Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Pick: September 15th 2009

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds u8.5 (-105 odds)
Tue Sep 15 ‘09 7:10p
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Roy Oswalt of the Houston Astros has had amazing success vs. the Cincinnati Reds throughout his career, while Kip Wells had been in good form prior to a rough outing last time out, so do not look for much scoring at Great American Ball Park tonight.

Sure, Oswalt got lit up for six runs and 10 hits in only two innings his last time out, but that bad start came out of the blue after he had tossed four straight Quality Starts prior to that effort. What better opponent is there for Oswalt to get back on track than these Reds?

After all, all that he has done vs. Cincinnati in his career is go 23-1 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 201 innings! He has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts vs. the Reds, with two of those outings coming this season. As if that is not enough, Oswalt is catching a Cincinnati lineup here that is batting a pathetic .198 vs. right-handed pitching the last 10 games.

Now, Wells has a similar recent pattern as Oswalt does in that he had a bad outing last time out after allowing three runs or less in his previous three starts. We will grant him a mulligan though, as that last bad start did come in Colorado, so he should do better here back at sea level. Another reason for optimism is that the Houston offense has been nothing special, averaging just 3.80 runs the last 10 games.

Finally, the Under is now 13-4 in the last 17 head-to-head meetings after the 3-1 Reds win here last night, and we do not expect tonight to be any different.

MLB Free Pick: Astros, Reds Under 8.5 (-105)