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Hot Stove New YorkDec 28, 2009

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Undervalued picks

Round 3: Justin Upton

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Player A: 159 games, 606 at-bats, .297, 26 homers, 101 RBI, 97 runs, 34 steals

Player B: 138 games, 526 at-bats, .300, 26 homers, 86 RBI, 84 runs, 20 steals

Player A is Matt Kemp, who went sixth overall (first round), and player B is Upton, who was the last pick in the third round. Upton missed games last year because he was placed on the DL with a right oblique strain. He is only going to get better next season, and why not draft someone two rounds later when the numbers are similar?

Round 5: Kendry Morales

Morales had a breakthrough year last year, batting .306 with 34 homers, 108 RBI, and 86 runs. He hit .330 with 19 homers and 59 RBI after the All-Star break. Even though he struggled in the postseason, his ranking next year should not be affected.

First baseman Joey Votto was drafted in the second round, and his numbers should be around what Morales does this upcoming season.

Round 6: Carlos Lee

Lee is one of the most consistent bats in baseball, as we can expect .300, 25-plus homers, and 100-plus RBI every year. He played in every game for the Astros in 2007 and was injured in 2008 but missed just two games last year.

Lance Berkman struggled last year battling injuries and is a strong rebound candidate for this season. Hunter Pence hit 25 homers for the second straight year. These are two good players to surround Lee with.

I would rather have Lee over Nate McLouth, who went a few picks before.

Honorable mention: B.J. Upton (Round Five) Dan Haren (Round Five), Carlos Beltran (Round Six), Cliff Lee (Round Seven)

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