Washington Nationals Offense Strong Enough for September Playoff Push
There is a great deal of consternation right now about the Washington Nationals and their offensive struggles.
Writers, commentators, bloggers and fans think the teamโs offense is just not good enough to keep the team around .500โmaybe a little betterโuntil Stephen Strasburg finally arrives and saves the day.
But that is simply not the case.
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Below is the Nationalsโ most-used lineup for 2010. Take a look at the playerโs offensive production when projected over the complete season.
CFโNyjer Morgan:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .242/.316/.339ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 24 2Bโ15 3Bโ0 HRโ24 RBI
2BโCristian Guzman:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .321/.347/.403ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 21 2Bโ9 3Bโ0 HRโ48 RBI
3BโRyan Zimmerman:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .299/.374/.571ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 38 2Bโ0 3Bโ32 HRโ86 RBI
1BโAdam Dunn:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .270/.379/.546ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 44 2Bโ6 3Bโ32 HRโ80 RBI
LFโJosh Willingham:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .275/.429/.529ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 22 2Bโ3 3Bโ32 HRโ107 RBI
SSโIan Desmond:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .263/.314/.410ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 22 2Bโ6 3Bโ14 HRโ80 RBI
CโIvan Rodriguez:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .325/.351/.439ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 27 2Bโ3 3Bโ3 HRโ51 RBI
RFโRoger Bernadina:ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย .241/.289/.410ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 14 2Bโ7 3Bโ6 HRโ39 RBI
Nyjer Morgan has a career average of .291/.353/.381. There is no way he will finish the season this poorly. Expect him to have a sizzling summer and approach his career numbers by September.
Pudge Rodriguez is 38 and will no doubt end the season somewhere in the neighborhood of .260/.330/.440. Even though he will cool off, Rodriguez should still hit well enough to make him an offensive asset.
The only hole in the lineup is in right field where Justin Maxwell flunked terribly. Willie Harris hasnโt hit well since 2008. Roger Bernadina, after a remarkable five-game span, is returning to the real world.
Kevin Mench, who is Triple-A Syracuseโs every-day right fielder, is currently hitting .303/.373/.379 for the Chiefs with eight doubles, a home run, and 21 RBI.
Mench, 31, played seven seasons in the major leagues and has a 162-game career average of .269/.326/.460 with 21 homers and 76 RBI.
A right-handed batter, Mench hits lefties well. He, and perhaps Willie Harris, are the best options for the Nationals can right now unless they make a trade for a veteran right-fielder.
Six of the eight position players are providing the Nationals with satisfactory to above-average offense. A seventh (Morgan) will eventually hit to his potential, and sooner or later, the Nationals will fix the problem in right field.
From what I can tell, the Nationals struggle offensively because the team lacks timely hitting with runners in scoring position โand especially with two out.
I think the offenseโwith the exception of right-fieldโis certainly strong enough and the teamโs middle-of-the-lineup sluggers (Zimmerman, Dunn, and Willingham) might be the best in the league right now.
A proven right fielder and the addition of Stephen Strasburg and Chien-Ming Wang to the starting rotationโand the reintroduction of Jason Marquisโmake the Nationals a team that could contend for the National League wild card, at least from the periphery, until late into the season.
Letโs wait until John Lannan, Stephen Strasburg, Chien-Ming Wang, and Jason Marquis anchor the Nationalsโ rotation before we worry about the teamโs offense.
The Nationals would then find their fifth starter from a group that includes Livan Hernandez, Scott Olsen, Luis Atilano, Craig Stammen, and J.D. Martin and could use one or more of the remaining starters to nab a pretty good right fielder on the trade market.
This Nationalsโ team will win 77-82 games in 2010, perhaps 85-88 if they find that veteran right fielder with a potent bat.
Man, this has been a fun season. Can you imagine how much more fun it will be once the final pieces of the puzzle finally fall into place?


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