Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics Odds & Prediction: June 21st 2010

Our Monday night MLB predictions take us to Oakland-Alameda County Stadium where the
Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back against the Oakland A’s after shockingly getting swept at Seattle over the weekend.
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Save for getting off to a slow start to the year, the Reds haven’t played poor baseball since. That is until now as manager Dusty Baker’s squad has won only three times in its L/10 games played (-$474). In doing so, the Reds have lost their grasp on the top spot in the NL Central and currently trail the St. Louis Cardinals by 1.5-games in the division.

Oakland’s fallen off the map in the AL West recently winning just three of their L/10 games (-$384) played to date. They currently sit eight-games out in the division and nine-games out in the AL Wild Card race. Tonight’s game marks the first of six to be played at home, which should be a welcome sight for Oakland who’s played 12 of its 19 June games on the road.

Cincinnati Reds (37-33, +$253) vs. Oakland A’s (34-37, -$1116)
Game Date/Time: Monday, June 21st, 10:05 ET
Game Location: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, Oakland, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: FOX-Ohio, Comcast (CA), XM

MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds +105 (Mike Leake – R) vs. Oakland A’s -125 (Gio Gonzalez – L): Total 7.5 Runs

After his team battled back with some late inning dramatics vs. San Francisco to get him off the hook for the loss, rookie RHP Mike Leake finally dropped his first game of the year his last time out against Los Angeles. The Dodgers got to him for nine hits and five ER’s through his six IP. He’s now allowed five ER’s in each of his L/2 starts. Cincy’s split his four road starts this season where the righty stands 2-0 with a miniscule 1.67 ERA & 1.19 WHIP with a K/BB ratio of 19/8; opponents are batting .270 against him on the year. This will be his first look at the A’s and the first Interleague start of his career as well.

Gio Gonzalez saw his ERA rise from 3.58 to 4.21 his L/2 outings after allowing a combined 14 hits and 10 earned runs through just 10.2 IP. That’s been his “MO” all season long though, as the lefty has struggled mightily on the road while succeeding for MLB bettors at home. He’s 4-2 with a solid 2.90 ERA & 1.02 WHIP in six home starts this season where he’s given up just 23 hits and 13 ER’s with a K/BB ratio of 40/21 through 40.1 total innings pitched. Though the A’s are 1-2 in his three 2010 Interleague starts, they’re a perfect 7-0 the L/7 times he’s lead their charge at home. He’s never faced Cincinnati in his career.

MLB Insider Tip: Oakland has flat out dominated Cincinnati winning eight of the teams previous nine Interleague betting match-ups dating back to 2002. The club has been much better when playing within its comfy confines evidenced by its 21-13 (+$786) mark at home opposed to its 13-24 (-$902) mark on the road. After a nine-game NL road trip, the Coliseum will be a welcome sight for their sore eyes. The Reds are scuffling, and evidenced by his L/2 starts, there might just be enough tape on Leake for big league hitters to get the best of him now. If no adjustments have been made entering tonight’s start, my MLB predictions have Oakland’s bats teeing off on him to allow Gonzalez to pick up his seventh win of the baseball betting season.

My MLB Prediction: Oakland A’s (Gonzalez)
Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

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