Florida Still On Top: College Football Rankings 9/21

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams.  We simulated every possible FBS matchup 100 times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.  All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games.  Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Florida Gators	98.7	54.7	5.9
2.	Alabama Crimson Tide	98.2	49.6	7.3
3.	California Golden Bears	94.6	45.8	9.9
4.	Cincinnati Bearcats	92.7	42.6	10.0
5.	Texas Longhorns	92.4	41.5	10.2
6.	TCU Horned Frogs	92.2	42.4	11.4
7.	Boise State Broncos	91.7	43.3	11.5
8.	Mississippi Rebels	91.0	43.0	10.1
9.	Oklahoma Sooners	89.3	39.8	12.0
10.	Penn State Nittany Lions	89.2	33.3	8.4
11.	North Carolina Tar Heels	88.1	33.2	7.9
12.	Kansas Jayhawks	86.8	41.2	12.1
13.	Ohio State Buckeyes	85.0	35.4	12.2
14.	South Florida Bulls	82.5	38.0	14.6
15.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	81.4	35.8	15.2
16.	Houston Cougars	80.9	37.1	15.9
17.	USC Trojans	80.9	36.2	15.0
18.	LSU Tigers	80.8	32.3	11.4
19.	Florida State Seminoles	80.4	37.4	17.0
20.	Missouri Tigers	80.0	34.0	14.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Wisconsin Badgers	78.1	36.8	18.8
22.	Virginia Tech Hokies	78.0	33.3	13.1
23.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	77.4	41.4	21.0
24.	Pittsburgh Panthers	77.2	36.2	15.8
25.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	74.5	33.8	18.5
26.	Auburn Tigers	73.2	34.4	17.3
27.	Arizona State Sun Devils	73.2	25.0	10.1
28.	Clemson Tigers	72.9	23.8	11.0
29.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	72.8	31.4	15.8
30.	Arizona Wildcats	71.6	30.4	15.2
31.	Colorado State Rams	71.5	30.3	18.0
32.	Georgia Bulldogs	70.9	35.1	21.7
33.	Michigan Wolverines	69.6	30.0	17.1
34.	Iowa Hawkeyes	69.5	25.6	13.1
35.	Brigham Young Cougars	68.5	31.5	20.2
36.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	66.6	23.9	15.7
37.	Illinois Fighting Illini	65.9	31.0	20.9
38.	Stanford Cardinal	65.7	33.2	21.5
39.	West Virginia Mountaineers	65.7	32.4	21.4
40.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	64.9	31.3	21.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Tennessee Volunteers	64.9	23.5	13.5
42.	Utah Utes	64.5	29.7	20.0
43.	Texas A&M Aggies	63.4	30.6	19.9
44.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	63.1	35.7	25.9
45.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	62.9	25.5	16.6
46.	Arkansas Razorbacks	62.9	34.4	25.8
47.	Kentucky Wildcats	62.4	25.6	17.1
48.	Boston College Eagles	62.0	17.8	12.6
49.	Baylor Bears	61.7	26.4	18.6
50.	Air Force Falcons	61.2	26.5	19.4
51.	Michigan State Spartans	60.7	28.3	21.0
52.	Louisville Cardinals	60.3	24.2	17.3
53.	Oregon Ducks	59.6	22.8	15.8
54.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	58.7	18.3	14.1
55.	Oregon State Beavers	58.4	25.6	19.0
56.	Fresno State Bulldogs	58.2	34.4	29.4
57.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	57.9	27.5	23.5
58.	South Carolina Gamecocks	56.2	23.1	18.5
59.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	56.1	25.1	20.2
60.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	55.6	27.3	22.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	UCLA Bruins	54.8	18.9	15.0
62.	Hawaii Warriors	54.6	28.9	24.5
63.	Navy Midshipmen	52.7	23.8	22.0
64.	UNLV Rebels	50.8	24.6	25.1
65.	Washington Huskies	49.1	19.4	21.4
66.	Vanderbilt Commodores	47.9	16.0	18.5
67.	Northern Illinois Huskies	47.6	21.1	23.3
68.	Connecticut Huskies	43.0	14.3	18.3
69.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	41.3	19.1	24.4
70.	Northwestern Wildcats	41.1	21.3	27.5
71.	Nevada Wolf Pack	40.6	23.9	30.2
72.	Purdue Boilermakers	40.4	22.9	27.7
73.	Indiana Hoosiers	38.2	16.1	22.6
74.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	37.9	16.6	24.3
75.	Central Michigan Chippewas	36.6	13.6	22.4
76.	UAB Blazers	36.3	20.7	30.2
77.	Kansas State Wildcats	35.3	13.5	24.2
78.	Ohio Bobcats	34.2	12.2	22.5
79.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	33.8	16.1	26.4
80.	Idaho Vandals	32.0	15.3	28.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Utah State Aggies	30.1	18.2	31.8
82.	Toledo Rockets	29.7	18.9	32.9
83.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	29.1	14.6	27.6
84.	Maryland Terrapins	29.1	16.5	30.7
85.	Temple Owls	28.4	13.9	28.1
86.	Army Black Knights	28.4	12.1	26.4
87.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	28.3	13.0	25.5
88.	Buffalo Bulls	28.1	15.5	29.4
89.	Bowling Green Falcons	27.8	10.2	24.8
90.	Iowa State Cyclones	27.4	14.9	31.3
91.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	26.2	12.3	28.1
92.	Syracuse Orange	25.8	10.9	25.1
93.	Akron Zips	24.2	12.0	28.8
94.	Marshall Thundering Herd	24.1	13.5	32.8
95.	UCF Knights	23.2	9.1	27.1
96.	East Carolina Pirates	23.0	10.1	28.2
97.	Troy Trojans	22.5	13.7	31.3
98.	North Texas Mean Green	10.7	31.5
99.	Colorado Buffaloes	22.0	11.3	29.0
100.	Duke Blue Devils	21.1	10.4	30.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	UTEP Miners	20.7	10.4	32.3
102.	Western Michigan Broncos	18.9	9.9	30.0
103.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	18.5	10.3	30.8
104.	Virginia Cavaliers	17.8	7.5	28.9
105.	San Diego State Aztecs	15.7	7.9	30.3
106.	New Mexico State Aggies	14.0	9.1	37.1
107.	Rice Owls	12.8	10.8	38.6
108.	Kent State Golden Flashes	12.0	6.8	32.5
109.	Memphis Tigers	12.0	7.7	34.6
110.	Tulane Green Wave	11.7	9.3	36.9
111.	San Jose State Spartans	11.7	10.7	42.5
112.	Ball State Cardinals	10.6	6.8	34.4
113.	FIU Golden Panthers	9.0	7.3	37.4
114.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	8.3	7.6	39.3
115.	New Mexico Lobos	8.3	7.1	36.5
116.	Washington State Cougars	8.2	7.1	39.3
117.	Wyoming Cowboys	8.0	4.8	36.5
118.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	6.3	6.4	39.8
119.	Florida Atlantic Owls	4.8	7.3	48.0
120.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	4.0	6.1	46.3

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at [e-mail]. Thanks!