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TEXAS 20-POINT COMEBACK ON OSU 🤘
College Football Rankings
Jake Westrich
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| 1. | Florida Gators | - | 98.8 | 48.1 | 7.3 |
| 2. | Texas Longhorns | - | 97.4 | 44.3 | 10.0 |
| 3. | USC Trojans | - | 95.2 | 40.5 | 10.0 |
| 4. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 93.1 | 34.7 | 9.4 |
| 5. | California Golden Bears | +1 | 90.9 | 36.6 | 11.3 |
| 6. | Brigham Young Cougars | +10 | 90.4 | 41.4 | 17.5 |
| 7. | Oklahoma Sooners | +1 | 89.3 | 35.8 | 12.7 |
| 8. | Mississippi Rebels | -1 | 87.8 | 37.1 | 15.4 |
| 9. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -4 | 85.9 | 36.0 | 15.9 |
| 10. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +1 | 83.4 | 28.5 | 11.5 |
| 11. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +9 | 82.6 | 33.8 | 16.5 |
| 12. | LSU Tigers | -3 | 81.7 | 32.2 | 16.1 |
| 13. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -3 | 81.2 | 29.8 | 14.0 |
| 14. | Houston Cougars | +8 | 80.6 | 38.0 | 21.7 |
| 15. | Virginia Tech Hokies | - | 79.9 | 29.5 | 14.0 |
| 16. | Boise State Broncos | +7 | 77.2 | 29.1 | 16.2 |
| 17. | Kansas Jayhawks | +7 | 76.5 | 33.1 | 19.5 |
| 18. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -4 | 76.2 | 30.5 | 16.1 |
| 19. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +21 | 75.8 | 25.0 | 13.3 |
| 20. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +19 | 75.7 | 28.9 | 15.9 |
| 21. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -8 | 75.0 | 30.0 | 16.4 |
| 22. | Clemson Tigers | +13 | 74.7 | 26.0 | 14.8 |
| 23. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -6 | 74.6 | 29.7 | 17.0 |
| 24. | TCU Horned Frogs | -3 | 73.0 | 26.0 | 14.9 |
| 25. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +12 | 73.0 | 30.9 | 20.0 |
| 26. | Georgia Bulldogs | -7 | 72.2 | 28.6 | 17.7 |
| 27. | Michigan Wolverines | +15 | 71.7 | 27.5 | 16.8 |
| 28. | Missouri Tigers | -16 | 71.6 | 30.6 | 20.0 |
| 29. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +19 | 70.8 | 30.0 | 19.8 |
| 30. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +1 | 67.9 | 26.3 | 18.4 |
| 31. | Utah Utes | -5 | 67.8 | 25.7 | 17.3 |
| 32. | Baylor Bears | +1 | 67.6 | 28.2 | 19.9 |
| 33. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -1 | 65.0 | 21.2 | 14.7 |
| 34. | Arizona Wildcats | - | 64.3 | 23.6 | 17.4 |
| 35. | Oregon Ducks | -17 | 64.2 | 27.5 | 20.4 |
| 36. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | -6 | 63.3 | 25.3 | 19.4 |
| 37. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +7 | 62.9 | 29.0 | 22.6 |
| 38. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +3 | 61.9 | 21.5 | 16.0 |
| 39. | Florida State Seminoles | -12 | 61.4 | 22.2 | 17.3 |
| 40. | Navy Midshipmen | +11 | 60.6 | 26.0 | 20.9 |
| 41. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +11 | 60.2 | 19.5 | 15.5 |
| 42. | Air Force Falcons | -14 | 60.1 | 24.9 | 20.5 |
| 43. | Illinois Fighting Illini | - | 60.0 | 24.8 | 20.9 |
| 44. | South Florida Bulls | -6 | 59.9 | 22.6 | 18.6 |
| 45. | Oregon State Beavers | -16 | 59.1 | 24.1 | 19.7 |
| 46. | Tennessee Volunteers | -21 | 59.0 | 21.2 | 16.9 |
| 47. | Michigan State Spartans | -11 | 58.2 | 21.0 | 17.7 |
| 48. | UCLA Bruins | +21 | 58.1 | 22.5 | 18.1 |
| 49. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +7 | 57.3 | 24.2 | 20.6 |
| 50. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +8 | 57.3 | 20.8 | 17.6 |
| 51. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +9 | 57.3 | 21.7 | 18.5 |
| 52. | South Carolina Gamecocks | +25 | 57.0 | 20.1 | 17.8 |
| 53. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -7 | 56.9 | 25.5 | 22.2 |
| 54. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -7 | 56.8 | 20.8 | 18.0 |
| 55. | Stanford Cardinal | -5 | 55.8 | 24.9 | 22.1 |
| 56. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +16 | 54.8 | 22.9 | 21.3 |
| 57. | Boston College Eagles | +2 | 54.2 | 20.2 | 18.8 |
| 58. | Wisconsin Badgers | -9 | 51.7 | 24.0 | 23.2 |
