NCAA Basketball Betting: Buffalo vs. Miami Ohio Odds & Pick: March 11th 2010

Buffalo vs. Miami Ohio
Free Pick: Buffalo PK -110 odds
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Easy choice here with 18-11 Buffalo taking on 13-17 Miami (Ohio). The Bulls should be at least a 5-point favorite in this match-up tonight. Buffalo has won 7 of their last 9 games overall, with one of their losses coming at Miami (Ohio). So the Bulls will be playing with revenge in mind after that letdown, and they’ll get it tonight to advance in the MAC Tournament. Buffalo is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

This play falls under a system that is 80-37 (68%) since 1997. It tells us to bet against neutral court teams as an underdog (MIAMI OHIO) - off a win against a conference rival against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. Simply put, Miami (Ohio) is getting way too much respect here from the odds makers when clearly they are the inferior team. Bet Buffalo.