Free MLB Picks Baltimore Orioles Vs. Tampa Bay Rays 9-27-10

Free MLB Picks of the day. If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet at Tropicana Field.

The Orioles will give the ball to starter Brian Matusz in this one. Lefthander Matusz is 8-12 this season with a 4.59 ERA.

Matusz's opponent in this one will be Wade Davis. The Rays righthander has a 4.13 ERA to go along with a 12-9 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 200-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game's total is sitting at 8½.

The Orioles lost to Toronto 5-2 as a +170 underdog on Sunday. The seven runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).

Adam Jones was 3-4 with an RBI and a run scored for Baltimore in the loss.

The Rays defeated Seattle 6-2 as a -210 favorite on Sunday. The eight runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).

B.J. Upton had an RBI for Tampa Bay and James Shields gave up five runs on eight hits in six innings.

Current streak:
Baltimore has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Baltimore: 61-94 SU
Tampa Bay: 93-62 SU

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Tampa Bay are 3-7
After playing Toronto are 3-7
After a loss are 4-6

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Baltimore are 5-5
After playing Seattle are 8-2
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Baltimore's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Baltimore's last 18 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games at home

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Baltimore, Tuesday, September 28

Visit Freepick1.com each day for winning baseball picks