| 59. | Bowling Green Falcons | +11 | 51.4 | 22.5 | 22.2 |
| 60. | Purdue Boilermakers | +15 | 51.2 | 21.9 | 21.4 |
| 61. | Maryland Terrapins | -8 | 51.0 | 22.0 | 22.7 |
| 62. | Auburn Tigers | +1 | 49.8 | 22.6 | 22.4 |
| 63. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -8 | 49.5 | 23.3 | 23.1 |
| 64. | East Carolina Pirates | -10 | 47.9 | 19.3 | 20.6 |
| 65. | Connecticut Huskies | -4 | 44.4 | 16.5 | 19.6 |
| 66. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -4 | 44.1 | 17.6 | 20.2 |
| 67. | Kentucky Wildcats | -3 | 43.6 | 15.8 | 19.0 |
| 68. | Northwestern Wildcats | -11 | 43.5 | 17.2 | 21.4 |
| 69. | UNLV Rebels | +13 | 43.3 | 20.2 | 23.3 |
| 70. | Texas A&M Aggies | -2 | 42.9 | 22.9 | 26.2 |
| 71. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +13 | 42.9 | 19.7 | 23.0 |
| 72. | Louisville Cardinals | +1 | 42.6 | 19.8 | 23.6 |
| 73. | Florida International Golden Panthers | +1 | 42.0 | 18.1 | 22.4 |
| 74. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -29 | 41.7 | 19.1 | 22.7 |
| 75. | Washington Huskies | -4 | 41.4 | 19.2 | 23.6 |
| 76. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -11 | 40.4 | 18.7 | 24.0 |
| 77. | Troy Trojans | -1 | 39.8 | 18.7 | 23.7 |
| 78. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +7 | 38.2 | 19.3 | 25.4 |
| 79. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -13 | 37.9 | 17.9 | 23.4 |
| 80. | UAB Blazers | -13 | 37.3 | 23.3 | 29.6 |
| 81. | Syracuse Orange | +6 | 37.2 | 17.4 | 23.6 |
| 82. | Colorado State Rams | -2 | 37.1 | 19.1 | 25.9 |
| 83. | Buffalo Bulls | - | 36.2 | 16.8 | 23.9 |
| 84. | Duke Blue Devils | +20 | 35.8 | 18.3 | 25.3 |
| 85. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | -7 | 34.9 | 17.4 | 25.5 |
| 86. | Toledo Rockets | +11 | 34.0 | 20.2 | 28.0 |
| 87. | San Jose State Spartans | +8 | 32.8 | 14.0 | 21.9 |
| 88. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | +26 | 31.7 | 19.7 | 29.4 |
| 89. | Western Michigan Broncos | -8 | 31.0 | 17.5 | 26.8 |
| 90. | Ohio Bobcats | -2 | 30.7 | 15.5 | 24.7 |
| 91. | Utah State Aggies | -2 | 30.5 | 17.5 | 26.9 |
| 92. | Akron Zips | +2 | 29.0 | 18.6 | 29.5 |
| 93. | Kansas State Wildcats | +13 | 28.3 | 14.0 | 24.3 |
| 94. | UCF Knights | +8 | 27.5 | 13.0 | 24.4 |
| 95. | Wyoming Cowboys | +1 | 27.4 | 12.8 | 23.9 |
| 96. | Indiana Hoosiers | +5 | 27.2 | 14.7 | 25.5 |
| 97. | Rice Owls | -11 | 26.7 | 17.6 | 30.2 |
| 98. | North Texas Mean Green | +10 | 26.6 | 16.9 | 28.8 |
| 99. | UTEP Miners | -6 | 24.9 | 16.6 | 29.6 |
| 100. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -10 | 24.8 | 15.4 | 27.6 |
| 101. | Memphis Tigers | -9 | 24.1 | 15.8 | 29.6 |
| 102. | Hawaii Warriors | +10 | 22.2 | 16.8 | 31.1 |
| 103. | Virginia Cavaliers | +4 | 22.1 | 12.2 | 26.3 |
| 104. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -4 | 22.1 | 14.4 | 29.6 |
| 105. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -2 | 20.9 | 15.0 | 30.5 |
| 106. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +10 | 20.4 | 13.9 | 29.5 |
| 107. | San Diego State Aztecs | +4 | 20.1 | 14.4 | 29.8 |
| 108. | Army Black Knights | -10 | 19.5 | 11.8 | 28.1 |
| 109. | Temple Owls | -4 | 18.5 | 11.1 | 26.7 |
| 110. | Colorado Buffaloes | -31 | 18.2 | 13.7 | 30.5 |
| 111. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | +2 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 30.5 |
| 112. | Tulane Green Wave | -2 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 31.4 |
| 113. | Iowa State Cyclones | -22 | 14.7 | 14.1 | 33.6 |
| 114. | Idaho Vandals | +1 | 14.3 | 11.3 | 31.9 |
| 115. | New Mexico Lobos | -6 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 29.6 |
| 116. | New Mexico State Aggies | +1 | 11.2 | 10.0 | 32.4 |
| 117. | Ball State Cardinals | -18 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 32.4 |
| 118. | Washington State Cougars | - | 7.9 | 7.4 | 33.6 |
| 119. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | - | 7.5 | 7.1 | 33.4 |
| 120. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | - | 2.4 | 5.6 | 37.0 |
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