Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: Odds, Analysis, MLB Betting Pick

The National League West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks (25-18) will kick off a nine-game road trip as underdogs at the sportsbooks in New York against the Mets (20-19) on Friday. The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight but still lead the division over the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants.

MLB betting line: The Mets opened as -143 favorites (wager $143 to win $100); the total is at seven runs, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark (line updates and matchup report).

MLB betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 4.3-3.9, Mets (MLB picks on every game).

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Why the Diamondbacks can pay on the MLB lines

Arizona's offense may be hurting a bit literally without outfielder A.J. Pollock in the lineup, but New York's is in even worse shape with outfielder Yoenis Cespedes (right quad) and third baseman Todd Frazier (hamstring) both on the disabled list.

The Diamondbacks also have the healthier starting pitcher in Zack Godley (4-2, 4.08 ERA), who has gone 4-1 with a 3.40 ERA in seven outings under the lights this season. Last year against the Mets, Godley also went 0-1 in two starts but had a solid 2.31 ERA and limited them to a .128 batting average with 12 strikeouts in 11.2 innings of work.

Why the Mets can pay on the MLB lines

While it is true that New York starter Jacob deGrom (3-0, 1.83 ERA) may not be the healthier of the two pitchers in this matchup, he does remain the better of them. DeGrom is coming off an elbow injury and threw only 45 pitches last time out in one inning versus the Philadelphia Phillies, walking three and striking out two in his return to action.

DeGrom has faced Arizona just once in the previous three seasons combined as well, earning a win after allowing two earned runs and five hits in seven innings, with three walks and 10 strikeouts back in 2015. That victory started a four-game series winning streak.

Smart betting pick

Since beating the Diamondbacks four straight times three years ago, the Mets have dropped 11 of the past 13 meetings, according to the OddsShark MLB Database.

Last season, Arizona took six of seven from New York, including three of four at Citi Field. The Diamondbacks are still the better team overall, and they will be primed to start their road trip off on the right foot with a key win in the series opener here against the Mets.

MLB betting trends

Arizona is 1-7 in its last eight games.

Arizona is 4-2 in its last six games on the road.

New York is 3-10 in its last 13 games.

All MLB odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.