We think we know everything about the playoff races in the NFL, but in reality, we have no idea what will transpire over the next four weeks.
The only certainties are that the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers will be the top two seeds in the AFC, with home-field advantage being determined by their Week 15 showdown at Heinz Field.
Over in the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings are still on top of the standings, with the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints occupying the third and fourth positions.
Once you look past the division leaders in each conference, the wild-card waters get murky. The AFC has a bunch of .500 teams fighting to stay alive, while the NFC boasts a race that could demand 10 wins to make the postseason.
1. Pittsburgh (10-2)
2. New England (10-2)
3. Tennessee (8-4)
4. Kansas City (6-6)
5. Jacksonville (8-4)
6. Baltimore (7-5)
7. Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)
8. Buffalo (6-6)
9. Oakland (6-6)
10. New York Jets (5-7)
11. Miami (5-7)
12. Cincinnati (5-7)
13. Houston (4-8)
14. Indianapolis (3-9)
15. Denver (3-9)
16. Cleveland (0-11)
New England can clinch the AFC East with a win over Miami on Monday night, or if Buffalo loses to Indianapolis on Sunday.
The AFC wild-card race is a messy mix of teams looking to break away from the pack but who haven't just yet. The AFC South appears to be the only division in the conference guaranteed of having two teams in the postseason at the moment.
The Tennessee Titans hold the advantage over the Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC South since they won the first head-to-head meeting 37-16 in Week 2. The second clash between the teams in Week 17 could end up determining the division winner and who gets sent on the road in the wild-card round against the winner of the AFC West.
Speaking of the AFC West, there's a wide-open race for the title with the Kansas City Chiefs somehow still in the lead. Andy Reid's team has left no wiggle room for itself after losing four straight and five of its last six games.
The good news for the Chiefs is they can still control their fate if they beat the Oakland Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers in the next two weeks.
The Chargers, Raiders and Buffalo Bills are aligning themselves underneath the Baltimore Ravens to pounce if John Harbaugh and Co. drop a game, and that could be the case in Week 14 as the Ravens visit Pittsburgh.
A loss by the Ravens and victories by the Bills over the Colts and Chargers against the Redskins could throw the AFC wild-card race into another ugly turn.
However, if the Ravens knock off the Steelers and finish off the Cleveland Browns in Week 15, they should be in the driver's seat to advance to the postseason alongside the second-place team from the AFC South.
1. Minnesota (10-2)
2. Philadelphia (10-2)
3. Los Angeles Rams (9-3)
4. New Orleans (9-3)
5. Seattle (8-4)
6. Carolina (8-4)
7. Atlanta (7-5)
8. Detroit (6-6)
9. Green Bay (6-6)
10. Dallas (6-6)
11. Washington (5-7)
12. Arizona (5-7)
13. Tampa Bay (4-8)
14. Chicago (3-9)
15. San Francisco (2-10)
16. New York Giants (2-10)
The Philadelphia Eagles can clinch the NFC East title with a win over the Los Angeles Rams, or with a New York Giants win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.
Minnesota can wrap up the NFC North with a win over the Carolina Panthers or through losses by the Detroit Lions to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Green Bay Packers to the Cleveland Browns.
The dream of having three NFC South teams qualify for the postseason took a hit in Week 13, with the Atlanta Falcons falling at home to the Vikings and the Seattle Seahawks knocking off the Eagles on Sunday night.
All eyes will once again be on Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 14, as the Falcons play host to the New Orleans Saints on Thursday night.
The Panthers will have a chance to gain ground in some regard on Sunday, but they face a difficult test in the form of the visiting Vikings.
Although they both sit at 6-6, the Lions and Packers are still alive in the conversation for the two wild-card spots, and there's a good chance one or both will stick around for Week 15. The Packers have an easier matchup in Cleveland, while the Lions have to pick up a win on the road in Tampa Bay.
The hopes of putting a second NFC North team into the postseason could come in Week 15, when the Packers visit the Panthers. If the Packers are able to move to 8-6 while knocking off the Panthers and letting the NFC South teams bully each other in head-to-head contests, they could have a good chance to squeak into the playoffs.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.