MLB Betting: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: August 24th 2010

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +105 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB baseball betting predictions from Matt Fargo

We used the Blue Jays in this spot last night and we will come back with them once again for a lot of the same reasons. Toronto lost two of three in Boston over the weekend to put up a disappointing 4-5 roadtrip. Like New York, the Blue Jays are a much better team at home than on the road and they showed it last night with a win in this opener. They continue to have good success against the Yankees this season, going 6-4 in the 10 meetings including 3-1 at home.

The Yankees were coming off a very successful homestand where they went 5-2 and that is no surprise as they have been solid at home all season long. They are good on the road as well but not as good and their recent run is now 4-6 over their last 10 games after last night. Also, they have a 7-12 run in their last 19 road games against teams with a .500 or better record and that goes all the way back to May 10th showing that New York has had a very favorable road schedule over this stretch by playing a lot of losing teams.

I thought Toronto has a solid edge on the mound last night and I think that is the case again tonight.

The name Marc Rzepczynski is not going to put a scare into many teams and neither will his 4.76 ERA on the season but he has some solid stuff. Rzepczynski, who was expected to crack the starting rotation this season, injured the finger in his final Grapefruit League start against the Yankees on March 30 and was forced to start the season in AAA Las Vegas. He ended last season by tossing four straight quality outings and finished with a 3.67 ERA in 11 starts so he has shown the ability to pitch well.

He has a 2.77 ERA in his two nighttime starts with Toronto winning both games.

Dustin Moseley counters for the Yankees and he has been up and down since his call up from the minors. Moseley had another rough outing against the Tigers in his last game as he allowed four runs on five hits and two walks in five innings. He gave up three home runs and has now allowed seven dingers in his last four starts and the Blue Jays are not the team to face if keeping the ball in the yard is a problem. Toronto has already roughed him up for five runs including two home runs earlier this month. 3* Toronto Blue Jays