Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions Pick & Odds: September 19th 2010

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions
Pick: Detroit Lions +7 -110 odds
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5* graded play on Detroit as they take on the Eagles et to start at 1 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by six or fewer points and also has a reasonable opportunity to win this game. This is a game of backups and after news that both starters were out for this game the line moved from Philly by three points to Philly by six points. The reason that the Vick is the better backup, but the game of football requires 11 players to be in complete sync to be successful. Vick will have a great game, which will start a QB controversy in the city of brotherly love. He can’t do it all himself. The Eagles defense is going to be the dominant story. They are weak up the middle and Detroit will have strong success running the ball between the tackles. Detroit is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after being outgained by 200 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. We all know that Detroit won last week’s game against Chicago, but a technical ruling eliminated an incredible TD catch by Crabtree. Still, this will add immense confidence to the Lions as a team; that they are heading in the right direction. A matchup I see playing out BIG for the Lions is their TE Tony Sheffler matched up against an Eagle linebacker. He was the top target last week. The Eagles love to bring pressure, but with a very good TE, that pressure becomes very vulnerable down the seams of the defense. He has great hands and better speed than any of the Eagle linebackers. The Eagles cannot put a safety or nickel back on him for two reasons. He is too physical for them at the line of scrimmage and this leaves Crabtree in man coverage. Take the Lions.