Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros Odds & Pick: September 7th 2010

Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Over 10.5 Runs -110 odds
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We are looking at three over/under reports for tonight and all three contain a good amount of value based on the contrarian way of looking at them. We are going with the ‘Over’ between the Astros and Cubs. Because this game is in Wrigley Field, the number could be jumping around all day based on the wind situation and honestly the higher it goes, the better it could be as it would be to our advantage. The first game of this series on Monday stayed ‘Under’ and that has been a common theme for Astros games. Houston has gone 14-1 to the ‘Under’ over its last 15 games and 18-3 to the ‘Under’ over its last 21 games so we are getting value based on that alone. The pitching has been the big reason as it has been outstanding but that could change tonight against a Cubs offense that has been scoring a lot as of late. The Cubs have averaged 6.6 rpg over their last eight games and on the flip side, the pitching has been giving up just as many scores. Only five of those games have gone ‘Over’ though and the ‘Over’ is 5-1 in the Cubs last six games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Houston sends Nelson Figueroa to the hill and he has been extremely solid since getting put into the starting rotation. He has allowed two runs or fewer in all four of his starts and to no surprise, all four of those games have stayed below the number. All that does for us is increase the value as trend players will be hitting the ‘Under’ to come in again. Carlos Silva is back on the mound after being on the disabled list for a rapid heartbeat. He started the season great but faltered prior to his condition and he was just average in a couple minor league rehab assignments. He is rested which is a good thing but it is a tough spot to come back into and there is a good possibility his pitch count will be limited. That is not good for the Cubs whose bullpen has a 5.28 ERA on the season which is second worst in all of baseball. 3* Over Houston Astros/Chicago Cubs