngelo Hall #23 and Lorenzo Alexander #97 of the Washington Redskins attempt tp make the stop at Ford Field on October 31, 2010 in Detroit, Michigan. (Pho

The Jets have been targeted an average of 10.8 times per game on throws to the no. 1 receiver, and have given up 83 yards per game to those players. Both numbers rank far above the league averages.

Calvin Johnson had a monster performance last week against the Redskins, with nine receptions for 101 yards and three touchdowns, and made mince meat of the growingly-popular DeAngelo Hall. I don't suspect he'll put up three touchdowns against the Jets defenst which has only given up 10 through seven games, but another 90- to 100-yard performance wouldn't be too surprising.

Prediction: 7 catches, 96 yards, touchdown

Matt Cassel: Sit 'em

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HOUSTON - OCTOBER 17:  Quarterback Matt Cassel #7 of the Kasnas City Chiefs talks with quarterback coach Nick Sirianni during a game against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
HOUSTON - OCTOBER 17: Quarterback Matt Cassel #7 of the Kasnas City Chiefs talks with quarterback coach Nick Sirianni during a game against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on October 17, 2010 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)

Many games are decided by which team has the better quarterback. This will probably not be one of those games, except in the instance that it's decided by which is better at not making big mistakes.

The ball will probably be out of Cassel's hands for most of this game. Not only do the Raiders feature the fourth-ranked pass defense (by way of their fifth-lowest league total in pass attempts against), but they also feature the 26th-ranked rush defense (which is no mirage, as they also allow 4.7 yards per carry).

There are a couple of good Chiefs to start in this game. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones immediately come to mind. I, however, would avoid Cassel this week.

Prediction: 160 yards

Jamaal Charles: Start 'em

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KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 20:  Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball for yardage during their NFL game against the Cleveland Browns on December 20, 2009 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Browns defeated the Chie
KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 20: Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the ball for yardage during their NFL game against the Cleveland Browns on December 20, 2009 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Browns defeated the Chie

Jamaal Charles may not be the "primary" back in Kansas City's backfield, but neither is Thomas Jones. This is as much a definition of shared workload as we can find in the NFL today. Charles has his talents, and Jones has his own.

Both are viable options, but Charles has a big opportunity to break a long gain. He is the league leader with 6.5 yards per carry, and goes up against a porous Raiders defense that allows an average of 4.7 yards per carry, ranking 28th in the league in that category. Charles has home run potential, and look for him to swing for the fences on Sunday.

Prediction: 140 yards, two touchdowns, two receptions, 20 yards

Jon Kitna: Sit 'em

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ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 31:  Quarterback Jon Kitna #3 of the Dallas Cowboys looks to throw a pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Cowboys Stadium on October 31, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 31: Quarterback Jon Kitna #3 of the Dallas Cowboys looks to throw a pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Cowboys Stadium on October 31, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)

One might figure this to be a favorable match-up for journeyman Jon Kitna. The Cowboys will likely be playing from behind, and Kitna could be asked to drop back and wing it much like he did last week against the Jaguars.

But facing a grizzly Packers defense that has raked in 12 interceptions and sacked opposing quarterbacks 24 times, I imagine Kitna could end up getting roughed up by the end of the day, and his aggressive approach will likely play right into the hands of the Packers defense.

Prediction: 220 yards, touchdown, two interceptions

Ahmad Bradshaw: Start 'em

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17:  Ahmad Bradshaw #44 of the New York Giants against the Detroit Lions at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 17, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17: Ahmad Bradshaw #44 of the New York Giants against the Detroit Lions at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 17, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Just a glance at the numbers may suggest that this match-up is unfavorable for Bradshaw, but a closer look at the numbers reveals that the Seahawks' ninth-ranked rush defense has enjoyed a few blow-out victories to help cushion that ranking, with teams throwing way more frequently than they're passing.

Such will likely not be the case for the Giants as they head to Qwest Field to take on the Seahawks. The Giants will look to run the ball early and often, keeping control of the clock and making life miserable for the Seahawks defense which was exposed by Darren McFadden last week.

Prediction: 120 yards, touchdown, two receptions, 52 yards

Ryan Mathews: Sit 'em

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SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24:  Runningback Ryan Mathews #24 of the San Diego Chargers runs against the New England Patriots during NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO - OCTOBER 24: Runningback Ryan Mathews #24 of the San Diego Chargers runs against the New England Patriots during NFL game on October 24, 2010 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)

Mathews owners haven't had much to smile about this season, and things don't look to get much brighter in the near future. Not only do the Chargers seem content with throwing the ball at every opportunity, but Mathews just hasn't done enough to warrant serious consideration in his rookie season.

He hasn't broken 100 yards in a single game, has only two touchdowns, and goes up against a run defense that ranks in the top half of the league. The red flags have to start waving fairly soon, as running back is historically one of the easiest positions to transition from college to pro.

Prediction: 68 yards

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