Week Five College Football Rankings
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic, and unbiased ranking of all teams.
We simulated every possible DI FBS matchup 100 times, and used the winning percentages from more than 700,000 games to evaluate every team.
All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| 1. | Florida Gators | 99.4 | 57.9 | 6.2 |
| 2. | Alabama Crimson Tide | 98.3 | 56.8 | 5.9 |
| 3. | Texas Longhorns | 96.4 | 47.2 | 8.3 |
| 4. | TCU Horned Frogs | 95.2 | 45.5 | 9.3 |
| 5. | Boise State Broncos | 93.6 | 46.2 | 11.2 |
| 6. | Cincinnati Bearcats | 92.2 | 43.3 | 12.5 |
| 7. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 90.5 | 42.1 | 12.0 |
| 8. | Oklahoma Sooners | 89.4 | 38.9 | 9.5 |
| 9. | USC Trojans | 89.1 | 41.8 | 10.6 |
| 10. | Ohio State Buckeyes | 88.5 | 37.8 | 9.6 |
| 11. | South Florida Bulls | 86.6 | 36.8 | 13.1 |
| 12. | Oregon Ducks | 85.4 | 35.5 | 10.4 |
| 13. | Missouri Tigers | 84.3 | 37.2 | 14.7 |
| 14. | Virginia Tech Hokies | 84.0 | 37.8 | 11.3 |
| 15. | Houston Cougars | 84.0 | 40.0 | 16.6 |
| 16. | Auburn Tigers | 80.7 | 41.0 | 16.6 |
| 17. | Iowa Hawkeyes | 79.6 | 30.2 | 11.0 |
| 18. | Brigham Young Cougars | 79.6 | 35.8 | 17.4 |
| 19. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 78.7 | 37.1 | 17.9 |
| 20. | Georgia Bulldogs | 78.4 | 34.4 | 15.6 |
| 21. | Air Force Falcons | 77.0 | 34.3 | 17.7 |
| 22. | Kansas Jayhawks | 76.5 | 34.7 | 15.0 |
| 23. | Arizona Wildcats | 76.5 | 33.3 | 15.1 |
| 24. | Texas A&M Aggies | 76.1 | 34.4 | 17.8 |
| 25. | California Golden Bears | 75.6 | 32.8 | 15.4 |
| 26. | Utah Utes | 75.4 | 32.9 | 15.8 |
| 27. | LSU Tigers | 75.0 | 27.3 | 13.2 |
| 28. | Penn State Nittany Lions | 73.4 | 25.9 | 12.2 |
| 29. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 73.1 | 27.6 | 12.5 |
| 30. | Baylor Bears | 72.8 | 34.1 | 17.6 |
| 31. | Wisconsin Badgers | 72.5 | 35.0 | 21.0 |
| 32. | West Virginia Mountaineers | 71.7 | 32.7 | 19.0 |
| 33. | South Carolina Gamecocks | 71.6 | 26.1 | 12.8 |
| 34. | Mississippi Rebels | 71.3 | 29.1 | 15.4 |
| 35. | Stanford Cardinal | 71.1 | 34.8 | 18.5 |
| 36. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 70.5 | 32.1 | 19.5 |
| 37. | Hawaii Warriors | 66.1 | 32.7 | 21.7 |
| 38. | Clemson Tigers | 66.0 | 22.9 | 13.4 |
| 39. | Pittsburgh Panthers | 65.8 | 30.3 | 19.8 |
| 40. | Tennessee Volunteers | 65.3 | 23.6 | 15.3 |
| 41. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 65.0 | 29.8 | 19.3 |
| 42. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 64.4 | 31.4 | 22.1 |
| 43. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64.0 | 26.9 | 16.8 |
| 44. | Florida State Seminoles | 63.6 | 28.0 | 20.0 |
| 45. | North Carolina Tar Heels | 62.2 | 19.5 | 15.5 |
| 46. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 61.9 | 30.1 | 18.9 |
| 47. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 61.1 | 24.9 | 20.7 |
| 48. | Connecticut Huskies | 61.1 | 20.7 | 15.2 |
| 49. | Michigan State Spartans | 59.4 | 26.9 | 21.1 |
| 50. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 59.1 | 22.7 | 17.9 |
| 51. | Fresno State Bulldogs | 58.8 | 33.8 | 26.6 |
| 52. | Michigan Wolverines | 58.8 | 28.3 | 21.4 |
| 53. | UCLA Bruins | 58.1 | 18.1 | 15.0 |
| 54. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 57.4 | 26.4 | 21.7 |
| 55. | Arizona State Sun Devils | 56.3 | 18.9 | 15.0 |
| 56. | Oregon State Beavers | 55.2 | 22.8 | 19.9 |
| 57. | Navy Midshipmen | 54.6 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| 58. | Colorado State Rams | 54.1 | 22.3 | 19.4 |
