Free MLB Pick: Florida Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds: September 16th 2009

Florida Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Free MLB Pick: Florida Marlins (+110 odds)
Wed Sep 16 ‘09 2:15p
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Florida gets a solid price this afternoon in a matchup of excellent starting pitchers. The Marlins took Game Two of this series last night and coupled with the Rockies loss, they are just 4.5 games out in the National League Wild Card race. The games remaining are dwindling so every game becomes that much more important and with a stud on the mound, these are the games Florida needs to take advantage of. The Cardinals loss made it four losses in the last five games for St. Louis, all of which have come at home. The Cardinals have been solid at home all season but Florida is four games over .500 on the road which is the fourth best road record in the National League. The pitcher referred to is Josh Johnson and he is having a phenomenal season. He is 14-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 29 starts with the Marlins going 20-9 in those games. His numbers slip a little on the road but they are made up for in his starts during the day as he is a perfect 5-0 with a 3.23 ERA in 10 starts with the Marlins going 9-1 in those games. Both career starts against the Cardinals have been quality efforts. He squares off against Joel Pineiro who is having a great bounce back season. He has a 3.21 ERA and 1.11 WHIP but he is just 14-10. His numbers go up during the daytime hours as he is 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in nine starts with St. Louis going just 4-5 in those games. The Marlins are 13-3 in Johnson’s last 16 starts as an underdog while the Cardinals are 1-4 in Pineiro’s last five starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Also, the Marlins are 4-1 in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record and the Cardinals are 1-5 in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record. 3* Florida Marlins