Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics Odds & Pick: July 21st 2010

Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
Pick: under 7.5 Runs -110 odds
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After a low-scoring (2-1) opener, yesterday’s game produced nine runs. I expect a well-pitched affair this afternoon.

Gio Gonzalez outpitched Greinke in his last start, allowing just one run through seven complete innings. He’s been much better at home than he has been on the road and he’s also been much better during the afternoon, than he has been in the evening. At home, he’s got a stellar 2.98 ERA and 1.169 WHIP.

Meanwhile, in five afternoon starts, Gonzalez has gone 4-0 with a microscopic 1.30 ERA. Opposing hitters are batting .165 in those games.

Bucholz is making his first start in several weeks and therefore is unlikely to go a full game. He should be solid while he’s in the game though. For the season, he’s 10-4 with an impressive 2.45 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. He’s been particularly sharp on the road. In fact, he’s 5-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in seven road starts. The UNDER is 3-0 the last three times that he has taken the mound.

As a team, the A’s have seen the UNDER go a lucrative 20-8-3, when they’ve played during the afternoon. Given Gonzalez’s daytime stats, don’t be surprised if those numbers improve here. Consider the Under