| 59. | Boston College Eagles | 52.7 | 18.3 | 16.1 |
| 60. | Utah State Aggies | 51.8 | 26.0 | 25.5 |
| 61. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 51.3 | 23.4 | 23.1 |
| 62. | Arkansas Razorbacks | 50.4 | 24.6 | 23.8 |
| 63. | Idaho Vandals | 48.0 | 22.6 | 23.7 |
| 64. | Purdue Boilermakers | 46.2 | 23.5 | 25.3 |
| 65. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 44.8 | 20.1 | 23.6 |
| 66. | Indiana Hoosiers | 44.8 | 20.3 | 22.4 |
| 67. | Northern Illinois Huskies | 44.3 | 20.9 | 25.3 |
| 68. | Vanderbilt Commodores | 44.2 | 15.8 | 19.1 |
| 69. | Central Michigan Chippewas | 43.7 | 17.8 | 22.4 |
| 70. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 43.7 | 17.0 | 23.1 |
| 71. | Kentucky Wildcats | 43.4 | 19.0 | 23.2 |
| 72. | Toledo Rockets | 42.9 | 23.7 | 29.1 |
| 73. | Nevada Wolf Pack | 42.6 | 21.6 | 26.4 |
| 74. | Illinois Fighting Illini | 42.6 | 20.5 | 25.8 |
| 75. | Temple Owls | 40.3 | 17.6 | 23.8 |
| 76. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 39.6 | 16.1 | 23.3 |
| 77. | Louisville Cardinals | 38.9 | 15.8 | 23.2 |
| 78. | Kansas State Wildcats | 38.2 | 16.4 | 24.5 |
| 79. | Iowa State Cyclones | 35.6 | 18.3 | 26.6 |
| 80. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 34.8 | 16.6 | 26.3 |
| 81. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33.9 | 13.5 | 25.2 |
| 82. | Washington Huskies | 33.4 | 15.6 | 28.0 |
| 83. | Northwestern Wildcats | 33.3 | 16.3 | 26.6 |
| 84. | Marshall Thundering Herd | 32.8 | 17.5 | 29.4 |
| 85. | UNLV Rebels | 31.7 | 15.7 | 27.9 |
| 86. | Ohio Bobcats | 30.6 | 11.7 | 23.8 |
| 87. | UAB Blazers | 29.5 | 18.0 | 31.3 |
| 88. | Troy Trojans | 29.4 | 15.6 | 29.1 |
| 89. | Syracuse Orange | 25.3 | 11.9 | 26.7 |
| 90. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | 24.7 | 11.2 | 30.5 |
| 91. | North Texas Mean Green | 24.4 | 11.9 | 30.0 |
| 92. | Army Black Knights | 23.7 | 11.4 | 28.7 |
| 93. | Buffalo Bulls | 23.0 | 12.6 | 29.7 |
| 94. | Duke Blue Devils | 20.8 | 10.7 | 31.3 |
| 95. | East Carolina Pirates | 20.4 | 8.9 | 29.3 |
| 96. | Tulane Green Wave | 20.2 | 12.8 | 33.3 |
| 97. | Colorado Buffaloes | 19.9 | 9.9 | 30.9 |
| 98. | San Diego State Aztecs | 19.7 | 8.3 | 30.4 |
| 99. | UCF Knights | 19.5 | 8.5 | 27.9 |
| 100. | Western Michigan Broncos | 19.4 | 10.0 | 29.4 |
| 101. | Virginia Cavaliers | 19.1 | 7.3 | 27.6 |
| 102. | Maryland Terrapins | 19.0 | 12.0 | 31.8 |
| 103. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 18.8 | 10.2 | 33.3 |
| 104. | New Mexico State Aggies | 16.8 | 8.4 | 32.9 |
| 105. | Ball State Cardinals | 16.8 | 9.2 | 35.2 |
| 106. | Wyoming Cowboys | 16.0 | 8.3 | 30.5 |
| 107. | Bowling Green Falcons | 15.5 | 7.8 | 34.2 |
| 108. | Akron Zips | 13.4 | 9.7 | 33.7 |
| 109. | Florida Atlantic Owls | 13.2 | 10.1 | 39.5 |
| 110. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 12.1 | 6.8 | 37.5 |
| 111. | Kent State Golden Flashes | 11.8 | 6.4 | 33.4 |
| 112. | Memphis Tigers | 11.8 | 8.3 | 35.0 |
| 113. | New Mexico Lobos | 11.2 | 7.2 | 34.9 |
| 114. | Rice Owls | 11.2 | 8.1 | 38.5 |
| 115. | UTEP Miners | 9.6 | 6.8 | 37.6 |
| 116. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 7.6 | 7.1 | 40.4 |
| 117. | Washington State Cougars | 6.2 | 5.1 | 39.3 |
| 118. | Florida International Golden Panthers | 5.3 | 5.8 | 40.0 |
| 119. | San Jose State Spartans | 5.1 | 6.2 | 43.6 |
| 120. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | 5.0 | 5.1 | 40.5 |
Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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