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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10-6-10

Freepick1.comOct 6, 2010

The Cincinnati Reds will be trying to extend a winning streak on Wednesday when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Game 1 of their NLDS.

The Reds will give the ball to starter Edinson Volquez in this one. Righthander Volquez is 4-3 this season with a 4.31 ERA.

The Phillies will counter Volquez with ace Roy Halladay. Righthander Halladay has a 2.44 ERA to go along with a 21-10 record this season.

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Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 220-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.

The Reds defeated Milwaukee 3-2 as a -105 favorite in their regular-season finale on Sunday. The five runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).

Jay Bruce was 2-for-2 with a solo home run for Cincinnati that day, and Jonny Gomes was 2-for-3 with an RBI in the win.

The Phillies lost to Atlanta 8-7 as a +130 underdog in their regular-season finale on Sunday. The 15 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7.5).

Jayson Werth and John Mayberry hit two-run home runs for Philadelphia that day, while Ben Francisco had two RBI.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 91-71 SU
Philadelphia: 97-65 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After a win are 3-7

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati’s last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
Philadelphia home to Cincinnati, Friday, October 8

Free MLB Pick: Phillies  -200

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